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York Space Systems, Inc.
$885M
Market Cap
P/E
PEG
-8.3%
ROCE
-9.1%
ROE
0.17
D/E
-37.8%
OPM
7
α RS
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About

York Space Systems, Inc. operates as a space and defense prime providing a comprehensive suite of mission-critical solutions for national security, government and commercial customers in the United States.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding YSS
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 67.2K $1.5M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED York Space Systems Q1 2026: Revenue $116M, backlog $642M, IPO fuels growth
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 revenue of $116.3 million, up $10.1 million (9%) YoY. Gross margin was 19% (down 4pp YoY) due to EAC adjustments and non-recurring depreciation. Contribution margin (non-GAAP) was 34% (up 1pp). Adjusted EBITDA was -$3.6 million vs. $5.5 million last year. GAAP loss per share of $1.51, including $1.07 from two non-recurring non-cash IPO charges. Cash and equivalents $655.7 million, plus $150 million revolver availability.
Outlook
Management sees robust demand across government, classified, and commercial markets. The Space Data Network opportunity has tripled to roughly $1.5 billion, and the classified budget is estimated at $20.9 billion with Golden Dome at $17.5 billion. Near-term supply chain delays will push some Q2 revenue into H2, but the full-year revenue guidance of $545 million to $595 million is unchanged. The government is accelerating procurement via IDIQs and OTAs, shortening program cycles.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include a $187 million commercial contract for a 20+ satellite M-CLASS constellation, multiple IDIQ awards for next-generation national security space architectures (including Golden Dome-related missions), expansion into unmanned systems via ALL.SPACE terminals, and continued growth with civil customers like NASA (PEX contract extension through 2027). The company is also building inventory to rapidly convert contract awards into revenue.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Q1 2026 capital expenditures were $2.1 million, up from $1.2 million in the year-ago quarter. The company is investing in inventory by building the first 20 satellite platforms to reduce delivery timelines. Additionally, York is scaling its Potomac facility for higher throughput and has doubled its classified facility space. The IPO has provided capital to accelerate M&A and business development expansion.
Margins
Gross margin declined 4pp to 19% due to a negative EAC adjustment on a critical government program (absorbed by York to avoid contract modifications) plus a non-recurring depreciation charge. Excluding these items, gross margin would have been slightly up YoY. Contribution margin improved 1pp to 34% as newer vintage programs carry higher margins than older ones. Management expects longer-term margin improvement as the mix shifts to newer programs and operational efficiencies take hold.
Key Risks
Management noted supply chain delays for certain components that will push some Q2 revenue into H2 2026, though the full-year outlook is unchanged. EAC adjustments in Q1 reflected a technical alignment with a government customer that added material and labor costs. The company also highlighted the broader risk of evolving government procurement dynamics and the need for continued investment to maintain production scale.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (2 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (2)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-14
Q1 2026 revenue grew 9% year-over-year to $116M, with backlog up 18% and strong new contract wins. Full-year guidance is reaffirmed at $545–$595M, despite supply chain delays shifting some revenue to H2. Strategic acquisitions and inventory build-out position the company for accelerated growth.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-19
Revenue grew 52% year-over-year to $386.2M, with gross margin up 7 points to 20%. IPO proceeds and acquisitions strengthened liquidity and capabilities, supporting a 2026 revenue outlook of $545–$595M, driven by a robust backlog and new contract wins.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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