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โ˜€๏ธ US Morning Brief

Pre-market macro context, earnings calendar, and AI brief for US equity traders.

Data from FRED (St. Louis Federal Reserve) ยท Updated daily

Fed Funds Rate
3.63%
as of 2026-06-15
Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)
+0.38%
Positive โ€” healthy credit environment ยท 2026-06-16
VIX Fear gauge
16.2
Calm โ€” risk-on ยท 2026-06-15
10Y Breakeven Inflation
2.29%
Market-implied inflation ยท 2026-06-16
CPI Index Monthly
334.0
All Urban Consumers (SA) ยท 2026-05-01
Unemployment Rate
4.3%
as of 2026-05-01
S&P 500 FRED close
7,554
as of 2026-06-15
Industrial Production
102.6
Index (2017=100) ยท 2026-05-01

Next 7 days ยท Source: Finnhub ยท BMO = Before Market Open ยท AMC = After Market Close

Today โ€” Wed, Jun 17 (9 companies)
Symbol Company Sector When Est. EPS
CMCM Cheetah Mobile Inc. Communication Services โ€” โ€”
EFR โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
FRD Friedman Industries, Incorporated Materials โ€” โ€”
IZM ICZOOM Group Inc. Technology โ€” โ€”
JBL Jabil Inc. Technology BMO $3.11
KMX CarMax, Inc. Consumer Discretionary BMO $0.94
SB Safe Bulkers, Inc. Industrials AMC $0.09
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Industrials AMC $0.23
YI 111, Inc. Healthcare โ€” โ€”
Tomorrow โ€” Thu, Jun 18 (7 companies)
Symbol Company Sector When Est. EPS
ACN Accenture plc Technology BMO $3.75
DPG โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
DTF โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
FMST Foremost Clean Energy Ltd. Materials โ€” โ€”
KR The Kroger Co. Consumer Staples BMO $1.64
MEI Methode Electronics, Inc. Technology BMO $-0.21
MODD Modular Medical, Inc. Healthcare AMC $-0.11
Mon, Jun 22, 2026 (10 companies)
Symbol Company Sector When Est. EPS
CCL Carnival Corporation Ltd. Consumer Discretionary BMO $0.34
CHI โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
EBF Ennis, Inc. Industrials โ€” $0.39
FRVO Fervo Energy Company Utilities BMO $-0.06
GELS Gelteq Limited Healthcare โ€” โ€”
GURE Gulf Resources, Inc. Materials โ€” โ€”
MGIH Company Description Consumer Discretionary โ€” โ€”
MMED MiniMed Group, Inc. Healthcare โ€” โ€”
SEGG Sports Entertainment Gaming Global Corporation Consumer Discretionary โ€” โ€”
THCH TH International Limited Consumer Discretionary โ€” โ€”
Tue, Jun 23, 2026 (13 companies)
Symbol Company Sector When Est. EPS
ATXG Addentax Group Corp. Industrials โ€” โ€”
BVC BitVentures Limited Technology โ€” โ€”
FDX FedEx Corporation Industrials AMC $5.98
GIS General Mills, Inc. Consumer Staples AMC $0.81
GRCE Grace Therapeutics, Inc. Healthcare โ€” โ€”
GRCE Grace Therapeutics, Inc. Healthcare โ€” $-0.23
KBH KB Home Consumer Discretionary AMC $0.45
LOT Lotus Technology Inc. Consumer Discretionary โ€” $-0.18
MFM โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
MMT โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. Industrials BMO $0.77
WOR Worthington Enterprises, Inc. Industrials AMC $1.07
ZNB Zeta Network Group Communication Services โ€” โ€”
Wed, Jun 24, 2026 (16 companies)
Symbol Company Sector When Est. EPS
AEMD Aethlon Medical, Inc. Healthcare AMC $-2.06
AREC American Resources Corporation Materials โ€” $-0.07
BKHA โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
BKHAU โ€” โ€” โ€” โ€”
DAKT Daktronics, Inc. Technology โ€” $0.15
FEDU Four Seasons Education (Cayman) Inc. Consumer Staples โ€” โ€”
FUL H.B. Fuller Company Materials โ€” $1.39
KFY Korn Ferry Industrials BMO $1.39
MKC McCormick & Company, Incorporated Consumer Staples BMO $0.70
MKC.V MKC.V Consumer Staples BMO $0.70
MLKN MillerKnoll, Inc. Consumer Discretionary AMC $0.53
MU Micron Technology, Inc. Technology AMC $20.10
NKE NIKE, Inc. Consumer Discretionary AMC $0.12
PAYX Paychex, Inc. Technology AMC $1.33
WS Worthington Steel, Inc. Materials AMC $0.75
ZTEK Zentek Ltd. Healthcare โ€” โ€”

Sentiment indicators are contrarian in nature โ€” extreme readings often signal reversals. Sources: AAII Investor Survey ยท CBOE Options Market ยท FRED (VIX)

