Chapter 15

Technical Analysis

Chart Patterns, Indicators, Trends, and Market Psychology

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🎧 Expert Commentary: Technical Analysis

Chart types, Dow Theory, trend analysis, candlestick patterns, and key indicators explained

Learning Objectives

After studying this chapter, you should be able to:

  • Understand the core philosophy and assumptions behind technical analysis
  • Differentiate between technical and fundamental analysis
  • Identify and interpret common chart types: line, bar, candlestick, and point & figure
  • Comprehend the six tenets of Dow Theory and their relevance today
  • Analyse primary trends, secondary reactions, and minor movements
  • Recognise key reversal patterns (Hanging Man, Hammers, Engulfing, Morning/Evening Star)
  • Identify continuation patterns: Triangles, Flags, Pennants, and Rectangles
  • Draw and validate trendlines using swing highs and lows
  • Apply technical indicators like Moving Averages, MACD, RSI, Bollinger Bands, ADX, OBV

15.1 Introduction to Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistical trends gathered from trading activity, primarily price and volume. Unlike fundamental analysis, which focuses on a company's financial health, technical analysis assumes that all relevant information is already reflected in the price.

Core Philosophy and Assumptions

  1. Price Discounts Everything – All known and unknown information (economic, political, psychological) is already reflected in the market price. Technical analysts focus solely on price and volume.
  2. Price Moves in Trends – Markets tend to move in identifiable trends: up, down, or sideways. Once established, a trend is more likely to continue than reverse.
  3. History Repeats Itself – Market behavior is cyclical and driven by human psychology. Patterns seen in the past tend to recur under similar conditions.
  4. Market Action is Predictable (to a degree) – Recurring patterns and indicators offer probabilistic insights. TA is about managing risk, not guaranteeing outcomes.
  5. Volume Confirms Price – Volume trends help validate price movements and signal strength or weakness.

Technical Analysis vs Fundamental Analysis

FeatureTechnical AnalysisFundamental Analysis
FocusPrice action and market behaviorIntrinsic value of the asset
Data SourceHistoric price and volume dataFinancial statements, economic reports
Time HorizonShort/medium term tradingLong-term investment decisions
ToolsChart patterns, RSI, MAs, MACD, OBVDCF, SWOT, ratio analysis
Followed byTraders, chartists, speculatorsFund managers, value investors
Price Discounts Everything — TA core assumptions and TA vs FA comparison
The four pillars of Technical Analysis, and how it differs from Fundamental Analysis in focus, data, and time horizon

15.2 Introduction to Chart Types

Line Chart

Uses closing prices over time as a continuous line. Best for quick trend visualization and long-term perspective. Does not capture intraday OHLC movements.

Bar Chart (OHLC)

Shows Open, High, Low, Close for each period. Best for detailed price action analysis and identifying volatility. Highlights price range and directional bias.

Candlestick Chart

Similar to bar charts but visually clearer. Uses color-coded bodies to identify trends. Best for identifying patterns like Doji, Hammer, Engulfing and reading market psychology.

Point & Figure Chart

Focuses only on price movements — ignores time and volume. Used for identifying breakout levels and support/resistance zones. Filters out noise; ideal for long-term trend analysis.

Renko Chart

Uses fixed price movements (bricks) rather than time intervals. Clarifies trends and tracks momentum. Smoothens minor fluctuations; good for trailing stop strategies.

Heikin-Ashi Chart

Adjusted candlesticks averaging price data to reduce noise. Ideal for trend-following strategies. Helps the trader remain longer in the trade by filtering whipsaws.

The Visual Lexicon of Price — candlestick anatomy and four chart types
Candlestick anatomy (OHLC, real body, shadows) and the four core chart types: Line, Bar, Candlestick, and Heikin-Ashi

15.3 The Dow Theory

Developed in the early 20th century by Charles Dow through editorials between 1900 and 1902, later organized by William Hamilton and Robert Rhea. It remains a foundational framework in technical analysis.

