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About

Moody's Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated risk assessment firm in the United States, the rest of the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

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⭐ Superinvestors Holding MCO

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Manager	Shares	Value	% of Fund	Period
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Inc	12.62M	$5.5B	2.09%	Mar 2026
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Inc	11.97M	$5.2B	1.99%	Mar 2026
Li Lu Himalaya Capital Management	117.8K	$51.4M	1.61%	Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC	112.1K	$48.9M	0.08%	Mar 2026
Warren Buffett Berkshire Hathaway Inc	72.1K	$31.5M	0.01%	Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management	23.8K	$10.4M	0.01%	Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

🔍 Concall Decoded

🎙 Management Tone Tracker Confident Specific → Stable 5 quarters analysed

Q2 2025

Confident Specific

Management used positive language such as 'impressive accomplishment', 'strong execution', and 'delivered strong results', while acknowledging headwinds like the April issuance air pocket and strategic terminations, but overall maintained a confident tone supported by specific metrics (e.g., 75% private credit revenue growth, 360 bps MA margin expansion).

Q3 2025

Confident Specific

Management repeatedly uses superlatives like 'record quarterly revenue', 'record', 'strong', and 'raised guidance'. They provide granular detail on revenue growth, margin expansion, EPS growth, and specific deal wins.

Q4 2025

Confident Specific

Record revenue, record EPS, strong margin expansion, and specific guidance numbers for 2026. Language like 'record year', 'robust growth', 'well-positioned' and detailed quantifications of AI adoption and customer growth.

Q1 2026

Confident Specific

Management used language like 'strong start', 'strong financial performance', 'sustained revenue growth', 'powerful operating leverage', and 'demand remains healthy'. They provided specific figures (e.g., EPS $4.33, MA revenue +8%, MIS margin 66.7%) and gave concrete customer examples. They acknowledged volatility but framed it as timing, not structural weakness.

Q2 2026 latest

Confident Specific

The call led with a 'standout second quarter' and 'strong performance across the board,' supported by exact figures: 15% revenue growth, 25% adjusted operating income growth, 55.3% adjusted operating margin, and 31% EPS growth to $4.68. Management repeatedly emphasised broad-based execution, raised full-year issuance and EPS guidance, and gave detailed proof points across AI/data centres, private credit, insurance, and banking.

Guidance Reliability Pending · <3Q data

Investor Lens

The investment thesis looks slightly stronger after this call: Q2 delivered broad-based beat-and-raise dynamics on issuance and EPS, with management explicitly saying the year is tracking to plan and that the second half is de-risked relative to three months ago. The continued AI/data-centre issuance story is a meaningful multi-year tailwind, but management was careful not to over-index on it, noting that ex-AI issuance still grew double-digits and that mix is less revenue-accretive. The key nuance to watch is that despite higher issuance, full-year MIS revenue guidance was held, implying a deliberate, mix-driven moderation in Q3/Q4. Moody's Analytics remains on a steady high single-digit ARR path with margin expansion, though the new CEO adds a strategic review element. Next quarter, focus on whether Q3 MIS revenue indeed lands low single-digit, whether MCP/Smart API pipeline converts into quantified ARR, and whether MA organic growth can stay near 8%-9%.

AI-generated concall tone analysis · Updated 2026-08-14 · Not investment advice

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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 5 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →

Good quarter Investor Presentation One-Pager? Q2 2026

Revenue

$2.2B

+15% YoY

Adjusted Operating Margin

55.3%

+440 bps YoY

Adjusted Diluted EPS

$4.68

+31% YoY

Free Cash Flow

$688M

+47% YoY

What Went Right

Total revenue grew 15% to $2.2B, with MIS transaction revenue up 34% and rated issuance above $2 trillion for the second straight quarter.
Moody's Analytics ARR reached ~$3.7 billion, up 9% YoY, with Decision Solutions ARR growing 10% and trailing 12-month retention at 95%.
Adjusted operating margin expanded 440 bps to 55.3%; adjusted diluted EPS rose 31% to $4.68.

