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TransMedics Group, Inc.
$3.2B
Market Cap
25.0
P/E
0.93
PEG
42.0%
ROCE
54.2%
ROE
1.07
D/E
17.9%
OPM
-38.7%
% from 52W High
70
α RS
🔍 TMDX is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 6 of 37 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Health Care in the Leading quadrant with the trail still strengthening, and RS Rating is 67. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 6/37 · Health Care in Leading quadrant · RS Rating 67
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About

TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally.

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📊 MIXED TransMedics Q1 2026 revenue $174M, up 21% YoY; eyes OCS Kidney and CHOPS launches.
Revenue & Profitability
Total revenue for Q1 2026 was $174 million, representing 21% year-over-year growth and 8% sequential growth. U.S. transplant revenue was $167 million (up 20% YoY), international revenue was $5.6 million (up 39% YoY). Adjusted operating income was $18.1 million (10.4% margin), and adjusted net income was $11 million ($0.30 per diluted share). Cash and equivalents stood at $462 million at quarter-end.
Outlook
Management reiterated full-year 2026 revenue guidance of $727-757 million (20-25% growth). They see strong underlying demand driven by increasing OCS case volume and clinical adoption, despite transient negative impact from the U.S. Transplant Modernization Act on OPO performance and donor numbers. International expansion and new product launches are expected to expand total addressable market over the mid-to-long term.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include: ENHANCE Heart and DENOVO Lung clinical programs (enrollment expected to accelerate with CHOPS control arm in Q3 2026); OCS Kidney program (targeting U.S. IDE submission early 2027); Gen 3.0 technology upgrades for heart, lung, and liver systems; NOP Europe expansion (Italy hubs, Benelux, and partnership with PAD Aviation); and CHOPS, a controlled hypothermic device for cold storage segments. The company also plans to bid for donor service areas from decommissioned OPOs under transplant modernization.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
TransMedics is investing significantly in R&D (adjusted R&D up 45% YoY), NOP network strengthening, IT capabilities, a new headquarters in Somerville, and product development in Mirandola, Italy. The company also entered a definitive agreement with PAD Aviation to create a European air logistics network. No specific CapEx dollar figures were provided, but investments are expected to be front-loaded in 2026.
Margins
Q1 2026 gross margin was ~58%, down 331 basis points year-over-year due to inventory build for clinical programs and NOP investment. Long-term gross margin target remains ~60%. Adjusted operating margin was 10.4% in Q1, below last year's level due to accelerated investments. Management expects near-term pressure but sees operating leverage from Gen 3.0 platform, kidney program, and scaling of NOP over time.
Key Risks
Key risks flagged include: transient disruption from the U.S. Transplant Modernization Act leading to lower donor numbers; competitive dynamics causing clinical trial enrollment delays; near-term pressure on gross and operating margins from strategic investments; and fuel price exposure (though management believes it can be managed through network efficiency and surcharges). No other specific risks were highlighted.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-04
Record Q2 revenue of $190M was driven by strong growth in OCS case volume, clinical services, and logistics, with service revenue outpacing product revenue. Raised 2026 revenue guidance to $737–$757M, excluding PAD Aviation, and expect continued investment in growth initiatives and international expansion.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-05
Q1 2026 delivered 21% revenue growth and strong operational execution, despite regulatory headwinds and donor supply volatility. Major investments in technology, logistics, and international expansion support a reiterated 2026 revenue guidance of $727–$757 million.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-24
Delivered record 2025 results with 37% revenue growth, strong operating leverage, and robust cash flow. 2026 guidance targets 20–25% revenue growth, supported by clinical adoption, new programs, and international expansion, despite near-term margin pressures.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-29
Q3 2025 saw 32% year-over-year revenue growth to $143.8M, with strong gains in all organ segments and logistics. Gross margin improved to 59%, and net income rose 477% year-over-year. Full-year revenue guidance was raised to $595–$605M, reflecting continued momentum and international expansion.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-30
Q2 delivered record revenue and profit growth, driven by strong U.S. transplant volumes and logistics services. Full-year guidance was raised, with continued investment in R&D, infrastructure, and international expansion supporting long-term growth and margin expansion.
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Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

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Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

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