The Six Tenets of Dow Theory

Tenet 1: The Market Discounts Everything
All known information — economic, political, psychological — is already captured in stock prices. Aligns with the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH).
Tenet 2: The Market Has Three Trends
  • Primary trend – Long-term movement (bull or bear market)
  • Secondary trend – Corrections or rallies within the primary trend (weeks to months)
  • Tertiary trend – Minor short-term fluctuations (days to weeks)
Tenet 3: Primary Trends Have Three Phases
  • Accumulation phase – Smart money enters quietly
  • Public participation phase – Broader market joins as momentum builds
  • Distribution phase – Smart money exits; retail investors often enter/exit late
Mirrors Wyckoff's market cycle — crucial for identifying entry/exit points.
Tenet 4: Indices Must Confirm Each Other
For a trend to be valid, major indices must move in the same direction — e.g., Nifty and Sensex should confirm each other.
Tenet 5: Volume Confirms the Trend
Volume should increase in the direction of the primary trend. Key for confirming breakouts and momentum analysis (On-Balance Volume, Volume Profile).
Tenet 6: Trends Persist Until Clear Reversal
A trend is assumed to be in effect until there is a definite reversal signal. Underpins trend-following strategies and use of trailing stops, MA crossovers, and price structure analysis.
The Blueprint of Markets: Dow Theory
All six Dow Theory tenets mapped onto the market S-curve: Accumulation → Public Participation → Distribution

15.5 Chart Reversal Patterns

Bearish Reversal Patterns

Hanging Man
Bearish reversal after an up move. Small real body + long lower shadow (at least 2× the body) + little or no upper shadow. The long lower shadow shows sellers briefly took control. Confirmation: Next candle must close lower.
Bearish Engulfing Pattern
A large red candle completely engulfs the previous day's green candle. Most significant after a price advance. Both candles should be relatively large. Less significant in choppy markets.
Dark Cloud Cover
Two-candlestick pattern near the top of a congestion area. In an uptrend, a bullish candle is followed by a gap-up open on the next day that turns bearish. The bearish candle closes below the midpoint of the previous bullish candle.
Evening Star Pattern
Three candles: (1) large green candlestick in uptrend, (2) small-bodied candle (doji or spinning top) closing above the first, (3) large red candle opening below the middle and closing near the center of the first bar.

Bullish Reversal Patterns

Hammer
Similar to Hanging Man but occurs after a price decline. Small real body + long lower shadow (2× the body). Shows buyers absorbed selling pressure and pushed price back to near the open. Confirmation: Next candle must close higher.
Bullish Engulfing Pattern
A small red candlestick followed the next day by a large green candlestick whose body completely engulfs the previous red candle. Strongest when preceded by four or more red candles.
Piercing Pattern
Two-candlestick pattern near the bottom of a congestion area. First candle is red (down day), second is green (up day) with a significant gap below the first candle's close. The green candle's body must cover at least half of the previous red candle.
Morning Star Pattern
Three candles: (1) tall red candlestick, (2) small-bodied candle with long wicks (indecision — bears losing ground), (3) tall green candle confirming the reversal. The third candle marks the start of a new uptrend.
Reversal Patterns: The Turning Points
Bullish and bearish reversal patterns — reversals are warnings, always wait for the next candle to close in the new direction for confirmation

15.6 Chart Consolidation Patterns

Triangle Patterns

PatternFormationSignal
Symmetrical TriangleConverging trendlines (lower highs + higher lows) — period of consolidationBreakout above = bullish; Breakdown below = bearish
Ascending TriangleSeries of higher lows + flat resistance — typically in an uptrendBreakout above resistance = bullish continuation
Descending TriangleLower highs + flat support — typically in a downtrendBreakdown below support = bearish continuation
Profit Target for Triangles: Take the height of the triangle at its widest point. Add it to the breakout point (for breakouts) or subtract it (for breakdowns).

Flags and Pennants

Continuation patterns formed after a sharp rally (the flagpole) followed by a period of sideways or slightly lower price action.

  • Flag – Sideways movement forms a rectangle
  • Pennant – Sideways movement forms a small triangle

Watch for price to break above the upper trendline of the flag/pennant, then enter a long trade. The subsequent move is often roughly equal to the flagpole length.

