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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
NYSE: YMM Technology IT 🔎 Screen
🏹 Trader: 📊 High Volume View all →
$9.1B
Market Cap
17.9
P/E
0.46
PEG
16.6%
ROCE
11.2%
ROE
0.00
D/E
33.2%
OPM
-35.7%
% from 52W High
21
α RS
🔍 YMM is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 13 of 37 tracked screener presets, an ECS of 68.9 last quarter, and it's hugging the 21 EMA. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction ECS Technicals
Sources
Conviction 13/37 · ECS 68.9 · hugging 21 EMA
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Currency-adjusted total returns for YMM including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates a digital freight platform that connects shippers with truckers to facilitate shipments across distance ranges, cargo weights, and types in the People’s Republic of China and Hong Kong.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding YMM
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 1.40M $11.6M 0.02% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED FTA Q1 2026: 50M fulfilled orders (+14% YoY), revenue RMB 2.85B, transaction service revenue up 73%.
Revenue & Profitability
Total net revenues were RMB 2.85 billion, up 5.5% year-over-year. Excluding freight brokerage services, net revenues were RMB 2.02 billion (+17% YoY). Transaction service revenues reached RMB 1.39 billion (+73% YoY). Net cash provided by operating activities was RMB 1.56 billion, a significant year-over-year increase. Net income and operating income were not disclosed on this call.
Outlook
Management expects sustained solid order growth driven by easing governance headwinds, structural offline-to-online shift (online penetration of road freight remains low), and deeper AI adoption. Near-term tailwinds include oil price volatility, which highlights FTA's transparent pricing versus offline brokers. A headwind is potential softening of long-haul demand for low-value goods due to fuel cost pass-through, but management views the structural opportunity as far outweighing this.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include (1) fulfilled order acceleration (+14.3% YoY) from governance benefits, oil price-driven shipper migration, and operational efficiency; (2) direct shipper expansion; (3) commission revenue growth (penetration 94%, average monetization ~RMB 26.9/order); (4) AI shipper assistant and pilot autonomous delivery vehicles; (5) nationwide less-than-truckload coverage via dedicated line carriers; and (6) QMove's expansion into four international markets.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Not discussed in this earnings call. The company noted a healthy increase in average monetization per order (RMB 26.9) and commission penetration exceeding 94%, but no explicit margin or cost structure guidance was provided.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include (1) geopolitically driven oil price volatility pressuring trucker costs and potentially softening long-haul demand for low-value goods; (2) regulatory policy risk in the freight brokerage invoicing business, which management is mitigating by shifting from self-operated to an aggregator model; (3) potential dilution of monetization from newly commission-penetrated orders, though seen as temporary.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-21
Q1 2026 saw robust revenue and order growth, with net revenues up 5.5% and fulfilled orders rising 14% year-over-year. Platform governance, AI integration, and a dual-track brokerage model drove operational improvements, while strategic partnerships and digital innovation supported resilience and future growth.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-12
Delivered strong revenue and net income growth in 2025, driven by improved operational efficiency, AI integration, and robust transaction service revenue. Fulfillment rates and commission penetration reached record highs, while disciplined capital allocation supported shareholder returns.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-17
Q3 2025 saw robust order and revenue growth, with fulfilled orders up 22.3% and revenues rising 10.8% year-over-year. Enhanced digitalization, user ecosystem improvements, and AI investments drove performance, while guidance for Q4 remains positive.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-21
Q2 2025 saw robust growth with fulfilled orders up 23.8% YoY and net revenue rising 17.2% YoY, driven by digitalization and user expansion. Guidance anticipates slower growth due to higher freight brokerage fees and reduced subsidies, but core transaction services remain strong.
Q1 2025 Q1 2025 2025-05-21
Q1 2025 saw robust growth with fulfilled orders up 22.6% and net revenues rising 19% year-over-year, driven by digitalization, AI, and operational improvements. Transaction service revenue surged 51.5%, and the company deepened investments in autonomous driving, maintaining a strong cash position.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Information Sources:
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