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Ovintiv Inc.
🏹 Trader: 🚀 Stage 2 + Near High 📈 Stage 2 🎯 Near 52W High | BRS 85 Ready View all →
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$17.2B
Market Cap
8.0
P/E
1.52
PEG
12.2%
ROCE
11.5%
ROE
0.57
D/E
23.9%
OPM
-3.4%
% from 52W High
83
α RS
🔍 OVV is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 6 of 37 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 83, and it's within 3.4% of its 52-week high. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating 52W High
Sources
Conviction 6/37 · RS Rating 83 · 3.4% from 52W high
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for OVV including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
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Average
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By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Ovintiv Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and natural gas exploration and production company in North America.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding OVV
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 1.95M $115.9M 0.15% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 98.7K $5.9M 0.01% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED Ovintiv Q1 FCF $634M, net debt <$3.3B, integrates NuVista assets.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 cash flow per share was $4.62, beating consensus by about 6%. Free cash flow totaled $634 million. Net debt was less than $3.3 billion as of April 30, with leverage below 0.8x. The company recorded a $1.2 billion after-tax non-cash ceiling test impairment due to weaker oil prices. Annualized interest savings of over $80 million are expected from debt repayments.
Outlook
Management sees a more constructive macro environment with substantially higher oil prices than initially expected for 2026. They are monitoring duration signals including the reopening of the Strait, potential demand destruction, OPEC dynamics, and China demand. The company is maintaining a stay-flat program to let higher prices accrete to free cash flow. They believe stability has real value for shareholders and are positioned for durable returns.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include inventory depth: since 2023, Permian and Montney drilling inventory increased by more than 3,200 locations. The Permian has 12-15 years of premium inventory. In the Montney, the NuVista acquisition integration is complete, delivering $100 million in annualized cost synergies. The company sees potential for condensate growth due to strong demand from oil sands in Canada. They have the option to grow both the Permian and Montney but are currently patient.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Q1 2026 capital investment was $605 million, at the low end of guidance. Q2 capital spend is expected to be approximately $575 million. Full-year capital guidance remains unchanged. The company is not seeing significant inflationary pressure outside of higher diesel costs, and expects to offset any inflation with operational efficiencies. Investments in AI and innovation continue, including real-time drilling optimization and surfactant deployment.
Margins
Management emphasized cost leadership, with Ovintiv being the undisputed cost leader in the Montney and among the top two lowest-cost operators in the Midland Basin. They have lowered cash costs, reduced interest expense and overhead. The company is offsetting inflationary pressure through operational efficiencies. Specific margin percentages were not provided, but the focus is on capital efficiency and free cash flow generation.
Key Risks
Key risks include the Canadian sliding-scale royalty structure, which reduces net volumes at higher oil prices. If condensate prices average $90/barrel, net volumes could be reduced by 5,000 bbl/d. Broader macro risks cited include potential demand destruction from higher oil prices, supply response from North America and OPEC, and uncertain demand from China. The company does not expect further impairments at current strip pricing.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-24
Q2 2026 saw record operational and financial performance, with oil and condensate volumes and free cash flow exceeding expectations. Net debt fell below $3 billion, leverage reached 0.6x, and shareholder returns are set to surpass 60% of free cash flow for the year.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-12
Expanded drilling inventory, reduced net debt below $3.3B, and delivered strong Q1 results with cash flow per share above consensus. Integrated NuVista assets, maintained production guidance, and enhanced shareholder returns amid higher oil prices.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-24
Portfolio transformation completed with focus on Permian and Montney, driving strong financial and operational results. Debt reduction enables a new shareholder return framework, with at least 75% of 2026 free cash flow to be returned and a $3B buyback program authorized.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-05
Q3 results exceeded expectations with strong cash flow, production, and capital efficiency. The NuVista acquisition adds premium Montney inventory and synergies, while Anadarko divestiture will accelerate debt reduction and boost shareholder returns.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-25
Q2 results exceeded guidance with strong operational performance, cost reductions, and higher free cash flow. Production and efficiency gains led to increased shareholder returns and accelerated debt reduction, while new marketing agreements diversified gas exposure and reduced price risk.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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