Consolidation Patterns: The Market Pauses
Ascending, Symmetrical, and Descending Triangles with target projection math; Flags and Pennants signal a brief pause before explosive continuation

15.7 Support and Resistance

Support: A price level where a downtrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of demand — acts like a "floor".

Resistance: A price level where an uptrend is expected to pause due to a concentration of supply — acts like a "ceiling".

Types of Support and Resistance

TypeDescriptionExample
HorizontalFlat levels where price repeatedly reversesStock resisting around ₹1,950
TrendlineDiagonal lines connecting higher lows (support) or lower highs (resistance)Upward sloping support in a bull trend
Moving AveragesDynamic support/resistance (e.g., 50-day MA)Price bouncing off 50 DMA
Fibonacci Levels23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8% retracement levelsStock retracing 38.2% from swing high
Psychological LevelsRound numbers that act as barriersNifty 25,000 as psychological level
Pivot PointsCalculated from previous period's high, low, closeUsed widely in intraday trading

Role Reversal

Once a support level is broken, it often becomes new resistance — and vice versa. This happens due to trapped traders exiting at breakeven, shift in market sentiment, and institutional order repositioning.

Quantifying Strength of Levels

FactorImplication
Number of touchesMore touches = stronger level
Volume at levelsHigher volume = greater conviction
Time spent near levelLonger consolidation = more significant
RecencyRecent levels carry more weight
Case Study: Nifty found strong support around 24,350 from May–Sep 2025 after multiple tests. Reliance Industries faced strong resistance around ₹1,300 from Oct 2021–Jul 2023 before the breakout in Jan 2024.
Market Geometry: Structural Boundaries
Support as a floor, Resistance as a ceiling, Role Reversal when broken, and channel geometry for breakout targeting and trailing stops

15.8 Trendlines and Channels

A trendline is a straight line connecting two or more price points, extending into the future to act as support or resistance. Requires at least two points; three or more increases reliability.

Trendline DirectionConnectsIndicates
Upward slopingHigher lowsBullish momentum
Downward slopingLower highsBearish momentum
HorizontalEqual highs and lowsConsolidation / range-bound

A channel is formed by drawing two parallel trendlines — one connecting highs, the other connecting lows. Trade within the channel (buy at support, sell at resistance). A breakout/breakdown signals a potential new trend.

Strategies

  • Bounce Trades: Enter on price touching trendline with confirmation (bullish candle)
  • Breakout Trades: Enter on decisive breakout with volume
  • Trailing Stop: Use trendline to trail stop-losses in trending markets
  • Channel Width Targeting: Project breakout move using channel height

15.9 Technical Indicators

15.9.1 Moving Averages (MA)

A smoothed version of prices — the average of daily/weekly/monthly closing prices. When MA points up, trend is upward; when MA points down, trend is downward. Lagging indicator but very useful for identifying major trends.

EMA Combination (Fibonacci-based): 13 EMA + 21 EMA + 34 EMA gives good results.
  • Uptrend: Price > 13 EMA > 21 EMA > 34 EMA. In a bull market, price takes support around 34 EMA.
  • Downtrend: Price < 13 EMA < 21 EMA < 34 EMA. Price resists around 34 EMA.
  • When all 3 EMAs are rising and moving apart → strong bull market. When all 3 are falling and moving apart → strong selling pressure.
Trend Measurement: Moving Averages
Bullish alignment: Price > 13 EMA > 21 EMA > 34 EMA. Bearish alignment is the reverse. Avoid crossover signals in sideways, range-bound markets.

15.9.2 MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)

Shows shift in momentum and confirms trend continuation. The default MACD line = 26 EMA − 12 EMA. The MACD slow line = 9 EMA of the default MACD line.

SignalInterpretation
Fast MACD crosses above slow MACD (with both rising)Buy signal
Fast MACD crosses below slow MACDSell signal
Price makes higher high, MACD makes lower highBearish divergence — losing upward momentum
Price makes new low, MACD makes higher lowBullish divergence — likely to bottom out
MACD makes double top or double bottomTrend reversal likely
Important: The zero baseline provides a distinction between bull and bear markets. A crossover over the zero baseline alone should NOT be used for trading. MACD must be used in conjunction with price action.

