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Two Harbors Investment Corp.
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🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High View all →
$1.3B
Market Cap
—
P/E
1.85
PEG
-0.5%
ROCE
3.6%
ROE
3.79
D/E
30.9%
OPM
0.0%
% from 52W High
70
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for TWO including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Two Harbors Investment Corp. invests in, finances, and manages mortgage servicing rights (MSRs), agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), and other financial assets through RoundPoint in the United States. The company target assets include agency RMBS collateralized by fixed rate mortgage loans, adjustable rate mortgage loans, hybrid mortgage loans, or derivatives; and other assets, such as financial and mortgage-related assets, comprising non-agency securities and non-hedging transactions. It qualifies as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Saint Louis Park, Minnesota.

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📊 MIXED Two Harbors posts negative 2% economic return, agrees to $11.30/share merger with CrossCountry
Revenue & Profitability
Two Harbors reported a comprehensive loss of $24.7 million ($0.24 per share) for Q1 2026. Book value per share declined to $10.57 from $11.13 at year-end 2025. The common stock dividend was $0.34 per share, resulting in a total economic return of negative 2.0%. Net interest and servicing income decreased due to lower float earnings rates and lower balances.
Outlook
Management noted that geopolitical tensions (Middle East conflict) remain the primary driver of market sentiment and economic outlook. On the positive side, RMBS technicals are favorable due to explicit government support (GSE purchases of $200 billion in agency MBS) and potential benefits from Basel III Endgame proposals. However, interest rate volatility remains uncertain, and housing affordability could reverse given rising mortgage rates.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include the DTC origination platform (funded $92 million in Q1 2026, with a $57 million pipeline at quarter end) and the expected merger with CrossCountry Mortgage, which would pair the leading retail originator with Two Harbors' servicing platform. The company also sees potential for improved recapture rates from its servicing portfolio.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Management noted that Two Harbors has a higher expense base than some peers due to its servicing business, which affects relative performance. The static return estimate for the portfolio (after expenses and before structural leverage) is 8%–11.4%, and after giving effect to unsecured notes and preferred stock, the potential static return on common equity is 7.3%–12.9% (quarterly $0.19–$0.34 per share).
Key Risks
Management flagged several risks: geopolitical tensions (Middle East conflict) as the primary driver of market sentiment; increased interest rate and implied volatility impacting RMBS performance; potential reversal of housing affordability gains due to rising mortgage rates; and the uncertainty around the merger completing, though the transaction is not subject to any financing condition.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
Book value per share fell to $10.57 with a negative 2% economic return, while the MSR strategy outperformed hedged securities. The amended merger agreement with CrossCountry Mortgage increases the cash offer to $11.30 per share, with closing expected in the second half of 2026.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-03
Announced a merger with UWM, doubling the MSR portfolio and driving Q4 economic return of +3.9%. Book value rose to $11.13 per share, with comprehensive income of $50.4 million. RMBS and MSR segments performed well amid tightening spreads and strong market demand.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-28
Litigation settlement and portfolio adjustments led to a one-time loss, but excluding this, returns were strong. Sub-servicing and originations businesses are growing, with robust liquidity and a positive outlook for MSR and RMBS strategies.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-29
Second quarter results were heavily impacted by a $199.9 million litigation accrual, leading to a -14.5% economic return, though core portfolio performance excluding this was stable. Agency RMBS and MSR markets remain attractive, with leverage at 7x and strong liquidity maintained.
Q1 2025 Q1 2025 2025-04-29
Total economic return was 4.4% for Q1 2025, with book value rising to $14.66 per share and comprehensive income of $64.9 million. Risk and leverage were reduced amid volatility, but return potential is higher due to wider spreads, and the dividend remains well-supported.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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