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Polaris Inc.
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High View all →
$3.7B
Market Cap
29.5
P/E
3.09
PEG
-11.5%
ROCE
-43.7%
ROE
1.81
D/E
-4.9%
OPM
-13.9%
% from 52W High
51
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for PII including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Polaris Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets powersports vehicles in the United States, Canada, and internationally.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding PII
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 225.8K $12.3M 0.02% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed ~ Volatile 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Polaris Q1 2026 sales up 14% organically; EPS $0.13 despite tariff headwinds.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 sales increased 8% year-over-year. Adjusted EPS was $0.13, well above expectations. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 277 basis points. Gross margin improved 389 basis points, overcoming 240 basis points of tariff headwind. Free cash flow was a net outflow but better than planned. Full-year 2026 tariff costs expected to be approximately $215 million.
Outlook
Management expects a relatively flat retail environment for 2026. Utility ORV demand remains strong, supported by data center construction, while recreational segments are sensitive to geopolitical tensions and energy prices. April retail returned to growth across most categories. Uncertainty around tariffs and consumer confidence led to a prudent decision to keep guidance unchanged.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include utility ORV (high single-digit retail growth), commercial business, snowmobile (retail up 25% in the 2025-2026 season), and PG&A (up 14% in Q1). New product launches like the Ranger 1000 Cab and Bennington QX are driving double-digit utility side-by-side retail growth in April. International Powersports sales rose 7%.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call beyond capital allocation priorities: invest in higher-margin profitable growth, return capital through dividends (31st consecutive year of dividend growth), and reduce debt. No specific CapEx guidance or infrastructure investment numbers were provided.
Margins
Gross margin improved 389 bps in Q1, driven by favorable mix, positive net pricing, and operational efficiencies. Adjusted EBITDA margin rose 277 bps. The company achieved over $240 million in structural savings through lean initiatives. Incremental margins in Q1 exceeded 40% (over 70% excluding tariff headwind). Q2 EPS expected $0.70-$0.80.
Key Risks
Key risks include: ongoing tariff uncertainty (Section 232, Section 301 review, USMCA review), higher energy prices, geopolitical conflicts, and consumer sensitivity in recreational segments. The company flagged potential changes in tariff policy and the impact of the Supreme Court IEEPA ruling. A distressed supplier (First Brands bankruptcy) caused a $22.5 million charge in Q1.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-28
Q2 2026 results exceeded expectations, with 9% sales growth and strong operational leverage. Market share gains continued in ORV, and guidance for sales, margins, and EPS was raised. Utility and commercial segments drove growth, while recreational and mid-tier marine remained soft.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-28
Q1 2026 results exceeded expectations with 8% sales growth and strong margin expansion, driven by operational efficiency, premium product mix, and share gains in key segments. Guidance remains cautious due to tariff and consumer uncertainties, but fundamentals and cash generation are robust.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-01-27
Q4 and full-year results exceeded expectations excluding tariffs, with strong share gains and operational improvements. 2026 guidance calls for modest sales growth, EBITDA margin expansion, and EPS of $1.50-$1.60, despite ongoing tariff headwinds and the Indian Motorcycle separation.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-28
Q3 2025 saw 7% sales growth to $1.8B, driven by strong ORV performance and improved dealer inventory. The sale of Indian Motorcycle will sharpen focus on high-margin segments, with tariff headwinds offset by operational efficiencies. Full-year guidance reintroduced, projecting $6.9B–$7.1B in sales.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-29
Q2 sales declined 6% year-over-year amid industry headwinds, but exceeded expectations with share gains, strong free cash flow, and operational efficiencies. Tariff impacts were mitigated, and a new RANGER 500 was launched to target the entry-level market.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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