15.9.3 Relative Strength Index (RSI)

Measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes on a scale of 0 to 100. Can be a leading indicator; identifies potential reversals.

RSI LevelInterpretation
> 70Overbought (can remain overbought for long in a strong bull market)
< 30Oversold (can remain oversold for long in a strong bear market)
Rarely falls below 44–45Strong bull market
Rarely rises above 50–55Bear market
Divergence Signals:
  • Bullish Divergence: Price makes new low, RSI makes higher low → early buy signal
  • Bearish Divergence: Price makes new high, RSI makes lower high → early sell signal
Momentum and Oscillators: MACD and RSI
RSI divergence as an early warning engine; MACD fast/slow line crossovers above the zero line confirm bull or bear momentum

15.9.4 Average Directional Index (ADX)

Measures trend strength (not direction). Plotted as a single line 0–100, usually with +DMI and −DMI indicators.

ADX ValueTrend Strength
< 25Weak trend or no trend — avoid DMI crossovers
> 25 (rising)Strong trend — DMI crossovers are more reliable
  • +DMI crosses over −DMI + ADX rising → Buy signal
  • +DMI crosses below −DMI + ADX rising → Sell signal

15.9.5 Relative Strength Comparatives (RSC)

Also known as Price Relative Indicator. Uses a ratio chart to compare performance of one security to another (typically a benchmark index like Nifty 50). Normalized to 100.

  • RSC > 100 → stock outperforming the benchmark
  • RSC < 100 → stock underperforming the benchmark
  • Strong buy: RSC remains below 100 for long period then turns up and crosses 100
Relative Performance: Finding the Alpha (RSC)
RSC transitioning from the underperformance zone to the Alpha Zone — when a stock crosses 100 after a long lag, it signals a high-probability buy aligned with price action

15.9.6 On Balance Volume (OBV)

Created by adding each day's volume if the closing price is higher than yesterday's, and subtracting if lower. OBV should steadily rise with rising prices and fall with declining prices.

Key Signals:
  • OBV 1 (actual) + OBV 20 (20-period average): Buy when OBV 1 crosses OBV 20 upward
  • Higher high in price not accompanied by higher OBV → buying pressure fading
  • Pronounced weakening of OBV on long-term charts → early warning of trend reversal (smart money may be exiting)
Validating the Move: Trend Strength and Volume (ADX and OBV)
ADX measures trend strength (not direction) — never trade a DMI crossover below 25. OBV rising during a flat price period reveals quiet institutional accumulation before a breakout.

Key Takeaways

The Reality Check: Risk and Ruin — Barings 1995 and 2008 Credit Event
Barings (1995): when the primary trend breaks support, cut losses — position limits and stop-losses are non-negotiable. 2008: TA requires independent validation of price structures, not blind faith in ratings.
  • Technical analysis assumes price discounts everything — all information is already in the price
  • Dow Theory's six tenets remain foundational: markets discount all, have three trends, trends have three phases, indices must confirm, volume confirms, trends persist until clear reversal
  • Primary trends last >1 year; secondary trends last weeks to months; tertiary trends last days to weeks
  • Reversal patterns (Hammer, Engulfing, Morning Star) signal trend changes; they require confirmation from the next candle
  • Triangle breakouts, flag breakouts = continuation signals; measure profit targets from the pattern height
  • MACD: 26 EMA − 12 EMA. Fast MACD above slow MACD = buy. Divergence is a powerful signal.
  • RSI above 70 = overbought; below 30 = oversold. In strong trends, RSI can remain extreme for extended periods.
  • ADX measures trend strength, not direction. ADX > 25 (rising) = trend strong enough to trade.
  • OBV divergence from price is an early warning of smart money repositioning
  • Support and resistance zones are best confirmed by multiple touches, high volume, and recency
Synthesis: The Analyst's Dashboard
Five signals converging on one chart: geometry (channel), psychology (Morning Star), trend (EMA cross), momentum (MACD), and strength (ADX > 25)
The Professional Standard — Analyst Responsibilities and Investor Defence
Technical analysis is a guide, not a guarantee — it transforms market data into a strategic advantage only when paired with discipline and integrity

🃏 Flashcards

Click any card to reveal the answer. 74 cards covering the full chapter.

