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Origin Materials, Inc.
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NASDAQ: ORGN Materials Chemicals 🔎 Screen
$5M
Market Cap
—
P/E
—
PEG
-141.1%
ROCE
N/M
ROE
0.12
D/E
-1,369.3%
OPM
2
α RS
🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for ORGN including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
— Excellent
— Good
— Average
— Poor
By Category
📊 Peer Medians
About

Origin Materials, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the polyethylene terephthalate (PET) closures business in California.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding ORGN
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 80.5K $183K 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-27
PET cap commercialization advanced with new designs and first store launch, but extended customer qualification and financing challenges delayed breakeven to 2028. Strategic focus is now solely on caps, with asset sales and new financing urgently needed.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-13
Secured new financing to support PET cap production scale-up and maintained strong revenue guidance for 2026–2027. Achieved first commercial order, expanded global reach, and settled litigation, while demand for sustainable packaging remains robust.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-14
First PET bottle caps are now commercially available, with Berlin Packaging as a key customer and a strong sales pipeline. Revenue guidance for 2026 and 2027 was reduced due to manufacturing delays and tariff impacts, but cash reserves remain solid.
Q1 2025 Q1 2025 2025-05-15
Commercialization of a new PET cap solution faces qualification delays, pushing revenue guidance to $50–$70M in 2026 and $150–$210M in 2027, with adjusted EBITDA positive expected by end of 2026. Demand remains strong, and financing is on track through debt.
Q4 2024 Q4 2024 2025-03-13
Commercial PET cap production launched, with strong demand and a robust sales pipeline exceeding supply. 2024 revenue met guidance, while 2026 revenue is projected at $110–$140 million and EBITDA positive run rate expected by end of 2026.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

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Information Sources:
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