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Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High View all →
$9.7B
Market Cap
9.0
P/E
0.28
PEG
5.3%
ROCE
7.1%
ROE
0.75
D/E
17.2%
OPM
-11.1%
% from 52W High
66
α RS
🔍 SIRI is showing a notable setup because Sector RRG has Communication Services in the Improving quadrant with the trail still strengthening and RS Rating is 66. Net: Partial signal stack, not a recommendation. ? RRG RS Rating
Sources
Communication Services in Improving quadrant · RS Rating 66
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for SIRI including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
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About

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. operates as an audio entertainment company in North America.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding SIRI
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Inc 108.82M $2.5B 0.95% Mar 2026
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Inc 15.98M $368.9M 0.14% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 355.1K $8.2M 0.01% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED SiriusXM Q1 2026: Revenue $2.09B, Adj EBITDA $666M, free cash flow $171M
Revenue & Profitability
First quarter 2026 revenue was $2.09 billion, up 1% year-over-year. Net income rose 20% to $245 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 6% to $666 million. Free cash flow more than tripled to $171 million. Earnings per diluted share increased 22% to $0.72. ARPU improved 1% to $14.99.
Outlook
Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance of relatively flat revenue and stable adjusted EBITDA, with modestly lower self-pay net additions compared to 2025. They expect continued free cash flow growth to approximately $1.35 billion in 2026, with a path to $1.5 billion in 2027. The company remains cautious about the auto sales environment and potential macro headwinds, but sees strong fundamentals in its subscription model.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include companion subscriptions, which added 124,000 incremental self-pay net additions in Q1, and continuous service initiatives and auto dealer extended duration plans. Advertising revenue grew 3% driven by a 37% increase in podcasting ad revenue and programmatic demand more than doubling through Google's DV360. The new YouTube partnership, launching in fall 2026, is expected to be a significant growth driver in 2027 and beyond.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Capital expenditures were $105 million in Q1 2026, down from $189 million in the prior year, primarily due to lower satellite spend. The company expects non-satellite CapEx of approximately $400-$415 million for the full year. It recorded $3 million of incremental non-cash depreciation from decommissioning the FM-6 satellite (total $60 million in 2026), with no impact on free cash flow. A next-generation satellite is being completed, after which CapEx is expected to step down.
Margins
Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 140 basis points year-over-year to 31.9% in Q1 2026. The company captured $45 million toward its goal of $100 million in gross cost savings for the year, including $27 million in operating expense savings and $18 million in CapEx savings. SiriusXM segment gross margin was 61%, while Pandora and off-platform gross margin was approximately 28%, down slightly from 29% a year ago.
Key Risks
Management flagged a more measured auto sales environment, which could impact trial volumes. Lower conversion rates among younger car purchasers and used car buyers were noted. The company is mindful of macro headwinds, including gas prices and consumer pressure. Spectrum monetization is dependent on regulatory obligations, technology migration, and partner timing. The YouTube partnership is expected to ramp in 2027, with no material impact in 2026.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-30
Q2 2026 saw revenue and subscriber growth, record-low churn, and strong advertising momentum, leading to raised full-year guidance. Higher memory costs are a headwind, but disciplined execution, new content offerings, and capital returns support long-term growth.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-30
Strong Q1 2026 results with 1% revenue growth, 6% higher adjusted EBITDA, and record-low churn. Expanded advertising reach through a major YouTube partnership and reaffirmed stable full-year guidance, with continued focus on efficiency and free cash flow growth.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-05
Q4 and full-year 2025 results exceeded guidance, with revenue at $8.56B, Adjusted EBITDA at $2.67B, and free cash flow at $1.26B. Podcasting ad revenue surged 41% year-over-year, and cost savings targets were surpassed. 2026 guidance calls for flat revenue and EBITDA, with higher free cash flow.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-30
Q3 revenue was $2.16B, flat year-over-year, with Adjusted EBITDA of $676M and net income of $297M. Guidance for 2025 was raised across revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow, driven by cost savings, strong ad growth in podcasting, and new subscriber initiatives.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-31
Q2 saw improved subscriber trends, strong podcast growth, and disciplined cost management, despite a 2% revenue decline. Free cash flow rose 27%, and full-year guidance was reaffirmed, with advertising market challenges remaining the key risk.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Information Sources:
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