What is the core assumption of Technical Analysis regarding information and market price?
Price discounts everything — all known and unknown information is already reflected in the market price.
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In Technical Analysis, once a trend is established, is it more likely to continue or reverse?
It is more likely to continue than to reverse.
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What is the primary driver behind the assumption that 'History Repeats Itself' in Technical Analysis?
Human psychology, which drives cyclical market behavior and recurring patterns.
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How does Technical Analysis differ from Fundamental Analysis in primary focus?
Technical Analysis focuses on price action and market behavior; Fundamental Analysis focuses on determining an asset's intrinsic value.
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Which data sources are primarily used by Technical Analysts?
Historic price and volume data.
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What is the typical time horizon for decisions made using Fundamental Analysis?
Long-term investment decisions.
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Which chart type uses only closing prices to provide a continuous line for quick trend visualization?
Line Chart.
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What does the acronym OHLC stand for in the context of Bar and Candlestick charts?
Open, High, Low, and Close prices.
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Which chart type filters out 'noise' by ignoring time and volume, focusing only on price movements?
Point and Figure Chart.
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How do Renko charts represent price movement differently than standard time-based charts?
They use fixed price movements (bricks) rather than time intervals.
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Which chart type averages price data to reduce noise and help traders stay in trends longer by filtering out whipsaws?
Heikin-Ashi Chart.
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Who is credited with developing the foundational framework known as Dow Theory?
Charles Dow.
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According to Dow Theory, what are the three types of market trends based on duration?
Primary, Secondary, and Tertiary trends.
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In Dow Theory, what is the 'accumulation phase' of a primary trend?
The phase when 'smart money' enters the market quietly.
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According to the fourth tenet of Dow Theory, what must occur for a trend to be considered valid?
Major market indices must confirm each other by moving in the same direction.
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In a valid trend according to Dow Theory, in which direction should volume move?
Volume should increase in the direction of the primary trend.
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What is the typical duration of a Primary Trend?
One year or more.
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What market sentiment characterizes a Bear Market?
Fear and contraction.
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A secondary trend is an intermediate movement that typically lasts for what duration?
Three weeks to three months.
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What is the typical retracement range of a secondary trend relative to the previous primary move?
One-third to two-thirds (⅓ to ⅔) of the move.
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Which trend type is often referred to as 'noise' and typically lasts less than three weeks?
Tertiary Trend.
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What are the physical characteristics of a Hanging Man candlestick?
A small real body and a long lower shadow at least twice the size of the real body, appearing at the top of a trend.
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How does a Hammer candlestick differ from a Hanging Man in terms of its location in a price trend?
A Hammer occurs after a price decline; a Hanging Man occurs after an up move.
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What defines a Bullish Engulfing pattern?
A large green candlestick whose body completely covers the body of the previous day's small red candlestick.
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In a Dark Cloud Cover pattern, where must the second (bearish) candle close relative to the first (bullish) candle?
It must close below the midpoint of the previous bullish candle's body.
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What is the requirement for the second candle's body in a Piercing Pattern?
The green candlestick's body must cover at least half of the previous day's red candlestick.
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Which three-candle bullish reversal pattern features a small middle candle representing market indecision?
Morning Star Pattern.
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What is a Symmetrical Triangle pattern also commonly known as?
A wedge chart pattern.
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An Ascending Triangle is typically considered what type of pattern?
A bullish continuation pattern.
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How is the profit target calculated for a triangle breakout?
By adding the height of the triangle at its thickest point to the breakout price.
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In technical analysis, what is the 'flagpole' of a flag or pennant pattern?
The sharp, near-vertical price rise or fall that precedes the sideways consolidation.
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Define: Support
A price level where a downtrend is expected to pause because demand is concentrated enough to act as a 'floor'.
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Define: Resistance
A price level where an uptrend is expected to pause because supply is concentrated enough to act as a 'ceiling'.
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What is 'Role Reversal' in the context of support and resistance?
The phenomenon where a broken support level becomes a new resistance level, or vice versa.
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How many price points are required to construct a valid trendline?
At least two points are required, though three or more increase reliability.
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What is a price channel?
A range encapsulated by two parallel trendlines, one connecting highs and the other connecting lows.
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Why are Moving Averages considered 'lagging indicators'?
Because they are based on past closing prices and react after a price move has already begun.