What to Watch

Management flagged lower revenue yield from jumbo hyperscaler and frequent FIG issuance, so higher issuance outlook did not lift MIS revenue guidance.
Q3 MIS revenue is expected to grow low single-digit YoY and Q4 to be roughly flat as activity slows through the summer and tough comps persist.
Geopolitical/headline risk and an early-July high-yield risk-off window remain concerns; restructuring program was expanded by $100 million through 2027.

Management Guidance

Q3 2026 MIS revenue expected to grow low single-digit YoY; Q4 roughly flat vs prior year.
Full-year 2026 adjusted diluted EPS guidance narrowed to $16.50-$17.00, midpoint $16.75.
MIS revenue growth maintained at high single-digit; MA ARR growth maintained at high single-digit; rated issuance growth outlook raised to mid-single-digit.
Full-year free cash flow guidance adjusted to $2.7B-$2.9B; share repurchase guidance raised to up to $3.0B.

Investor Lens

The thesis is stronger after this call. Moody's delivered broad-based revenue growth, margin expansion, and a higher EPS midpoint, demonstrating real operating leverage. Recurring MA ARR growth and record rated issuance reinforce the multi-year funding currents around AI infrastructure, private credit, and emerging markets. The main tempering factor is mix—jumbo, lower-yield data-center and FIG deals do not convert one-for-one into revenue, so management kept full-year revenue guidance unchanged despite higher issuance. If credit conditions hold, there is second-half upside, but the guide remains conservative.

From investor presentation · AI-generated analysis · Not investment advice

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📈 STRONG Strong Q2: revenue +15%, adjusted EPS +31%, margins expand

Revenue

Total revenue was $2.2 billion, up 15% YoY. MIS revenue grew 25% to $1.26 billion, helped by 34% transaction growth, while MA revenue grew 4% to $925 million, or 8% on an organic constant-currency basis.

Profitability

Adjusted diluted EPS rose 31% to $4.68; GAAP diluted EPS was $5.03, up 57% YoY. Net income was not separately disclosed on the call.

Margins

Adjusted operating margin expanded 440 bps to 55.3%. MIS adjusted operating margin expanded 410 bps to 68.3%, while MA adjusted operating margin expanded 150 bps to 33.6%.

Balance Sheet

Q2 free cash flow was $688 million, up 47% YoY; year-to-date free cash flow was $1,532 million, up 34%. Year-to-date share repurchases were approximately $2.2 billion, and full-year repurchase guidance was raised to up to $3.0 billion.

Key Risks

Management flagged lower revenue yields on large data-center and frequent FIG issuances, which limits revenue conversion from issuance upside. They also cited geopolitical/headline risk, a brief high-yield risk-off window in early July, and tougher second-half 2025 comps as near-term risks.

Outlook

Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance was narrowed to $16.50-$17.00, with MIS revenue and MA ARR growth both maintained at high-single-digit percent. Rated issuance growth outlook was raised to mid-single-digit percent, while free cash flow guidance was adjusted to $2.7B-$2.9B.

Generated by AI · Q2 2026 results · Not investment advice

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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter

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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)

Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-22

Second quarter results showed 15% revenue growth, 25% adjusted operating income growth, and 31% higher adjusted EPS, with broad-based strength across all segments. Guidance was raised for issuance and capital returns, and significant investments in AI and cloud-based solutions are driving future growth.

Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-22

Q1 2026 saw robust revenue and margin growth across both segments, with adjusted EPS up 13% year-over-year and record rated issuance. Guidance remains unchanged despite geopolitical volatility, and strong capital returns are planned for 2026.

Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-18

Record 2025 results featured 9% revenue growth, 20% EPS increase, and margin expansion, driven by robust demand in ratings and analytics, strong AI adoption, and portfolio optimization. 2026 guidance projects high single-digit revenue growth, margin improvement, and significant capital returns to shareholders.

Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-22

Record quarterly revenue and EPS growth led to raised full-year guidance across most metrics. Strong performance in ratings and analytics, robust issuance, and continued investment in AI and emerging markets underpin a positive outlook.

Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-23

Second quarter revenue grew 4% year-over-year to $1.9 billion, with strong margin expansion and 9% EPS growth. Private credit, AI, and strategic partnerships drove growth, while guidance was raised for full-year revenue and EPS.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

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