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HCI Group, Inc.
NYSE: HCI Financials Insurance 🔎 Screen
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High | BRS 71 Forming View all →
$2.2B
Market Cap
8.4
P/E
0.45
PEG
40.5%
ROCE
40.5%
ROE
0.00
D/E
47.7%
OPM
-8.5%
% from 52W High
70
α RS
🔍 HCI is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 22 of 37 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 69, and it's within 9.2% of its 52-week high. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating 52W High
Sources
Conviction 22/37 · RS Rating 69 · 9.2% from 52W high
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for HCI including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

HCI Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the property and casualty insurance business in the United States.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding HCI
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 49.6K $7.7M 0.01% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 19.3K $3.0M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED HCI Group Q1 2026: pre-tax income $115M, EPS $5.45, book value ~$85/share, combined ratio 57%
Revenue & Profitability
Pre-tax income was $115 million (up 15% year over year) and diluted EPS was $5.45. Gross premiums earned grew 8%. Total revenue increased 12%. Combined ratio was 57% and loss ratio was 20%. Stockholder equity exceeded $1 billion, book value per share reached nearly $85, and pro forma book value (including Exzeo fair value) was about $145. Debt-to-capital ratio was 6%. As of end of April, $37.5 million of the $80 million buyback authorization had been used.
Outlook
Management expects stability in the Florida primary market with premiums remaining flat. The reinsurance market continues to soften. Paresh Patel noted an eventual inflection point for the industry and that HCI is positioned to act quickly on opportunities, especially after a storm event. The company is also monitoring the California wildfire situation cautiously.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include the new reinsurer Fortex for additional flexibility, the continued scaling of Exzeo (other income tripled quarter-over-quarter), and Tailrow now having over $120 million in-force premiums. Management is also pursuing two or three potential billion-dollar opportunities, similar to Exzeo, in other insurance lines or insurance value chain areas.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
The combined ratio was 57% in Q1 2026, consistent with full-year 2025. Management targets a combined ratio of 60% ±5%. The loss ratio was stable at 20%. Pre-tax income grew 15% from the prior year, reflecting margin expansion. Operating leverage and efficiency are supported by the technology platform.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include potential hurricane season impacts on M&A timing and underwriting. The softening reinsurance market could affect program costs. California wildfire developments were noted as a caution for new market entries. Management acknowledged that outcomes of new ventures are uncertain, and litigation frequency remains low but could change.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Q2 2026 saw pre-tax income rise 18% year-over-year, with strong EPS and revenue growth. The company completed a major share buyback, launched new reinsurance programs, and began a GEICO distribution partnership. CORE pivoted to residential, driving new business.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-06
Q1 2026 saw record pre-tax income, revenue, and EPS, with strong underwriting and operational efficiency. Book value per share rose to nearly $85, and share buybacks continued, while Exzeo and new reinsurance initiatives contributed to growth.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-25
Q4 and full-year results showed strong growth in premiums, earnings, and equity, with declining loss and expense ratios. The company completed the Exio IPO, assumed significant new policies, and announced an $80M share buyback, while maintaining robust liquidity and preparing for further growth.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-06
Q3 saw strong earnings, a 64% combined ratio, and over 50% growth in book value per share. Exio's IPO raised $155M, while a major Citizens policy assumption added $175M in premium. Operational leverage and capital strength position the company for continued growth.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-07
Second quarter results showed strong EPS growth, improved loss and combined ratios, and a strengthened balance sheet. Exzeo filed for a potential IPO, while the company prepares for further policy takeouts and explores expansion beyond Florida, leveraging its technology.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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