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In a strong bull market using the 13, 21, and 34 EMA combination, what is the expected order of price and averages?
Price > 13 EMA > 21 EMA > 34 EMA.
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How is the default MACD line calculated?
It is the difference between the 26-period EMA and the 12-period EMA.
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What constitutes the 'slow line' in the MACD indicator?
The 9-period EMA of the default MACD line.
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What does a 'bearish divergence' in the MACD suggest?
The stock is losing upward momentum — price is making higher highs while the MACD is making lower highs.
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What is the standard scale for the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
Zero to 100.
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At what RSI level is a security generally considered 'overbought'?
Above 70.
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In a strong bear market, the RSI will rarely rise above what range?
50 to 55.
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What does a 'bullish divergence' in the RSI indicate?
The stock makes a new low but the RSI does not, signaling an early buy opportunity.
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What does the Average Directional Index (ADX) measure?
The strength of a trend, regardless of its direction.
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An ADX value below what level indicates a weak or non-existent trend?
Below 25.
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What is the purpose of the Relative Strength Comparatives (RSC) indicator?
To compare the performance of one security against another or a benchmark index like the Nifty 50.
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How is On Balance Volume (OBV) calculated on an 'up day'?
The day's volume is added to the cumulative total if the closing price is higher than the previous day's close.
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What does a bulge in OBV 1 far above the OBV 20 average signify?
A buying climax.
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According to the Investor Charter, what is the maximum time a Research Analyst has to redress a grievance?
21 days from the receipt of the grievance.
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What is SCORES 2.0?
A web-based centralized grievance redressal system provided by SEBI.
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What is the primary 'Do' regarding fee payments to a Research Analyst?
Always pay through banking channels only and maintain signed receipts.
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In the Barings Episode, what specific trading strategy led to massive losses after the Kobe earthquake?
Selling short straddles (both call and put options) on the Nikkei 225 index.
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What major internal control failure allowed Nick Leeson to hide losses at Barings?
He was in charge of both the front office (trading) and the back office (settlement/reporting).
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What 'moral hazard' arose during the 2008 credit crisis when banks sold mortgage assets to investors?
Banks stopped caring about the credit quality of borrowers because they were immediately selling the loans to third parties.
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Why did credit rating agencies fail to predict the 2008 crash of mortgage-backed securities?
They relied heavily on historical data and did not account for a simultaneous drop in real estate prices and high defaults.
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Which company's bankruptcy in 2001 was caused by massive accounting fraud that wiped out $78 billion in value?
Enron.
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Who was the 'Junk Bond King' sentenced to prison for insider trading in the mid-1980s?
Michael Milken.
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What was the scale of Bernard Madoff's Ponzi scheme exposed in 2008?
Approximately $65 billion.
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A Trend is assumed to be in effect until _____.
There is a definite signal of reversal.
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How does the 'distribution phase' in Dow Theory typically affect retail investors?
Retail investors often enter late during this phase, just as smart money is exiting.
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What characterizes a 'Sideways' or 'Rangebound' market?
Prices fluctuate within a horizontal range, indicating market indecision or equilibrium.
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True or False: Technical Analysis is about guaranteeing outcomes.
False — it is about managing risk and providing probabilistic insights.
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Which indicator uses a zero baseline to distinguish between confirmed bull and bear markets?
MACD.
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What does a declining volume during a price correction in a bull market suggest?
The correction is likely temporary and lacking conviction.
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In a Bearish Engulfing pattern, which candle must be larger?
The second (red) candle's real body must completely engulf the first (green) candle's real body.
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What is the specific signal for a long trade in an Ascending Triangle?
When the price breaks above the horizontal resistance line (top of the pattern).
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Which technical tool uses Fibonacci ratios like 38.2% and 61.8% to identify reversal zones?
Fibonacci Retracement.
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What characterizes the 'Public Participation' phase of a trend?
The broader market joins in as momentum builds and the trend becomes recognizable.
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What is an 'Order Block' in advanced technical analysis?
Institutional buying or selling zones that influence support and resistance levels.
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What is the significance of 'Psychological Levels' like Nifty 25,000?
Round numbers often act as psychological barriers where orders cluster, creating support or resistance.
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What is the benefit of Heikin-Ashi charts for trend followers?
They provide visual clarity and help traders remain in a trade longer by filtering out whipsaws.
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If RSC is greater than 100, what does it imply about the stock's performance?
The stock is outperforming its benchmark.
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📝 Sample Questions

