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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.
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$17.3B
Market Cap
10.8
P/E
0.15
PEG
6.5%
ROCE
10.6%
ROE
0.88
D/E
3.2%
OPM
0.0%
% from 52W High
81
α RS
🔍 PAA is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 3 of 37 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Energy in the Leading quadrant with the trail still rolling over, and RS Rating is 78. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 3/37 · Energy in Leading quadrant · RS Rating 78
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for PAA including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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📊 MIXED PAA reports Q1 2026 EBITDA of $730M, raises full-year guide to $2.88B.
Revenue & Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2026 was $730 million. Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised to $2.88 billion. Expected adjusted free cash flow for 2026 is approximately $1.85 billion. Pro forma leverage after the NGL sale would decrease to approximately 3.5 times.
Outlook
Management expects a more constructive long-term oil market due to geopolitical disruption and global SPR replenishment. North America is well-positioned as a key source of supply. Permian production is assumed flat for 2026 but potential upside from flush production later in the year or early 2027.
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by three key initiatives: NGL asset sale, Cactus III synergy capture, and streamlining. The company is also capturing optimization opportunities and seeing increased producer interest for additional connections. Long-haul volumes and margins have improved.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Growth capital guidance remains $350 million, and maintenance capital increased to $185 million reflecting ownership of NGL assets into May. The company has phased expansion capacity on Cactus III and is evaluating organic and inorganic opportunities in a disciplined manner.
Margins
Cost reduction initiatives target $100 million in efficiencies by end of 2027. The company is capturing optimization opportunities and benefiting from FERC tariff escalators and increased volumes. No specific margin percentages were disclosed.
Key Risks
Risks include winter weather impacts, system maintenance, and timing of minimum volume commitments. The NGL divestiture timing and Competition Bureau challenge to the Keyera transaction are cited. However, management sees geopolitical uncertainty as a tailwind for the business.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-07
Q2 adjusted EBITDA reached $738 million, with strong crude segment growth and leverage reduced to 3.3x after the NGL sale. Growth capital was raised to $400–$450 million, targeting quick-return projects, and Permian production guidance increased. Momentum is expected to continue into 2027.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-08
First quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA reached $730 million, with strong crude and NGL segment results and an increased full-year EBITDA guidance to $2.88 billion. Proceeds from the pending NGL sale will reduce leverage, while cost and optimization initiatives remain on track.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-06
Q4 and full-year 2025 Adjusted EBITDA reached $738M and $2.83B, respectively, as the company transitioned to a pure-play crude business through major asset sales and acquisitions. 2026 guidance calls for $2.75B Adjusted EBITDA, stable Permian volumes, and $100M in annual cost savings by 2027.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-05
Q3 2025 saw strong Adjusted EBITDA and strategic progress, including full ownership of EPIC Crude Holdings and the pending NGL divestiture. Guidance was narrowed, leverage is expected to normalize post-divestiture, and capital allocation remains focused on debt reduction and distributions.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-08
Q2 2025 saw strong adjusted EBITDA and robust crude oil segment growth, supported by bolt-on acquisitions. The $3.75B NGL business sale will streamline operations and enhance financial flexibility, with 2025 guidance reaffirmed in the lower half of the range.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
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