๐Ÿ‚ AAII Investor Sentiment Survey
Week of 2026-06-03 ยท Published weekly (Thursday)
NEUTRAL
36.3%
๐Ÿ‚ Bullish
26.7%
โ†”๏ธ Neutral
37.0%
๐Ÿป Bearish
Bullโ€“Bear Spread: -0.7%  (historical avg โ‰ˆ +8%)
Sentiment balanced between bulls and bears
๐Ÿ“‰ CBOE Put/Call Ratios
Trade date: 2026-06-16 ยท Daily close
COMPLACENCY
0.54
Equity P/C (key)
0.89
Total P/C
1.16
Index P/C
Volume: 7,943,739 calls ยท 7,081,600 puts
Low put buying โ€” market may be overconfident
Equity P/C thresholds: <0.55 = complacency ยท 0.55โ€“0.80 = normal ยท >0.80 = elevated fear
๐ŸŒก๏ธ VIX โ€” Fear Index
CBOE Volatility Index ยท Source: FRED ยท as of 2026-06-15
NORMAL
16.2 Moderate volatility โ€” balanced conditions
VIX thresholds: <15 = calm ยท 15โ€“20 = normal ยท 20โ€“30 = elevated ยท >30 = high fear

S&P 500 technical breadth ยท 1434 stocks with indicator data

Golden Cross
56%
806 stocks
Death Cross
44%
625 stocks
MACD Bullish
60%
866 stocks
RSI Oversold
1%
19 stocks ยท <30
RSI Overbought
5%
69 stocks ยท >70
๐ŸŸข Most Oversold S&P 500 (RSI < 40) โ€” potential bounce candidates
Symbol Company Sector RSI MACD Hist MA Cross
KLAC KLA Corporation Technology 20.4 โ–ผ -211.72 Golden โœ“
PTC PTC Inc. Technology 22 โ–ผ -2.80 Death โœ—
PTC PTC Inc. Technology 24.6 โ–ผ -1.95 Death โœ—
TRMB Trimble Inc. Technology 24.8 โ–ผ -0.25 Death โœ—
TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. Consumer Staples 27 โ–ผ -0.73 Golden โœ“
TRMB Trimble Inc. Technology 27.1 โ–ผ -0.27 Death โœ—
T AT&T Inc. Communication Services 27.4 โ–ผ -0.19 Death โœ—
JKHY Jack Henry & Associates, Inc. Technology 27.5 โ–ผ -0.55 Death โœ—
EQT EQT Corporation Energy 27.9 โ–ผ -0.33 Golden โœ“
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. Technology 28.2 โ–ผ -3.82 Death โœ—
๐Ÿ”ด Most Overbought S&P 500 (RSI > 65) โ€” extended, watch for pullbacks
Symbol Company Sector RSI MACD Hist MA Cross
KLAC KLA Corporation Technology 98.7 โ–ฒ 141.58 Golden โœ“
HUM Humana Inc. Healthcare 85.9 โ–ฒ 2.43 Golden โœ“
HUM Humana Inc. Healthcare 84.1 โ–ฒ 2.16 Golden โœ“
HUM Humana Inc. Healthcare 83.1 โ–ฒ 2.22 Golden โœ“
CPT Camden Property Trust Real Estate 78.1 โ–ฒ 0.77 Golden โœ“
ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. Industrials 76.9 โ–ฒ 3.59 Golden โœ“
BXP BXP, Inc. Real Estate 76.7 โ–ฒ 0.47 Death โœ—
GWW W.W. Grainger, Inc. Industrials 76.5 โ–ฒ 3.77 Golden โœ“
HRL Hormel Foods Corporation Consumer Staples 76.4 โ–ฒ 0.24 Death โœ—
KIM Kimco Realty Corporation Real Estate 76.3 โ–ฒ 0.20 Golden โœ“
๐Ÿ”’

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๐Ÿ“Š Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagineโ„ข Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

๐ŸŽฏ
Discover Our Proven Investment Framework Learn how we analyze and rank stocks using advanced quantitative models, multi-dimensional scoring systems, and dynamic discriminatory ranking techniques that have guided successful investment decisions across market cycles.
๐Ÿ“Š Explore The Finmagineโ„ข Methodology

A comprehensive, bias-free framework for analyzing and ranking stocks by Financial Strength, Growth Potential, Competitive Edge, Management Quality, and Value.

Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions โ€” revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex โ€” are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = ฮฃ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 ร— (1+g) / (WACCโˆ’g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 โˆ’ 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years โ€” a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

โš ๏ธ Important Disclaimers โ€” Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Finmagine is not registered as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or any state securities authority. Nothing on this platform constitutes investment advice as defined under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940.

Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

Forward-Looking Statements:
This analysis may contain forward-looking statements, forecasts, or projections that are inherently subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Finmagine does not undertake any obligation to update such statements in the future.

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