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ONE Gas, Inc.
NYSE: OGS Utilities Energy 🔎 Screen
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High View all →
$4.7B
Market Cap
17.7
P/E
2.39
PEG
5.7%
ROCE
8.1%
ROE
0.90
D/E
18.9%
OPM
-9.0%
% from 52W High
54
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for OGS including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

ONE Gas, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a regulated natural gas distribution utility company in the United States.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding OGS
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 146.8K $12.6M 0.02% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED ONE Gas Q1 2026 adjusted EPS $2.11, affirms full-year guidance $4.83-$4.95
Revenue & Profitability
Adjusted net income for Q1 2026 was $133.4 million ($2.11 per diluted share), up from $120.1 million ($1.99) in Q1 2025. Revenues increased approximately $27 million from new rates. Depreciation and amortization expense decreased 6% year-over-year, and interest expense decreased 9%. The company affirmed full-year 2026 adjusted net income guidance of $306-$314 million and adjusted EPS of $4.83-$4.95.
Outlook
Management affirmed 2026 guidance despite a historically warm winter, citing structural benefits like capacity release and discretionary cost deferrals. They see growing demand from large load customers including data centers, manufacturing and grid-connected utility generation. No explicit macro headwinds were discussed, but the company noted the supportive regulatory environment in Texas (House Bill 4384) and steady customer growth in metropolitan areas.
Growth Drivers
Residential customer growth continued with over 6,300 new meters installed through April, driven by Oklahoma City and El Paso. The company is advancing six large-load projects in late-stage discussion that could support up to 3 GW of generation and 1 BCF/day of demand. It signed a transportation agreement to supply 20 million cubic feet of natural gas per day to an Oklahoma data center. The Western Farmers 43-mile pipeline project in Southern Oklahoma is on track for 2028 in-service.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Capital projects in Q1 2026 totaled $170 million, in line with the prior year. The company is investing in the Western Farmers pipeline (43 miles, 24-inch) and a 1.6-mile pipeline for a manufacturing facility near El Paso. It also deployed artificial intelligence to automate tasks, generating over 12,000 hours of annualized labor savings. Under its five-year plan, the company expects compound annual O&M expense growth of 3%-4%.
Margins
The company is focused on managing O&M expense growth, targeting a 3%-4% compound annual growth rate over its five-year plan. Q1 O&M expenses increased 8.6% year-over-year, driven by employee costs and higher line locating activity. Management noted discretionary levers such as deferring non-time-sensitive projects to offset weather impacts. Insourcing of line locating and Watch and Protect functions are expected to improve efficiency and provide savings.
Key Risks
Weather remains a key risk, as the Q1 2026 experienced one of the warmest winters on record, which reduced earnings despite weather normalization mechanisms. Storage-related cash flows were affected and are expected to normalize later in the year. O&M expense volatility due to line locating activity and employee costs was noted. Regulatory risk includes timing of rate case approvals and surcharge filings.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-05
Second quarter adjusted EPS rose 52% year-over-year, driven by new rates, legislative benefits, and disciplined cost management. Full-year guidance was raised to the upper half of the range, supported by strong project execution and regulatory approvals.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-05
Adjusted EPS rose 6% year-over-year despite a record warm winter, with strong customer growth and disciplined cost management. Affirmed 2026 guidance and continued capital deployment support long-term growth, while regulatory filings and operational efficiencies drive resilience.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-19
Full-year 2025 results met revised EPS guidance, with net income and adjusted EPS both rising year-over-year. Regulatory changes in Texas and proposed Kansas legislation are expanding capital recovery and impacting financial reporting, while strong operational execution and customer growth support long-term outlook.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-04
Q3 net income rose to $26.5M on higher rates and customer growth, with 2025 EPS guidance narrowed to $4.34–$4.40. Major capital projects and Texas legislation support structural growth above the 4%–6% range, while operational improvements and disciplined capital allocation continue.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-06
Second quarter net income rose to $32 million, with full-year 2025 guidance raised on strong customer growth and favorable Texas legislation. Capital needs are well covered, and major projects like the Austin System Reinforcement remain on track.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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