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The St. Joe Company
🏹 Trader: 🚀 Stage 2 + Near High 📈 Stage 2 🎯 Near 52W High 💎 VCP Breakout | BRS 65 Forming View all →
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$4.0B
Market Cap
29.8
P/E
1.65
PEG
8.8%
ROCE
15.3%
ROE
0.73
D/E
28.5%
OPM
-4.3%
% from 52W High
73
α RS
🔍 JOE is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 7 of 37 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Real Estate in the Improving quadrant with the trail still strengthening, and RS Rating is 73. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 7/37 · Real Estate in Improving quadrant · RS Rating 73
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for JOE including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

The St. Joe Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate development, asset management, and operating company in the United States.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding JOE
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 54.9K $3.4M 0.01% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 48.9K $3.1M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED Q1 2026: Revenue $99.1M, hospitality up 13%, recurring revenue 60% of total
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 revenue was $99.1 million, up 5% year-over-year. Operating income increased 8%. Net income decreased 21% primarily due to lower equity in income from unconsolidated joint ventures ($3.5M vs $10.2M). Hospitality revenue grew 13%, real estate revenue grew 4%, while leasing revenue fell 10% due to the sale of Watercrest senior living property.
Outlook
Management feels positive about migration and tourism trends in the Bay-Walton area. Migration continues from a broader geography, and hospitality demand feels good with a good uptick in occupancy and rates. The company is cautiously optimistic that the hospitality segment will have a good year. They see strong demand for residential and commercial properties.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include expanding hospitality operations (new hotels in 2023, improving margins), the PulteGroup agreement for up to 2,653 home sites at Pigeon Creek DSAP, increasing demand from national commercial tenants, and expanding the real estate brokerage to three new locations. The company also plans to add more lots to the Latitude Margaritaville joint venture.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
In Q1 2026, capital expenditures were $20.7 million, primarily for growth. The company also spent $9.2 million on cash dividends, $5 million on share repurchases, and $10.9 million on reducing project debt (focusing on variable short-term, high-interest debt). Investments include infrastructure for Lake Powell and West Laird DSAPs, and planning for new club amenities.
Margins
Gross margins improved across segments. Hospitality gross margin rose to 24% from 18% in Q1 2025. Leasing gross margin improved to 61% from 55%. The strategy is to invest in higher-margin projects (e.g., WaterSound Town Center) and divest lower-margin ones (e.g., Watercrest senior living). Per-unit margins in the Latitude joint venture were above the prior year quarter.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include dependence on market demand; the variable nature of home closing volumes in joint ventures (Latitude Margaritaville has ebbs and flows); permitting delays (e.g., marina); the challenge of balancing capacity and demand in club amenities; and the focus on reducing variable high-interest debt to manage financial risk.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-31
Record Q2 revenue and net income were driven by strong residential growth, margin expansion across all segments, and disciplined capital allocation. Robust in-migration and a diverse portfolio support continued growth, with major utility and healthcare projects underway.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-30
Q1 2026 saw record recurring revenue and margin improvements in hospitality and leasing, despite a 21% drop in net income due to lower joint venture contributions. Strong demand, new contracts, and robust migration trends support a positive outlook.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-27
Q4 and full-year 2025 saw robust revenue and net income growth, with recurring revenue now 56% of total. Capital allocation focused on growth, buybacks, and debt reduction, while new residential, commercial, and hospitality projects are planned for 2026.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-30
Q3 2025 saw 63% revenue and 130% net income growth year-over-year, with record results in residential, hospitality, and leasing. Capital allocation included increased share repurchases, higher dividends, and significant debt reduction, while the company continues to expand its development pipeline.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-24
Q2 2025 saw 16% revenue and 20% net income growth, with recurring revenue now 63% of total. Major capital allocation included share buybacks and dividends, while new projects and infrastructure approvals support future growth.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Information Sources:
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