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MGIC Investment Corporation
NYSE: MTG Financials Insurance 🔎 Screen
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High 💎 VCP Breakout | BRS 75 Ready View all →
$7.2B
Market Cap
9.3
P/E
1.64
PEG
ROCE
14.3%
ROE
0.13
D/E
OPM
0.0%
% from 52W High
69
α RS
🔍 MTG is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 4 of 37 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 69, and it's within 0% of its 52-week high. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating 52W High
Sources
Conviction 4/37 · RS Rating 69 · 0% from 52W high
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for MTG including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

MGIC Investment Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage insurance, other mortgage credit risk management solutions, and ancillary services in the United States, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and Guam.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED MGIC Q1 2026 net income $165M, ROE 13%, NIW $14B (+41% y/y)
Revenue & Profitability
Net income for Q1 2026 was $165 million ($0.76 per diluted share), compared to $0.75 per share a year ago. Annualized return on equity was 13%. Book value per share reached $23.63, up 10% year-over-year. Investment income was $62 million, flat sequentially and year-over-year. Underwriting and other expenses were $48 million, down from $53 million in Q1 2025. Favorable loss reserve development totaled $31 million.
Outlook
Management views housing affordability as a persistent challenge for prospective buyers, and private MI is seen as critical to enabling low-down-payment borrowers. Insurance in force is expected to remain relatively flat in 2026, though lower mortgage rates could increase the MI market through higher refinance activity, partially offset by lower persistency. Macro tailwinds include strong wage growth and nominal GDP; key headwinds include the unemployment rate and elevated home prices. Credit score modernization is expected to lower borrower costs over time.
Growth Drivers
New insurance written (NIW) grew 41% year-over-year to $14 billion, driven by higher refinance activity (over 20% of NIW) and a modestly larger purchase market. Persistency ended Q1 at 84%, down from 85% in Q4 2025. If mortgage rates decline further, higher refinance volume could boost NIW but reduce persistency. Management expects refinance activity to moderate in the second half of 2026 given current rate levels.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
The in-force premium yield was 38 basis points in Q1, flat sequentially, and management expects it to remain relatively flat for the full year due to high persistency and stable MI origination trends. Underwriting expenses decreased year-over-year to $48 million; full-year guidance is $190-$200 million. Operating leverage was not explicitly addressed, but favorable loss reserve development ($31 million) indicates improved claim experience.
Key Risks
Management flagged the risk of continued upward normalization in the delinquency rate, though current levels remain low by historical standards. Macroeconomic headwinds such as energy prices, unemployment, and housing affordability were noted as ongoing concerns. Servicer reporting timing created noise in Q1 delinquency data, though April trends appear favorable. Interest rate movements could significantly impact persistency and new business volumes.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-30
Q2 2026 net income reached $182M with 14.5% ROE and $18B in new insurance written, up 8.5% year-over-year. Capital return activities totaled 124% of net income, and the dividend was raised for the sixth consecutive year. Credit trends remain stable and reinsurance programs were further enhanced.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-30
Q1 2026 saw strong net income, robust capital returns, and record NIW growth, with stable credit quality and a 13% ROE. Insurance in force and premium yields are expected to remain flat, while capital allocation remains disciplined amid evolving market conditions.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-03
Q4 and full-year results showed strong profitability, with net income and ROE up year-over-year, stable credit quality, and robust capital returns. Insurance in force surpassed $300 billion, and expense management improved, while outlook for 2026 is for flat insurance in force and continued operational discipline.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-30
Q3 2025 saw strong net income, 14.8% ROE, and record insurance in force, with $918M returned to shareholders. Delinquency rates remain low, capital levels are robust, and reinsurance actions further strengthen risk management.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-31
Q2 net income reached $193 million with strong credit performance and a 15% ROE. Shareholder returns remained high through $181 million in share repurchases and a 15% dividend increase, while insurance in force and persistency stayed stable. Elevated payout ratios are expected to continue.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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