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StoneCo Ltd.
NASDAQ: STNE Technology IT 🔎 Screen
$2.5B
Market Cap
9.5
P/E
0.49
PEG
-10.2%
ROCE
20.8%
ROE
1.82
D/E
-90.2%
OPM
-39.6%
% from 52W High
18
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for STNE including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

StoneCo Ltd. provides financial technology and software solutions to merchants and integrated partners to conduct electronic commerce across in-store, online, and mobile channels in Brazil.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding STNE
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 5.23M $73.9M 0.09% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 24.2K $342K 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Cautious ~ Volatile 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED StoneCo Q1 2026: Revenue BRL 3.6B, 4.7M clients, credit portfolio grows 14% QoQ.
Revenue & Profitability
Total revenue was BRL 3.6 billion, up 6% year-over-year. Adjusted gross profit was BRL 1.5 billion, broadly stable year-over-year. Adjusted net income grew 3% to BRL 549 million, while adjusted basic EPS increased 15% to BRL 2.19 per share, driven by share buybacks.
Outlook
Management noted a macro environment that continues to weigh on smaller merchants, with higher interest rates expected to stay longer (Selic now closer to 14% versus earlier expectation of 12.5%). Delinquency trends have affected the entire banking industry, but StoneCo's concentration in SMEs makes the impact more pronounced. The company expects cost of risk to normalize to mid-to-high teens over time and TPV growth to re-accelerate in the second half of 2026.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include expanding the credit portfolio (up 14% sequentially) through new products like secured working capital, overdrafts, and credit cards. Retail deposits grew 26% year-over-year on a daily average basis, providing lower-cost funding. In payments, the focus is on reducing churn and simplifying bundles to re-accelerate TPV growth, with April TPV showing improvement.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call. The call mentioned severance costs and technology projects moving into production, but no specific CapEx numbers or capacity plans were provided.
Margins
Adjusted gross profit margin contracted to 41.6% from 44.4% a year ago, primarily due to higher credit provisions. Excluding provisions, cost of services rose 60 basis points. Admin and selling expenses decreased modestly. Management expects operating leverage to resume as provisions normalize and growth picks up in the second half.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include: macro headwinds for smaller merchants leading to elevated churn and higher NPLs; credit models underperforming, particularly on the automated desk; interest rate sensitivity (each 100 bps Selic change impacts pre-tax earnings by BRL 200-250 million); and continued weakness in TPV growth if retention initiatives take longer to yield results.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-14
Revenue grew 6% year-over-year, with stable gross profit and strong capital returns, despite higher credit provisions and macro headwinds. Guidance remains unchanged, with growth expected to accelerate in the second half as churn and credit quality improve.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-02
Leadership transitioned with a sharpened focus on payments, banking, and credit, driving 34% EPS growth and 26% ROE in Q4 2025. Guidance for 2026–2027 targets continued earnings expansion, disciplined capital returns, and scaling credit, amid a challenging macro and evolving competitive landscape.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-06
Adjusted gross profit and EPS saw strong double-digit growth year-to-date, with robust capital returns and expanding ROE. Credit and banking segments are growing rapidly, while macro headwinds and industry deceleration are impacting TPV. Spreads and funding costs remain healthy but sensitive to interest rates.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-07
Divestiture of software assets sharpened focus on financial services, unlocking over R$4B in value. Adjusted net income rose 27% and EPS 45% year-over-year, with strong banking and credit growth. Guidance for 2025 gross profit and EPS was raised, and excess capital is being returned to shareholders.
Q1 2025 Q1 2025 2025-05-08
Q1 2025 saw 19% revenue and gross profit growth year-over-year, with adjusted EPS up 36%. Share buybacks totaled BRL 843 million, and a new BRL 2 billion program was announced. Profitability focus continues, with repricing and cash sweep strategies supporting margins and capital efficiency.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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