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TAL Education Group
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$7.2B
Market Cap
11.5
P/E
0.29
PEG
30.5%
ROCE
14.1%
ROE
0.07
D/E
9.2%
OPM
-3.1%
% from 52W High
80
α RS
🔍 TAL is showing a multi-screen setup because it matches 14 of 39 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Consumer Staples in the Leading quadrant with the trail still strengthening, RS Rating is 80, and it has maintained a 24-day Near 52-Week High momentum persistence. The main caution: the Oneil Leaders preset's Backtest win rate is only 45.1%. Net: Mixed signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating Momentum Streaks Backtest
Sources
Conviction 14/39 · Consumer Staples in Leading quadrant · RS Rating 80 · Near 52-Week High streak: 24d · Backtest win rate 45.1%
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for TAL including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
— Excellent
— Good
— Average
— Poor
By Category
📊 Peer Medians
About

TAL Education Group provides smart learning solutions in the People’s Republic of China. It offers learning services through Xueersi Peiyou small classes, personalized premium services, and online course offerings. The company also develops and provides learning content solutions for learners across print, digital and device-based formats, including print books, books integrated with digital learning experiences, learning devices, and mobile applications. In addition, it offers online education services, including live class and pre-recorded course content through www.xueersi.com. Further, the company engages in development and sale of software, network, and learning devices; investment management and consulting services. TAL Education Group was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People’s Republic of China.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding TAL
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 1.66M $18.9M 0.02% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 234.2K $2.7M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific ~ Volatile 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED TAL Education Q4 FY2026 revenue $802.4M (+31.5% YoY), net income $244.8M
Revenue & Profitability
Q4 FY2026 net revenues were $802.4 million, up 31.5% YoY. GAAP income from operations was $72.5 million; non-GAAP income from operations was $82.2 million. GAAP net income attributable to TAL was $244.8 million, compared to a net loss of $7.3 million in the prior year. Non-GAAP net income attributable to TAL was $254.5 million. Other income was $275.0 million, primarily driven by a one-time increase in fair value of investments. Cash and short-term investments totaled $3,239.3 million as of February 28, 2026.
Outlook
Management sees steady demand for enrichment learning driven by evolving parental and educational priorities. They anticipate that as the business scales with a larger baseline, year-over-year growth rates will gradually moderate. The learning devices market is described as highly dynamic with advancing hardware, content, and AI features. Management remains focused on sustainable growth and improving profitability, with potential quarterly fluctuations.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include: offline Peiyou Small Class enrichment programs (expanded to over 40 cities in FY2026, entering five new cities, with retention rate around 80%); online enrichment learning (upgraded with immersive classrooms and role-playing); content solutions (learning devices, now including X5 Ultra, with blended ASP over RMB 3,000 and revenue growth YoY); and selective international expansion leveraging R&D and operational know-how. In FY2027, the company plans to focus on consolidating presence in existing cities rather than aggressive geographic expansion.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Q4 FY2026 gross margin expanded to 53.2% from 52.0% YoY. Non-GAAP selling and marketing expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased from 35.1% to 27.2%, and non-GAAP G&A expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased from 17.4% to 15.8%. Non-GAAP operating income margin improved for every quarter of FY2026 compared to the prior year. Management expects operational efficiency to improve further and remains focused on driving profitability, though quarterly fluctuations may occur.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include: industry-wide memory cost pressures affecting hardware costs; one-time investment gains (other income) not representative of future performance; and the natural moderation of growth rates as the business scales. Forward-looking statements are subject to uncertainties outlined in SEC filings. No specific regulatory or competitive risks were highlighted beyond the dynamic competitive landscape.
Generated by AI · Q4 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2027 Q1 2027 2026-07-30
Q1 FY2027 saw strong revenue and profit growth, with double-digit gains in core segments and improved margins. Learning devices and offline programs both expanded, while disciplined capital allocation and share repurchases continued. Market volatility and cost pressures persist.
Q4 2026 Q4 2026 2026-04-23
Q4 and FY2026 saw robust revenue and profit growth, driven by strong performance in learning services, content solutions, and learning devices. Margin expansion and operational efficiency improved, with a disciplined outlook for FY2027 and continued focus on AI and quality growth.
Q3 2026 Q3 2026 2026-01-29
Reported 27% year-over-year revenue growth and significant margin improvement, driven by strong performance in both offline and online enrichment programs and robust user engagement in learning devices. Growth is expected to moderate due to a higher comparison base and market factors.
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2025-10-30
Net revenues grew 39.1% year-over-year to $861.4 million, with strong gains in both learning services and devices. Investments in technology and AI drove innovation, while a new $600 million share repurchase program was launched. Margin variability expected as new initiatives scale.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2025-07-31
Q1 FY2026 saw 38.8% revenue growth, strong margins, and high retention in core programs. New AI-powered learning devices and expanded content offerings drove engagement, while a new $600M share repurchase plan was authorized. Q2 is expected to benefit from seasonal demand.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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