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$11.9B
Market Cap
27.6
P/E
3.02
PEG
19.4%
ROCE
18.7%
ROE
0.15
D/E
9.6%
OPM
-33.3%
% from 52W High
18
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for WSO including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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📊 Sector Averages
About

Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding WSO
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 216.4K $78.7M 0.12% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed ↓ Deteriorating 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Watsco sees improved stability as A2L transition matures; acquires Jackson Supply.
Revenue & Profitability
Sales increased 2% in U.S. markets. Gross margins remained largely intact. SG&A was flat. No specific net income or operating income figures were provided. The company reported being debt-free and expects inventory turns to increase, contributing to cash flow.
Outlook
Management sees improved stability as the A2L product transition has matured, leading to a more simplified business environment. Unit volume stabilized as Q1 progressed, with March up high single digits and April sustaining momentum. However, they remain cautious as the summer selling season is still early. Tariffs and price increases are expected but not yet quantified.
Growth Drivers
Growth drivers include e-commerce (16% increase), OnCall Air (20% increase), and the new parts and supplies initiative targeting the fragmented 50% market share. The Jackson Supply acquisition ($230M sales) expands Sunbelt presence. Commercial HVAC and commercial refrigeration also contributed to broad-based non-equipment growth.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
The company is making incremental investments in innovation and technology, including new initiatives for institutional customers, pricing optimization tools, and artificial intelligence. Specific CapEx figures were not disclosed. Investments are funded from a strong debt-free balance sheet.
Margins
Gross margins remained largely intact in Q1 despite lower unit volumes. The long-term goal is to achieve 30% gross profit margin through pricing technology and purchase consolidation. SG&A was flat as operational efficiencies offset technology investments and new locations. Seasonal margin patterns are expected, but new initiatives like Supply Sync and Hydros may provide upside.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include tariffs (Section 232) leading to price increases and potential price elasticity. Inventory levels remain elevated due to A2L product mix, though unit count is lower. Northern markets saw winter disruption. Contractor inventory levels and consumer confidence are also monitored. The company is cautious about the early selling season.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-29
Revenue rose 2% to $2.1B in Q2 2026, led by 5% growth in residential HVAC and strong digital adoption. Gross margin normalized to 27.5% as OEM pricing stabilized, and the Jackson Supply acquisition contributed to growth. Organic growth of 4%-5% is expected to continue into Q3.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-28
First quarter showed improving stability and 2% U.S. sales growth, with e-commerce and digital platforms outpacing overall performance. The Jackson Supply acquisition expands Sunbelt presence, while ongoing investments in technology and pricing tools support long-term margin goals.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-17
Double-digit pricing gains and improved gross margins offset a 17% decline in residential unit volumes, while record cash flow and a 10% dividend increase highlight strong capital discipline. Ongoing investments in technology and efficiency position the business for gradual margin improvement as the industry normalizes.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-29
Earnings and cash flow remained strong despite a 4% sales decline and industry volatility. Gross margins expanded to 27.5%, aided by pricing and digital initiatives, while inventory and cash flow improved. Management expects volatility to ease and is focused on long-term growth and innovation.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-30
Q2 saw a 4% sales decline year-over-year, but record gross margins and higher EBIT, driven by pricing actions and technology. The A2L refrigerant transition increased costs and inventory, but margin expansion and digital growth offset volume weakness.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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