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WillScot Holdings Corporation
$4.0B
Market Cap
223.0
P/E
7.42
PEG
3.6%
ROCE
-5.7%
ROE
4.44
D/E
8.0%
OPM
-22.5%
% from 52W High
33
α RS
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Currency-adjusted total returns for WSC including FX impact
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About

WillScot Holdings Corporation provides turnkey temporary space solutions in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED WillScot Q1 2026: Revenue $549M, EBITDA $211M, raises full-year guidance to $2.25B revenue
Revenue & Profitability
For Q1 2026, total revenue was $549 million, down modestly year-over-year but ahead of outlook. Leasing and services revenue grew $2 million year-over-year to $428 million (leasing $426M, delivery & installation $100M). Adjusted EBITDA was $211 million (38.5% margin), and adjusted net income was $39 million ($0.21 per share). Adjusted free cash flow was $116 million (21% margin). The company raised full-year 2026 guidance to revenue of approximately $2.25 billion and Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $915 million.
Outlook
Management remains cautious on local market demand, but sees strong momentum in large and mega projects (e.g., data center project volume up 70% year-over-year). The Architecture Billings Index and non-residential construction starts square footage (down 6% YoY) continue to contract. However, the company believes it is well-positioned when markets stabilize. Leasing revenue is expected to inflect to year-over-year growth in the second half of 2026.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include enterprise accounts (order book up over 25% year-over-year excluding World Cup), data centers (new activated revenue expected up 50% year-over-year), and other large verticals like power generation, manufacturing, and stadium projects. Modular activations increased 8% year-over-year in Q1, the second consecutive quarter of growth. The company is also investing in new product categories like perimeter solutions and FLEX.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Net CapEx guidance for full year 2026 is $325 million, up from prior levels. In Q1, net CapEx was $89 million, a 40% increase year-over-year, primarily directed at modular complex fleet and refurbishment (60% new fleet, 30% refurbishment). Investments are demand-driven, targeting high-value product categories tied to large project activity.
Margins
Adjusted EBITDA margin was 38.5% in Q1, down year-over-year due to volume-driven costs: rental costs up 9%, commissions up 33%, and higher delivery & installation revenue mix. These are considered short-term headwinds tied to lease revenue inflection. Q2 margins are expected to be pressured by about 30 basis points sequentially, but improvement is expected in the second half of the year as leasing revenues grow.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include continued softness in local markets and non-residential construction starts (down 6% YoY). Container unit on rent volumes are declining, creating a $50 million headwind for the year. Project delays in large-scale opportunities are a potential risk. The company's outlook does not assume a recovery in local market demand, and margins could face further compression from higher variable costs.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Q2 2026 saw 4% revenue growth and strong large project demand, with modular activations up 16% and enterprise account revenue up 21%. Full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance were raised, supported by increased CapEx and robust order book momentum into 2027.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Q1 2026 saw strong modular activations and enterprise account growth, with revenue and EBITDA ahead of outlook despite margin pressure from higher variable costs. Guidance for 2026 was raised, driven by a robust project pipeline and anticipated leasing revenue inflection in H2.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-19
Q4 and full-year 2025 results met or exceeded guidance, with stable modular leasing and strong free cash flow. 2026 guidance is conservative, reflecting a storage headwind, but order momentum—especially in enterprise accounts and data centers—could drive upside if sustained. Network optimization and AI initiatives are expected to support future margin and growth.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-06
Q3 2025 saw revenue decline year-over-year due to accounts receivable cleanup and lower project revenues, but margins improved and cash flow remained strong. The company is executing a multi-year network optimization, shifting toward higher-value offerings, and maintaining a conservative outlook for 2025.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-31
Q2 results met expectations with sequential improvements in lease revenues and margins, driven by strong performance in large projects and enterprise accounts. Guidance for 2025 was narrowed due to macro headwinds, but free cash flow outlook was raised, supported by tax benefits and working capital gains.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Information Sources:
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