Questions from the official NISM workbook

Q1. Which of the following is not a tenet of Dow Theory?

  • a) The market discounts everything
  • b) The market has four trends
  • c) The averages must confirm each other
  • d) A trend remains in effect until a clear reversal occurs
Answer: b) The market has four trends
Dow Theory recognizes three trends: Primary, Secondary, and Tertiary. There is no "four trends" tenet.

Q2. The candlestick pattern in a Hanging Man is unlikely to have which of the following features?

  • a) A small real body, a long lower shadow at least twice the size of the real body
  • b) Long lower shadow indicating sellers were in control for part of the trading period
  • c) It is a bearish reversal candlestick pattern that occurs after an up move
  • d) It is a bullish reversal candlestick pattern that occurs after a down move
Answer: d) It is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs after a down move
That description applies to the Hammer. The Hanging Man is a bearish reversal occurring after an up move.

Q3. The Piercing Pattern is most likely to have which of the following features?

  • a) A two-candlestick pattern that occurs near the bottom of the congestion area
  • b) A three-candlestick pattern that occurs near the top of the congestion area
  • c) A two-candlestick pattern that occurs near the top of the congestion area
  • d) A three-candlestick pattern that occurs near the bottom of the congestion area
Answer: a) A two-candlestick pattern that occurs near the bottom of the congestion area
The Piercing Pattern is a two-candlestick bullish reversal pattern occurring near the bottom of a consolidation area.

Q4. The default MACD line is most likely the difference between:

  • a) The 12-period EMA and the 9-period EMA
  • b) The 26-period EMA and the 9-period EMA
  • c) The 26-period EMA and the 12-period EMA
  • d) The 26-period EMA and the 21-period EMA
Answer: c) The 26-period EMA and the 12-period EMA
Default MACD = 26 EMA − 12 EMA. The signal (slow) line = 9 EMA of the default MACD line.

Q5. Which of the following regarding the RSI is most likely true?

  • a) When the stock makes a new low and RSI doesn't, it is called "bearish divergence"
  • b) When the stock makes a new low and RSI doesn't, it is called "bullish divergence"
  • c) The RSI is a very good indicator in a strongly trending market
  • d) When the stock makes a new high and RSI doesn't, it is called "bullish divergence"
Answer: b) When the stock makes a new low and RSI doesn't, it is called "bullish divergence"
Price making lower lows while RSI makes higher lows = bullish divergence = early buy signal. RSI works best in range-bound, not strongly trending, markets.

Q6. In an uptrend using the 13-21-34 EMA combination, in which order should price and EMAs appear?

  • a) 13 EMA > Price > 21 EMA > 34 EMA
  • b) Price > 13 EMA > 21 EMA > 34 EMA
  • c) 34 EMA > 21 EMA > 13 EMA > Price
  • d) Price > 34 EMA > 21 EMA > 13 EMA
Answer: b) Price > 13 EMA > 21 EMA > 34 EMA
In a strong uptrend, the faster (shorter-period) averages are above the slower ones, and price leads them all. The 34 EMA acts as a support level.

✅ Chapter 15 Complete!

You've completed Chapter 15 — the final chapter of the NISM XV syllabus!

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