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Sigma Lithium Corporation
NASDAQ: SGML Materials Metals 🔎 Screen
$1.3B
Market Cap
P/E
0.51
PEG
-16.8%
ROCE
-67.4%
ROE
2.51
D/E
-21.9%
OPM
-47.9%
% from 52W High
86
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for SGML including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Sigma Lithium Corporation engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding SGML
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 2.48M $30.6M 0.04% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED Sigma Lithium achieves 61% gross margins, 39% EBITDA, targets 240,000 tons.
Revenue & Profitability
For Q1 2026, Sigma reported 61% gross margins, 39% EBITDA margins (unadjusted), 33% operating margins, and 26% net profit margins. Revenues rose 48% quarter-on-quarter (vs Q3 2025) and 150% versus the prior quarter. Cash stood at $28 million as of May 15, 2026, while total debt fell 33% over two years and 21% over one year, from $201 million (Q1 2024) to $134 million (Q1 2026). The company also secured $96 million and $50 million prepaid offtakes.
Outlook
Management sees a robust demand environment driven by diversified end uses: electric vehicles, data center battery storage, defense, and electrification of large haulage trucks and barges. They highlight energy security and the energy transition as macro tailwinds. No specific headwinds were discussed, but the company is positioned to benefit from a secular lithium cycle.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include resuming construction of Plant 2 (doubling production to 520,000 tons in 2027) and eventually Plant 3 (770,000 tons). The company also opened a new revenue stream by selling high-purity lithium fines. Offtake prepayments, such as the $96 million and $50 million deals, provide cash to fund expansion. Management expects to generate $130M–$330M in cash flow from a single plant over the next 12 months under different pricing scenarios.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
CapEx in the quarter was $3 million. Each new plant (Plant 2 and Plant 3) costs approximately $100 million. Plant 2 is fully funded; Plant 3 is not yet funded. Growth CapEx will be supported by additional prepayment contracts, including a planned $100 million prepayment for production starting in 2027. No other specific capital expenditure guidance was provided.
Margins
Margins have improved dramatically: Q1 2026 gross margins of 61% vs 23% in Q1 2024; EBITDA margins of 39% vs 9%; operating margins of 33% vs -1%; and net profit margins of 26% vs -19%. This trajectory reflects enhanced operational efficiency, lower costs from a larger mining fleet, and disciplined financial execution. The company's low-cost position ensures it generates positive cash flow even at low lithium prices (e.g., $1,500/ton results in $130M cash flow).
Key Risks
Not explicitly discussed as a separate section. However, the transcript implies risks from lithium price volatility and the need to secure financing for Plant 3. Management addressed debt repayment and offtake negotiations, indicating reliance on cash flow and prepayments. No specific risk register was presented.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-15
Record Q1 2026 profitability driven by high margins, robust cash flow, and operational efficiency. Debt reduced by 33% in two years, with strong production and growth outlook supported by funded expansion and resilient market demand.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-30
Delivered strong cash flow and operational resilience in 2025 despite a 27% revenue drop and 24% production decline, driven by cost reductions, new revenue streams, and successful debt repayment. Capacity expansion is on track, with Plant 2 commissioning expected early 2027.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-14
Revenue grew 69% sequentially and 36% year-over-year, with strong cash generation and significant debt reduction. Upgrades to mining and plant operations support low-cost leadership and expansion, while guidance targets further cost reductions and production growth in 2026.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-15
Production rose 40% year-over-year, costs dropped significantly, and the company remains on track for 2025 guidance. Deleveraging, strong safety records, and a diversified client base underpin resilience, while positive price adjustments and expansion plans support future growth.
Q1 2025 Q1 2025 2025-05-15
Q1 2025 saw a 28% revenue increase and a 3.5x rise in EBITDA year-over-year, driven by operational efficiency and low costs. Production targets were met, and expansion is underway, supported by a subsidized BNDES loan. All production remains uncommitted, offering strategic flexibility.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
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