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Darden Restaurants, Inc.
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S&P 500
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$25.1B
Market Cap
23.0
P/E
1.80
PEG
17.2%
ROCE
53.7%
ROE
2.74
D/E
11.9%
OPM
-4.2%
% from 52W High
76
α RS
🔍 DRI is showing a multi-screen setup because it matches 10 of 39 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 76, it's within 4.2% of its 52-week high, and it has maintained a 24-day Near 52-Week High momentum persistence. The main caution: the Price Pessimism preset's Backtest win rate is only 47.2%. Net: Mixed signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating 52W High Momentum Streaks Backtest
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Conviction 10/39 · RS Rating 76 · 4.2% from 52W high · Near 52-Week High streak: 24d · Backtest win rate 47.2%
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About

Darden Restaurants, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates full-service restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates under Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar’s Scratch Kitchen, Chuy’s, Yard House, Ruth’s Chris Steak House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Eddie V’s Prime Seafood, Bahama Breeze, The Capital Burger, Darden and Darden Restaurants brand names. Darden Restaurants, Inc. was founded in 1938 and is based in Orlando, Florida.

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Good quarter Investor Presentation One-Pager? Q4 2026
Revenue
$3.72B
+13.7% YoY
Adjusted EBITDA
$678M
N/A
Restaurant-Level EBITDA Margin
22.1%
+0.5pp YoY
Adjusted Diluted EPS
$3.66
+22.8% YoY
What Went Right
  • All brands delivered positive same-restaurant sales in Q4; consolidated SRS was +4.6%, exceeding the industry benchmark by over 300bps.
  • LongHorn was the standout with Q4 SRS +9.5% and segment profit margin up 110bps to 21.2%; annual SRS was +7.2%.
  • Olive Garden delivered FY SRS +4.0%, above the high end of Darden's long-term framework, while holding Q4 segment margin at 24.3% (+50bps).
What to Watch
  • Consumer sentiment remains cautious and management noted softness from guests under 35.
  • Beef inflation stays elevated; Q1 FY27 commodity inflation is expected to be roughly 4% with mid-to-high single-digit beef inflation.
  • Growth costs from 75-80 gross openings plus 11 Bahama Breeze conversions create a ~$15M / $0.10 EPS drag in FY27.
Management Guidance
  • FY27 revenue: $13.60B-$13.75B
  • FY27 same-restaurant sales: +2.5% to +3.5%; 75-80 gross openings plus 11 Bahama Breeze conversions
  • FY27 adjusted EBITDA: $2.26B-$2.29B; adjusted diluted EPS: $11.10-$11.35
  • Quarterly dividend increased 8% to $1.52 per share ($6.48 annualized)
Investor Lens
The thesis is stronger after this call. Darden's portfolio diversification and scale were on display: all segments posted positive comps, restaurant-level EBITDA margin expanded, and FY26 SRS of +4.5% outpaced a restated industry benchmark of +1.4%. FY27 guidance of +2.5% to +3.5% SRS and EPS growth to $11.10-$11.35 shows continued confidence despite beef inflation and higher development costs. The main risks are macro-driven consumer softness and input-cost pressure, but disciplined pricing plus supply-chain advantages should keep the long-term shareholder-return framework intact.
From investor presentation · AI-generated analysis · Not investment advice
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📈 STRONG Strong Q4: revenue +13.7%, SRS +4.6%, adjusted EPS $3.66.
Revenue
Q4 total sales rose 13.7% YoY to $3.72B, helped by the 53rd week, +4.6% same-restaurant sales, and 43 net new restaurants. All segments grew sales, led by LongHorn's +9.5% SRS; full-year sales surpassed $13B for the first time.
Profitability
Adjusted earnings from continuing operations were $422M, with adjusted diluted EPS of $3.66, up 22.8% YoY; the extra fiscal week contributed $0.25. Reported diluted EPS was $3.54.
Margins
Restaurant-level EBITDA margin improved 50bps to 22.1%, helped by productivity and sales leverage despite ~3% commodity and 3.2% labor inflation. Olive Garden segment margin rose 50bps to 24.3%, LongHorn rose 110bps to 21.2%, and Other Business rose 40bps to 17.9%.
Balance Sheet
Adjusted debt-to-EBITDAR ended at 2.1x, within the 2.0x-2.5x target. Darden returned $310M in Q4 via $172M dividends and $138M buybacks, and the Board approved a new $1.5B repurchase authorization.
Key Risks
Management flagged cautious consumers and softness in the under-35 cohort, plus elevated beef inflation that drives Q1 FY27 commodity inflation to ~4%. Fuel surcharges from the Gulf crisis added ~50-60bps at peak to COGS inflation, and third-party delivery economics remain an unresolved strategic issue.
Outlook
FY27 revenue is guided to $13.60B-$13.75B with SRS +2.5%-3.5%, EBITDA of $2.26B-$2.29B, and EPS of $11.10-$11.35. Q1 EPS growth is expected to be low- to mid-single digit due to the most elevated inflation period.
Generated by AI · Q4 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q4 2026 Q4 2026 2026-06-25
Fourth quarter and fiscal year results exceeded expectations, with strong same-restaurant sales and traffic growth across all major brands. Fiscal 2027 guidance projects continued sales and earnings growth, robust new unit development, and increased dividends, while maintaining industry outperformance and financial discipline.
Q3 2026 Q3 2026 2026-03-19
Q3 sales rose 5.9% to $3.3B, with all major brands outperforming industry benchmarks. Adjusted EPS grew 5.4% to $2.95, and FY26 guidance was raised for sales, comps, and new units, with strong operational execution and high guest satisfaction supporting continued momentum.
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2025-12-18
Q2 FY26 saw strong sales growth, outpacing the industry with all segments posting positive comps and robust guest satisfaction. Despite elevated beef costs, margins were managed through pricing discipline and productivity gains. Guidance was raised for sales and unit growth, with continued investment in menu innovation and digital initiatives.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2025-09-18
Same restaurant sales and earnings growth exceeded expectations, led by Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse. Fiscal 2026 guidance was raised for sales and unit growth, but margin pressure is expected to peak in Q2 due to commodity inflation, especially beef. Delivery and menu innovation continue to drive guest engagement.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2025-06-20
Q4 and full-year results exceeded expectations, with strong sales and margin growth led by Olive Garden and LongHorn. Fiscal 2026 guidance projects continued sales and EPS growth, increased dividends, and ongoing reinvestment, while strategic portfolio actions and international expansion support long-term value.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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