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Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.
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$4.0B
Market Cap
4.9
P/E
0.88
PEG
15.0%
ROCE
26.8%
ROE
0.83
D/E
7.2%
OPM
-11.9%
% from 52W High
92
α RS
🔍 PARR is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 3 of 37 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 92 (top decile vs market), and an ECS of 50.9 last quarter. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating ECS
Sources
Conviction 3/37 · RS Rating 92 · ECS 50.9
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for PARR including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., an energy company, provides renewable and conventional fuels in the United States.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding PARR
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 513.8K $32.2M 0.05% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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📊 MIXED Par Pacific Q1 adj EBITDA $91M; throughput record; renewables startup
Revenue & Profitability
First quarter adjusted EBITDA was $91 million, and adjusted net income was $39 million or $0.78 per share. Cash from operations totaled $162 million, excluding working capital outflows of $185 million. The company repurchased $28 million of common stock at an average price of $38 per share. Gross term debt at quarter end was $638 million.
Outlook
Management sees global refined product inventory buffers drawing down aggressively, setting up for meaningful tightness over the summer months. Asian refiners are reducing run rates and protectionist policies are restricting free trade of waterborne products, driving Singapore cracks to all-time highs. The April Singapore 3-1-2 index averaged over $72 per barrel, compared with the 2025 average of $16 per barrel.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include the successful startup of the Hawaii Renewable Fuels unit, which achieved on-spec renewable diesel and is transitioning to sustainable aviation fuel mode. The company is also maximizing jet yields, particularly in the Pacific, given strong jet versus diesel spreads. Opportunistic share repurchases are another component of growth in earnings per share.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
First quarter capital expenditures, including deferred turnaround costs, totaled $61 million. The Hawaii refinery has a planned turnaround starting in late June, expected to last 30 to 45 days, during which the renewable fuels unit will also be offline. The Wyoming and Montana refineries completed their April outages on time and are operating normally.
Margins
Refining segment adjusted EBITDA was $69 million in Q1. Hawaii capture was 42% (92% normalized for a $125 million price lag headwind). Montana capture was 143%, Wyoming 139% (including $18M FIFO benefit), and Washington 100%. In April, the consolidated refining index averaged $42 per barrel, up $23 from Q1. Management expects robust cash flow in the current margin environment.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include the price lag headwind in Hawaii (estimated $125 million in Q1) from rapidly rising prices, which can reverse during declines. The company faces consumer refueling pattern shifts due to rising fuel prices and three state-level closures from Hawaii flooding. Planned turnaround execution (Hawaii in late June) and volatility in Singapore cracks and crude differentials are also noted.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-05
Strong Q2 results featured record refining margins, robust EBITDA, and disciplined capital allocation, with significant debt reduction and progress in renewables. Hawaii turnaround was executed on schedule, with Q3 guidance reflecting temporary impacts.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-06
Q1 2026 saw strong operational performance, record throughput, and the successful startup of the Hawaii Renewable unit. Adjusted EBITDA was $91 million, with robust cash flow and continued share repurchases, while market conditions remain favorable for refined products.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-25
2025 saw record profits, improved liquidity, and operational milestones, including a successful Hawaii renewables start-up and major turnarounds. The company enters 2026 with strong financial flexibility, disciplined capital allocation, and a focus on expanding mid-cycle earnings.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-05
Third quarter results featured record throughput, strong Adjusted EBITDA, and a $203 million gain from small refinery exemptions. Liquidity and balance sheet strength support growth, with positive Q4 margin trends and ongoing capital returns.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-06
Q2 adjusted EBITDA reached $138 million with strong segment performance, record Hawaii throughput, and robust retail growth. A $100 million JV with Mitsubishi and INEOS will boost renewables, while share buybacks reduced outstanding shares by 8%.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

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Information Sources:
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