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Walmart
Dow 30 S&P 500 Nasdaq 100
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$827.8B
Market Cap
43.4
P/E
5.17
PEG
14.3%
ROCE
21.8%
ROE
0.64
D/E
4.2%
OPM
-21.3%
% from 52W High
37
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for WMT including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Walmart Inc. engages in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, ecommerce websites, and mobile applications worldwide.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding WMT
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 9.2K $1.1M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific ↑ Improving 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
Good quarter Investor Presentation One-Pager? Q1 2027
Revenue
$177.8B
+7.3% YoY
Adjusted EPS
$0.66
N/A
What Went Right
  • E-commerce sales grew 26% globally, with store-fulfilled delivery up 45%
  • Advertising business grew 37% globally, including 36% in Walmart U.S.
  • Marketplace net sales surged nearly 50% in the U.S.
What to Watch
  • Fuel costs created a $175M headwind, impacting operating income growth by ~250 bps
  • Lower-income consumers showing signs of stress – average fuel gallons fell below 10 for first time since 2022
  • Potential retail price inflation if fuel costs persist; tariff refunds expected to be less than 0.5% of U.S. sales
Management Guidance
  • Q2 net sales growth expected at 4%–5% (constant currency)
  • Q2 adjusted operating income growth expected at 7%–10% (constant currency)
  • Full-year guidance reiterated: sales +3.5%–4.5%, operating income +6%–8%, EPS $2.75–$2.85 (constant currency)
Investor Lens
Walmart’s thesis is stronger after Q1. The company is gaining share across income cohorts, supported by a stronger omnichannel experience, faster delivery, and a growing mix of higher-margin revenue (advertising, marketplace, membership). Despite an unexpected fuel cost headwind, management reaffirmed guidance and expects profit acceleration through the year. The call reinforces that Walmart’s platform investments are driving durable top-line and profit growth, even as the consumer faces pressure.
From investor presentation · AI-generated analysis · Not investment advice
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📈 STRONG Solid top-line beat with strong e-commerce and advertising momentum
Revenue
Total revenue reached $177.8 billion, up 7.3% reported (5.9% constant currency), exceeding guidance by 120 bps. Growth was broad-based, led by Walmart U.S. comp sales of 4.1% (ex-fuel) and international constant-currency growth of 10.1%.
Profitability
Adjusted operating income grew 5.1% (cc), in line with guidance despite a $175 million fuel headwind. GAAP EPS was $0.67; adjusted EPS was $0.66. Operating income growth is expected to accelerate in Q2 and the second half.
Margins
Walmart U.S. gross margin expanded 29 bps, helped by positive merchandise mix (first time in 18 quarters). However, elevated fuel costs weighed on overall operating margins. The company is investing in price (7,200 rollbacks) while scaling high-margin profit streams like advertising and membership, which together contributed roughly one-third of operating income.
Balance Sheet
Cash and cash equivalents were $10.7 billion, with total debt of $58.1 billion. Operating cash flow was $4.7 billion, down $0.7 billion, partly due to inventory build ($62.6B, +8.9%). Free cash flow was negative $1.9 billion. The company repurchased $2.1 billion in shares during the quarter.
Key Risks
Management highlighted three key risks: (1) persistent fuel cost pressure that could extend into Q2 and beyond; (2) consumer strain, particularly among lower-income households (fuel gallons per visit declining); and (3) potential tariff-related cost increases, though refunds are expected to be modest and the company is biased toward reinvesting in price.
Outlook
For Q2, Walmart expects net sales growth of 4%–5% and adjusted operating income growth of 7%–10% (constant currency). Full-year guidance is unchanged, with sales growth of 3.5%–4.5% and operating income growth of 6%–8%, implying an acceleration through the year.
Generated by AI · Q1 2027 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2027 Q1 2027 2026-05-21
Strong Q1 sales growth driven by e-commerce, marketplace, and higher-margin businesses offset fuel cost headwinds. Guidance for full-year sales and operating income growth was reiterated, with continued investment in technology and automation to enhance efficiency and customer value.
Q4 2026 Q4 2026 2026-02-19
Strong revenue and profit growth driven by e-commerce, advertising, and membership income, with continued gains in inventory efficiency and digital innovation. FY27 guidance anticipates 3.5%-4.5% sales growth and 6%-8% operating income growth, supported by disciplined capital allocation and a $30B share repurchase program.
Q3 2026 Q3 2026 2025-11-20
Q3 saw strong sales and profit growth across all segments, led by international and e-commerce. Guidance for full-year sales and operating income was raised, with continued focus on value, automation, and omnichannel innovation.
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2025-08-21
Sales grew 5.6% in constant currency, with e-commerce up 25% and strong gains in membership and advertising. Despite higher claims expenses, guidance for sales and operating income growth was raised or maintained, and inventory is well-positioned for the back half.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2025-05-15
Sales and profit grew in Q1, driven by strong e-commerce and international results, with e-commerce reaching profitability for the first time. Membership and advertising delivered high-margin growth, while tariff and trade policy volatility remain key risks. Inventory and capital allocation are well managed.
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This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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