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Yum China Holdings, Inc.
$18.3B
Market Cap
19.0
P/E
1.57
PEG
14.2%
ROCE
16.0%
ROE
0.31
D/E
10.9%
OPM
-17.6%
% from 52W High
59
α RS
🔍 YUMC is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 6 of 37 tracked screener presets, it's within 17.6% of its 52-week high, and it's hugging the 21 EMA. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction 52W High Technicals
Sources
Conviction 6/37 · 17.6% from 52W high · hugging 21 EMA
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for YUMC including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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By Category
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About

Yum China Holdings, Inc. owns, operates, and franchises restaurants in the People’s Republic of China.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding YUMC
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 537.7K $26.2M 0.04% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 157.2K $7.7M 0.01% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED Yum China Q1 2026: Revenue +10%, OP +12%, 636 net new stores.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 revenue grew 10% in reporting currency; operating profit increased 12% in reporting currency (6% ex-FX). Net income was $309 million (flat year-over-year; up 4% excluding Meituan investment impact). Diluted EPS was $0.87, up 7% (11% ex-Meituan). Operating profit margin expanded 20 basis points year-over-year to 13.7%.
Outlook
Management sees early signs of improving consumer sentiment and more rational competition among delivery platforms, which they view as positive for the mid-to-long term. However, March 2026 was slightly softer due to timing of Chinese New Year and spring break. For Q2, same-store sales growth is expected to sequentially improve for Yum China, KFC, and Pizza Hut.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include rapid expansion of KCOFFEE cafes (target 5,000 by end 2027, ahead of original plan) and KPRO (target 600 locations by year-end). Pizza Hut's WOW store model (nearly 390 stores) and the Gemini model (WOW side-by-side with KFC) open lower-tier city opportunities. Drive-through/car-side pickup services now at over 7,000 KFC stores; partnerships with car companies including BYD for in-car ordering.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in detail, but the call noted lower CapEx requirements for car-side pickup (no dedicated drive-through lanes) and for Pizza Hut WOW stores, which have a lower CapEx model. Franchisees contributed 42% of net new stores in Q1, supporting capital-efficient expansion.
Margins
Q1 restaurant margin was 18.2%, down 40 bps year-over-year due to higher rider costs (delivery mix rose from 42% to 54%). Operating profit margin expanded 20 bps to 13.7%, driven by G&A savings and improved occupancy costs. For FY2026, management expects a slight improvement in both restaurant margin and OP margin, with rider cost pressure moderating in the second half. Q2 OP margin expected roughly stable year-over-year.
Key Risks
Key risks include persistent rider cost pressure from increasing delivery mix (now 54% of sales). The delivery sales mix rise creates a 190 bps margin headwind, partially offset by efficiency gains. The Middle East situation is expected to have limited impact on cost of sales this year, as most procurement contracts are secured. March 2026 was slightly softer than expected due to holiday shifts and comparison with prior year's IP campaigns.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-30
Q2 saw strong revenue, profit, and margin growth, with accelerated store expansion and robust innovation across brands. The Pizza Hut brand acquisition is set to boost margins and accelerate store openings, while capital returns remain a priority. Rider costs and market conditions are being actively managed.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
Revenue grew 10% and operating profit 12% in Q1 2026, with 636 net new stores opened and strong performance from both KFC and Pizza Hut. Rider costs pressured margins, but efficiency gains and innovation supported growth. Guidance remains for margin improvement and robust capital returns.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-04
Achieved strong growth in 2025 with 1,700+ net new stores, 7% Q4 system sales growth, and record operating profit. Margins improved despite higher delivery mix, and $1.5 billion was returned to shareholders. Outlook for 2026 targets over 20,000 stores and continued margin gains.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-04
Q3 saw 4% system sales growth and 1% same-store sales growth, with margins and operating profit expanding year-over-year. Store expansion accelerated, innovation drove transaction growth, and capital returns to shareholders remained robust.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-05
Q2 2025 saw record revenue, operating profit, and margin, with System Sales up 4% and Same-Store Sales turning positive. Store expansion and delivery growth drove results, while disciplined cost management and innovation supported margin gains. Guidance for store openings and sales growth was reiterated.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Information Sources:
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