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Smith Douglas Homes Corp.
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$90M
Market Cap
13.3
P/E
9.62
PEG
16.2%
ROCE
49.0%
ROE
0.16
D/E
4.5%
OPM
-54.2%
% from 52W High
17
α RS
🔍 SDHC is showing a multi-screen setup because it matches 3 of 39 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Real Estate in the Leading quadrant with the trail still rolling over, and it's hugging the 21 EMA. The main caution: the Graham Defensive preset's Backtest win rate is only 47.2%. Net: Mixed signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG Technicals Backtest
Sources
Conviction 3/39 · Real Estate in Leading quadrant · hugging 21 EMA · Backtest win rate 47.2%
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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— Average
— Poor
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About

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is headquartered in Woodstock, Georgia, Smith Douglas Homes completed its initial public offering in January 2024. Since its inception, Smith Douglas has been entrusted by over 20,000 families to fulfill their new home dreams. Ranked a top 50 builder nationally for several years and with 2,908 closings in 2025, Smith Douglas currently holds the #32 position on the Builder Magazine Top 100 list. The Smith Douglas communities are primarily targeted to entry-level and empty-nest homebuyers looking to purchase a new home priced below the Federal Housing Administration loan limit in the metro areas of Atlanta, Birmingham, Central Georgia, Charlotte, Chattanooga, Dallas-Fort Worth, Greenville, Houston, Huntsville, Nashville, Raleigh, and the Alabama Gulf Coast. Smith Douglas offers its homebuyers a personalized, affordable buying experience at attractive prices, delivering exceptional value and quality. Smith Douglas Homes Corp. was incorporated in Delaware, USA.

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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Q2 2026 saw 22% revenue growth and 32% higher net new orders, driven by efficiency and targeted incentives. Margins compressed due to increased incentives, but backlog and community count rose. Guidance for Q3 anticipates continued margin pressure but stable demand.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
Q1 2026 saw strong home deliveries and record new orders, with revenue of $206.4M and gross margin of 19.6%. Guidance for Q2 anticipates 725–800 closings and margin pressure from higher lot costs, while share repurchases and expansion into new markets continue.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-11
Q4 and full year 2025 saw record home deliveries and community growth, but revenue and margins declined year-over-year due to increased incentives and affordability pressures. Early 2026 shows improved traffic, but demand remains inconsistent amid macro uncertainty.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-05
Q3 2025 saw lower revenue and margins due to higher lot costs and increased incentives, but net orders rose 15% year-over-year. The company is expanding into new markets and expects Q4 closings of 725–775 homes with continued margin pressure from incentives.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-06
Q2 2025 saw strong operational results with 669 closings and $224M revenue, despite margin compression from higher costs and incentives. Expansion into Dallas-Fort Worth and Gulf Coast of Alabama is underway, with a focus on affordability, rapid build times, and maintaining a conservative balance sheet.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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