Loading…
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation
$5.2B
Market Cap
12.7
P/E
2.65
PEG
16.8%
ROCE
17.0%
ROE
0.20
D/E
33.5%
OPM
-17.3%
% from 52W High
47
α RS
🔍 MGY is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 9 of 37 tracked screener presets, it's within 17.3% of its 52-week high, and it's hugging the 21 EMA. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction 52W High Technicals
Sources
Conviction 9/37 · 17.3% from 52W high · hugging 21 EMA
⚖️ Compare 🔒 Generate Report 🔒 Research Packet 📚 Guides
🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for MGY including FX impact
🌏
Click 🌏 Returns tab to load data
📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation, an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
Loading…
⭐ Superinvestors Holding MGY
View All Superinvestors →
Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 1.70M $53.7M 0.08% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 692.6K $21.9M 0.03% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

🔒
Premium Feature
AI-generated 10-section company profile — business model, financials, strengths, risks & management quality
Upgrade to Premium
Already a member? Log in
📐
3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
Open Model →
🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Magnolia Q1: 102.6 Mboe/d, net income $101M, 36% margins, 6% YoY production growth.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 net income was $101 million ($0.54 per diluted share), with adjusted EBITDAX of $253 million. Free cash flow reached $146 million. Total revenue per boe declined 4% year-over-year due to lower NGL and natural gas prices, partially offset by higher oil prices. The company has no hedges on any production.
Outlook
Management expects total production growth of approximately 5% for 2026. They note that oil price differentials have narrowed significantly, with Magellan East Houston pricing currently above WTI. Regarding natural gas, management believes new Permian gas pipeline capacity may not materially impact their realizations, based on past experience with similar infrastructure.
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by the Giddings area, which recorded record production in Q1 with 9% year-over-year total volume growth and 8% oil growth. Bolt-on acquisitions in Karnes and Giddings ($155 million total) added 6,200 net acres and ~500 boe/d of low-decline PDP (45% oil), extending the drilling inventory. The company expects moderate production growth of ~5% in 2026.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Drilling and completion capital was $129 million in Q1, representing a 51% reinvestment rate. Full-year 2026 D&C capital is guided at $440–$480 million. Additionally, $155 million was spent on small bolt-on acquisitions during the quarter. The company maintains two rigs and one completion crew, with no plans to add significant incremental activity.
Margins
Q1 2026 pre-tax operating margin was 36% of total revenue ($13.84 per boe). Total adjusted cash operating costs, including G&A, were $11.57 per boe. Revenue per boe declined 4% year-over-year due to lower NGL and gas prices. The company's low cost structure and high working interest (93% in Karnes, average NRI ~80%) support strong margins.
Key Risks
Management acknowledged commodity price volatility as a risk, though the company's unhedged position provides upside when prices rise. In response to an analyst question, they noted that new Permian gas pipeline capacity coming online in the second half of 2026 could theoretically affect gas realizations, but based on past experience (e.g., Matterhorn in 2025), they do not expect a material impact.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
🔒
Free Account Required

Create a free Finmagine account to access Finmagine™ Scorecard.

See how this company scores across 5 dimensions — Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Position, Management Quality, and Valuation — powered by 30+ computed ratios.

Create Free AccountLog In
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Ask AI.

Get 25 expert AI analysis templates — Business KPIs, Comprehensive, Forensic Governance, Peer Comparison, Risk-Reward, Full Research Report, IPO Decoder, Red Flag Detector, and more — ready to paste into ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, or Perplexity.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Peer Comparison.

Compare this company side-by-side against its sector peers with financial metrics, ratio benchmarking, and relative performance across all key dimensions.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account
✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
🔍
🔎 See cross-company document search → ?
📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Q2 2026 saw record production and strong financials, with adjusted net income of $184M and $235M in free cash flow. The $4.06B WildFire Energy acquisition will expand acreage and production, with a balanced funding mix and a focus on rapid debt reduction.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Q1 2026 saw strong financial and operational results, with 6% production growth, $101M net income, and $146M free cash flow. Bolt-on acquisitions expanded core assets, and shareholder returns increased via dividends and buybacks. Guidance for 2026 production growth remains at 5%.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-06
Record Q4 and full-year 2025 production drove strong free cash flow, with 75% returned to shareholders. 2026 guidance calls for flat capital spending and 5% production growth, supported by continued operational efficiency and disciplined capital allocation.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-30
Record Q3 production and strong free cash flow enabled increased shareholder returns, with 2025 production growth now expected at 10%. Capital discipline, operational efficiencies, and bolt-on acquisitions support continued growth, while maintaining flexibility amid commodity price volatility.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-31
Q2 2025 saw record production, strong free cash flow, and improved capital efficiency, with guidance for higher full-year growth and lower capital spend. Bolt-on acquisitions expanded Giddings acreage, and shareholder returns remained robust.
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Catalyst Timeline.

Every result, order win, insider trade, ECS update, earnings-call, and SEC announcement for this company — in one chronological lane.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account
🔒
Premium Feature

Upgrade to Finmagine Premium to unlock Full Report.

Read the complete Finmagine™ investment research report — comprehensive fundamental analysis, business model assessment, competitive positioning, and investment recommendation.

Upgrade to PremiumCreate Free Account

📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

🎯
Discover Our Proven Investment Framework Learn how we analyze and rank stocks using advanced quantitative models, multi-dimensional scoring systems, and dynamic discriminatory ranking techniques that have guided successful investment decisions across market cycles.
📊 Explore The Finmagine™ Methodology

A comprehensive, bias-free framework for analyzing and ranking stocks by Financial Strength, Growth Potential, Competitive Edge, Management Quality, and Value.

Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Not SEC-Registered:
Finmagine is not registered as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or any state securities authority. Nothing on this platform constitutes investment advice as defined under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940.

Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

Forward-Looking Statements:
This analysis may contain forward-looking statements, forecasts, or projections that are inherently subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied. Finmagine does not undertake any obligation to update such statements in the future.

Limitation of Liability:
The content is provided "as is" without any warranties, express or implied. Finmagine expressly disclaims any liability for errors, omissions, or any losses incurred as a result of reliance on the information provided. Readers assume full responsibility for their investment decisions.