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Stifel Financial Corp.
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NYSE: SF Financials Cap Markets 🔎 Screen
$10.2B
Market Cap
13.8
P/E
0.59
PEG
9.6%
ROCE
18.6%
ROE
0.52
D/E
21.8%
OPM
-23.7%
% from 52W High
30
α RS
🔍 SF is showing a multi-screen setup because it matches 3 of 39 tracked screener presets and Sector RRG has Financials in the Improving quadrant with the trail still strengthening. The main caution: the Price Pessimism preset's Backtest win rate is only 49.6%. Net: Mixed signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG Backtest
Sources
Conviction 3/39 · Financials in Improving quadrant · Backtest win rate 49.6%
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for SF including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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— Poor
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About

Stifel Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated that provides retail and institutional wealth management, and investment banking services to individual, corporations, municipalities, and institutions in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group, and Other. The company provides private client services, including securities transaction and financial planning services; securities brokerage services, such as the sale of equities, mutual funds, fixed income products, and insurance; institutional equity and fixed income sales, trading and research, and municipal finance services; investment banking services, such as mergers and acquisitions, public offerings, and private placements; and retail and commercial banking services comprising personal and commercial lending programs, as well as deposit accounts. It participates in and manages underwritings for corporate and public finance; and offers financial advisory and securities brokerage services. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding SF
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 726.1K $53.7M 0.07% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 100.8K $7.5M 0.01% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Record Q1 net revenue $1.48B, EPS $1.45 non-GAAP, ROTCE ~25%.
Revenue & Profitability
GAAP EPS was $1.48 and non-GAAP EPS was $1.45, compared to $0.33 in the prior year (which included a $180 million legal accrual). Non-GAAP revenues were $1.44 billion, roughly in line with consensus. Investment banking revenue was $341 million (up 44% YoY), advisory revenue $218 million (up 59%), and asset management revenues reached a record. Net interest income came in at the lower end of guidance at $280–290 million for Q2.
Outlook
Management expressed confidence in a strong 2026 but noted heightened uncertainty due to geopolitical risks, energy prices, credit spreads, and interest rate volatility, particularly from the Iran conflict. The institutional pipeline is very strong, though the pace of realization depends on these factors. The industry faces debates around stable coin yield and tokenized equities, where Stifel plans to comply with existing regulatory frameworks.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include record Global Wealth Management asset management revenues and advisor productivity, institutional investment banking (up 44% YoY) driven by advisory and equity capital raising, and increasing activity in venture lending and deposit generation (non-wealth client funding up nearly $1.2 billion). Recruiting added trailing 12-month production of ~$80 million. The firm targets $10 billion revenue and $1 trillion in client assets.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call beyond noting AI investments that enable advisors, bankers, and support teams to work faster. The firm is in early stages of linking data to new AI tools. No specific capex numbers or infrastructure spending figures were provided.
Margins
Firm-wide pre-tax margin was >22% (up ~1,300 bps YoY, benefiting from revenue growth and European restructuring). Institutional pre-tax margin was nearly 20%. The compensation ratio was 57.5% (high end of full-year guidance) and non-comp ratio was 19% (midpoint of guidance). Management expects continued operating leverage as the year progresses.
Key Risks
Management flagged geopolitical risk (Iran conflict, energy prices) and its potential impact on inflation, credit spreads, and interest rate uncertainty, which could slow M&A and equity capital markets. AI frontier models (e.g., Mythos) raise cybersecurity concerns requiring a national response. Credit risks cited include specific situations (First Brands Group, Tricolor, Medallia) to which Stifel had no exposure. Stifel’s software loan exposure (~$500 million on a $43 billion balance sheet) is not seen as material. Private credit liquidity issues and stable coin/tokenization regulation are also noted.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-22
Q2 2026 saw net revenue rise 13% and EPS climb 25% year-over-year, with record first-half results and strong momentum in wealth management and investment banking. The firm remains on track for its loan growth targets, maintains robust capital, and sees AI as a productivity driver, not a threat.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-22
Record Q1 revenues and EPS driven by broad-based growth in wealth management and investment banking, with strong margins and capital position. Guidance remains positive for 2026, though management notes heightened uncertainty from geopolitical and market risks.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-01-28
Record 2025 revenue and EPS were driven by strong wealth and institutional segments, with robust advisor recruiting and capital markets activity. 2026 guidance anticipates further growth, improved margins, and continued capital returns, supported by a strong balance sheet and disciplined execution.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-22
Record quarterly revenue and client assets, with EPS of $1.95 and strong performance across both wealth management and institutional segments. Margins, capital ratios, and deposit growth all improved, while management remains optimistic about continued momentum and market opportunities.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-30
Second quarter net revenue and EPS reached record highs, driven by strong wealth management and institutional performance, robust advisor recruiting, and improved market conditions. Strategic acquisitions and AI initiatives support future growth, while capital allocation remains balanced between bank growth and share repurchases.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Information Sources:
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