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Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.
$11.6B
Market Cap
127.5
P/E
0.56
PEG
1.6%
ROCE
0.9%
ROE
0.33
D/E
2.9%
OPM
-15.6%
% from 52W High
75
α RS
🔍 KNX is showing a notable setup because it matches 2 of 37 tracked screener presets and RS Rating is 75. Net: Partial signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 2/37 · RS Rating 75
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for KNX including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
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Average
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By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a freight transportation company in the United States and Mexico.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding KNX
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 1.38M $79.3M 0.10% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific ~ Volatile 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Knight-Swift sees improving truckload pricing with high single to low double-digit rate targets
Revenue & Profitability
Consolidated Q1 2026 revenue, excluding fuel surcharge, was essentially flat year-over-year. Operating income declined $38 million year-over-year due to a $18 million LTL claim development, $4 million VAT expense in truckload, and $12-$14 million net negative impact from weather and fuel. GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.01; adjusted EPS was $0.09, down from $0.28 in Q1 2025. Adjusted operating ratio was 97%, up 230 basis points. Q2 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is $0.45-$0.49.
Outlook
Management is optimistic about the truckload market, citing ongoing FMCSA and DOT enforcement actions that are reducing capacity, especially in the one-way market. They note improving load tenders, tender rejections, and spot pricing. Demand is beginning to improve, and shippers are seeking asset-based capacity. In LTL, freight mix is improving with higher weight per shipment, but the tightening is less sharp than in truckload.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include mid-single-digit rate renewals in LTL, high single- to low double-digit rate targets on truckload bids, and improving network density in LTL as it transitions from regional to national. Intermodal load count and revenue per load are growing, with March load count up 8.4% year-over-year. Logistics is leveraging technology to capture opportunities as contractual pricing resets.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not specifically discussed in this earnings call. Management noted they are slowing down building new LTL locations but are adding door counts at pinch points to improve freight flow. No capital expenditure guidance was provided.
Margins
Consolidated adjusted operating ratio was 97%, up 230 bps year-over-year. Truckload adjusted OR was 96.3%, only 70 bps worse despite headwinds, helped by lower empty miles and rate improvement. LTL margins were negatively impacted by an adverse claim development. Management targets truckload mid-80s OR in a normalized market and expects LTL to achieve sub-90 OR during 2026 as operating leverage builds.
Key Risks
Risks include adverse legal developments (e.g., arbitration ruling on a 2022 claim costing $18 million), severe weather disruptions, fuel price volatility, and challenges in recruiting and retaining quality drivers as the market tightens. The timing and durability of regulatory capacity reductions are uncertain, and a slower-than-expected demand recovery could limit rate improvement.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-22
Truckload and Intermodal segments drove strong year-over-year revenue and margin gains, aided by supply-driven market tightening and regulatory changes. Adjusted EPS surged 80%, with Q3 guidance reflecting continued rate momentum and stable utilization. Insurance and driver availability remain key risks.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-22
Q1 2026 results were impacted by adverse claims, weather, and fuel costs, but improving market conditions and regulatory-driven capacity reductions are supporting stronger pricing and margin outlooks. Guidance calls for a significant sequential rebound in Q2 and accelerating margin expansion in the second half.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-01-21
Q4 saw stable but subdued demand, with cost reductions supporting margin improvement despite lower revenue. Regulatory actions are tightening capacity, and technology investments are expected to drive further efficiency gains in 2026. Adjusted EPS guidance for Q1 2026 is $0.28–$0.32.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-22
Q3 2025 saw stable demand but continued market uncertainty, with revenue up 2.4% year-over-year and adjusted operating income rising 14.2% despite $58M in unusual items. LTL and warehousing drove growth, while regulatory changes and cost initiatives are expected to shape future performance.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-23
Second quarter results showed improved margins and earnings despite soft freight demand and ongoing trade volatility. LTL and logistics segments posted strong growth, while cost control and operational initiatives supported margin expansion. Guidance for Q3 anticipates stable to modestly improving conditions.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
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Information Sources:
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