📈 Price History

Ratio Health

— Excellent

— Good

— Average

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By Category

📊 Sector Averages

About

Genius Sports Limited provides technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries in the Americas, Europe, and internationally.

Key Ratios Snapshot

📈 Growth Pattern

⚡ Latest Quarter —

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📊 Quick Scorecard

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⭐ Superinvestors Holding GENI

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Manager	Shares	Value	% of Fund	Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management	3.49M	$15.5M	0.02%	Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC	2.20M	$9.7M	0.02%	Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

🔍 Concall Decoded

🎙 Management Tone Tracker Confident Specific → Stable 3 quarters analysed

Q3 2025

Confident Specific

Management used strong positive language: 'our strongest quarter of revenue growth since Q1 2022', 'new quarterly record of media revenue', 'business is firing on all cylinders'. They provided specific figures (38% revenue growth, media up 90%, $42M media revenue) and raised guidance with clear numbers.

Q4 2025

Confident Specific

Management uses precise figures (31% revenue growth, 20% Adjusted EBITDA margin, $669M revenue) and repeatedly frames results as strongest since 2021 and highest annual margin as a public company. They proactively address investor questions on Legend acquisition with detailed metrics and synergy projections.

Q1 2026 latest

Confident Specific

Management repeatedly used phrases like 'strong quarter', 'reliable compounding business model', 'executing on plan' and provided precise growth figures (31% revenue, 33% betting growth). No hedging or defensive language.

Guidance Reliability Pending · <3Q data

Investor Lens

The investment thesis is stronger after this call. Legend closed with favorable financing, immediately pulling forward margin targets and demonstrating the predictability of Genius’s cash flows. The core betting business continues to show high net revenue retention and structural growth, while media is gaining traction with the Moment Engine. Prediction markets represent a new incremental opportunity that management is already monetizing. The main watch items for next quarter are initial synergy realizations from Legend cross-sell (e.g., BetVision integration), cash flow inflection in H2, and any further clarity on NFL rights/prediction market regulation. The company appears well-positioned to compound with expanding margins.

AI-generated concall tone analysis · Updated 2026-06-09 · Not investment advice

🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 3 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →

📊 MIXED Genius Sports Q1 2026: revenue +31%, adj. EBITDA +21%, closes Legend acquisition.

Revenue & Profitability

Q1 2026 group revenue grew 31% year-over-year, with betting up 33% and media up 22%. Adjusted EBITDA grew 21%. For Q2 2026, the company guided revenue of approximately $185 million and adjusted EBITDA of $45 million. Full-year 2026 guidance calls for revenue between $990 million and $1.01 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $270 million and $280 million. The company expects to transition to positive GAAP net income on a sustained basis in 2027.

Outlook

Management sees strong tailwinds from the growth of prediction markets, which they view as a new ecosystem similar to US online sports betting. The regulatory environment is evolving, with the CFTC moving toward requiring official data. The iGaming market, growing at nearly 20% CAGR, presents additional opportunity. AI is seen as compounding the value of proprietary data and destinations, not threatening them.

Growth Drivers

Key growth levers include selling additional content and products to existing sportsbook customers, winning new customers globally, sharing in market growth, and increasing partnership value at renewals. The Moment Engine, integrated with 90% of the programmatic advertising market, has onboarded nearly 70 new advertisers. Prediction markets, Legend's cross-sell of high-intent acquisition, and iGaming expansion are incremental growth drivers. BetVision is driving adoption in global football.

Balance Sheet & CapEx

Not discussed in this earnings call.

Margins

Adjusted EBITDA margin for 2026 is guided to 28%, up from 23% on a standalone basis, driven by the immediate accretion from the Legend acquisition. AI automation of data collection is expected to span the entire rights portfolio by end of next year, providing a structural margin lever. Free cash flow conversion is expected to be 50%-55% in the second half of 2026, trending toward the 2028 target of at least 60% on an unlevered basis.

Key Risks

Risks flagged include the evolving regulatory framework for prediction markets, particularly regarding official data requirements from the CFTC. The NFL's sportsbook sponsorship negotiations are noted, but Genius's contract is locked through 2030. Seasonality of cash flow, with typical outflows in the first half and inflows in the second half, is a recurring pattern. One-time acquisition expenses in Q2 2026 may impact near-term cash. Market maker contracts are short-term, leaving pricing flexibility but uncertainty.

Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice

✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter

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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)

Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06

Revenue grew 65% year-over-year to $196 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $53 million and strong margin expansion. The Legend acquisition is delivering faster-than-expected synergies, driving growth in both media and prediction markets. Full-year guidance was raised for both revenue and EBITDA.

Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-07

Q1 saw 31% revenue and 21% adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by strong betting and media segments. The Legend acquisition is immediately margin accretive, raising 2026 EBITDA margin guidance to 28% and accelerating synergy realization.

Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-04

Revenue grew 31% to $669M in 2025, with Adjusted EBITDA margin at 20%. Betting and media segments both outpaced market growth, and the Legend acquisition is expected to accelerate targets, boosting annualized revenue to $1.1B and margins to ~30%.

Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-04

Revenue grew 38% year-over-year, led by nearly 90% media growth and strong betting performance. Adjusted EBITDA rose 32%, with guidance raised for both revenue and margin expansion. BetVision adoption and new rights deals drove engagement, while agency partnerships fueled media momentum.

Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-06

Q2 2025 saw 24% revenue growth and a record 29% EBITDA margin, prompting raised full-year guidance. Major rights wins in European soccer and the NFL, plus strong media momentum, support long-term growth and margin expansion.

📊 Analysis Methodology

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