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VinFast Auto Ltd.
$7.3B
Market Cap
P/E
PEG
-6,408.6%
ROCE
106.3%
ROE
-0.84
D/E
-82.2%
OPM
-34.2%
% from 52W High
23
α RS
🔍 VFS is showing a notable setup because it matches 2 of 37 tracked screener presets and it's hugging the 21 EMA. Net: Partial signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction Technicals
Sources
Conviction 2/37 · hugging 21 EMA
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for VFS including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
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About

VinFast Auto Ltd. engages in the design and manufacture of electric vehicles (EV), e-scooters, and e-buses in Vietnam, Canada, and the United States.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding VFS
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 31.1K $120K 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED VinFast delivered 196,919 EVs in FY2025; revenue $3.6B; targeting 300,000 EVs in 2026.
Revenue & Profitability
Q4 2025 revenue $1.6 billion (+139% YoY), full-year $3.6 billion (+105% YoY). Gross margin -40% in Q4 (improved from -79% YoY) and -43% full year. Net loss Q4 -$1.4 billion (margin -89%). Adjusted EBITDA Q4 -$1 billion (margin -65%). Full-year 2025 net loss margin -108%, adjusted EBITDA margin -66%. EPS Q4 -$0.6, full-year -$1.65. Total liquidity $3.1 billion as of December 31, 2025, including cash, founder grants ($1.1B disbursed), and ELOC facility.
Outlook
Management believes higher oil prices can accelerate EV adoption, reinforcing VinFast's total-cost-of-ownership value proposition. Structural EV drivers remain affordability, product availability, and charging infrastructure. Macro conditions are monitored closely but no material impact on operating outlook at this stage. Expansion focuses on markets where EV adoption is early and has strong long-term growth potential.
Growth Drivers
Growth driven by scale in Vietnam (36% market share), expansion into India, Indonesia, Philippines, and other Asian markets. New models: next-gen VF6, VF7 (SOP H2 2026), Limo Green, VF MPV7, and VF8 REEV (from 2027). Two-wheeler deliveries expected at least 2.5x FY2025 driven by entry into five Asian markets and V-GREEN battery swapping (4,500 stations as of Jan 2026). GSM international growth supports fleet sales. Dealer network to double in India.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Full-year 2025 CapEx was $922 million. For 2026, expected cash CapEx of ~$1.6 billion: ~$400 million domestic, ~$600 million international factories. Additional CapEx for machinery and equipment. Phase II of Indonesia/India factories and Phase I of North Carolina factory (SOP 2028) are planned. R&D spend expected ~$1.4 billion in 2026, focused on next-gen platforms, ADAS L2+, and EE 2.0 architecture.
Margins
Gross margin improved to -40% in Q4 2025 from -79% YoY, driven by BOM optimization and production scale. BOM cost reduced 13% for VF6, 23% for VF7; further 20-30% reduction expected across models. Next-generation platforms expected to deliver 30-40% lower BOM versus earlier models. Operating leverage improving as revenue growth outpaces fixed costs. Path to profitability increasingly visible over the medium term.
Key Risks
A $236 million impairment charge was booked for the North Carolina factory due to revised project timing; construction is expected to resume in 2026. US market uncertainties include slower EV demand and automotive tariffs. Dependence on related parties (GSM) for a significant portion of deliveries (27% in FY2025, 33% in Q4). Ongoing cost optimization, free charging program adjustments, and NRV provisions impact reported margins. Management monitors macro risks but sees no material near-term impact.
Generated by AI · Q4 2025 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-06-08
Q1 2026 saw 61% year-over-year delivery growth and strong two-wheeler momentum, but gross margin was impacted by a $192 million free charging program. The Vietnam manufacturing spinoff and GSM partnership support a capital-light model and future growth.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-16
Record Q4 and full-year deliveries drove revenue up 105% year-over-year, with gross margin and net loss margins improving significantly. 2026 guidance targets at least 300,000 EV deliveries and major international expansion, supported by new models and manufacturing capacity.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-21
Q3 2025 saw record EV and e-scooter deliveries, strong revenue growth, and continued international expansion, though margins remain negative due to timing of revenue recognition and high investment. Liquidity stands at $3.7 billion, supporting growth and R&D for new platforms.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-09-04
Q2 2025 saw 172% delivery and 92% revenue growth year-over-year, led by Vietnam and supported by international expansion and new factories. Gross margin improved year-over-year but remains negative, with strong liquidity from a $1.6B R&D asset spin-off and founder support.
Q1 2025 Q1 2025 2025-06-09
Q1 2025 saw robust year-over-year growth in EV and two-wheeler deliveries, improved gross margin, and significant cost optimization. Expansion in Asia and a shift to dealer-led distribution in Europe and North America are underway, with new factories and next-gen platforms set to drive future growth.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
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Information Sources:
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