📈 Price History

Ratio Health

— Excellent

— Good

— Average

— Poor

By Category

📊 Sector Averages

About

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates retail discount stores under the Dollar Tree and Dollar Tree Canada brands in the United States and Canada.

Key Ratios Snapshot

📈 Growth Pattern

⚡ Latest Quarter —

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📊 Quick Scorecard

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⭐ Superinvestors Holding DLTR

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Manager	Shares	Value	% of Fund	Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC	13.3K	$1.5M	0.00%	Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

🔍 Concall Decoded

🎙 Management Tone Tracker Confident Specific → Stable 4 quarters analysed

Q2 2026

Confident Specific

Management repeatedly used phrases like 'exceeding the high end of our expectations', 'strong quarter', 'high level of execution', and gave specific metrics (6.5% comp, $0.77 adjusted EPS). However, they also inserted caution: 'volatile backdrop', 'cautious', 'a lot of unknown' and emphasized consumer and tariff uncertainty. Overall positive but with explicit hedging.

Q3 2026

Confident Specific

Management described results as 'high-quality', 'above-outlook', and 'strong momentum', using specific figures for comps, EPS, and multi-price profitability. They repeatedly emphasized 'disciplined execution' and 'focused strategy'.

Q4 2026

Confident Specific

Positive language with specific metrics and strategic achievements; management cites 9% revenue growth, 5% comp, gross margin expansion, and improved store standards.

Q1 2027 latest

Confident Specific

Management uses strong language such as 'delivered strong results', 'exceeding the high end of our outlook', 'good progress', and 'we delivered a good quarter'. They provide specific metrics on margin expansion, shrink improvement, and comp growth, and attribute performance to operational actions.

Guidance Reliability Pending · <3Q data

Investor Lens

The investment thesis is stronger after this call. Dollar Tree delivered a strong Q1 beat driven by operational improvements (shrink, freight, margin) and maintained confidence in traffic improvement in the back half. The cautious full-year guidance reflects prudent assumptions on fuel costs and tariff uncertainty, but the underlying business momentum and value positioning in a pressured consumer environment are positive. Key watch items for next quarter: traffic inflection, tariff refund realization, and SG&A leverage from lapping stickering costs. The balance between profitability and traffic growth remains a focal point, but management's emphasis on controllable levers provides conviction.

AI-generated concall tone analysis · Updated 2026-06-08 · Not investment advice

🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →

Good quarter Investor Presentation One-Pager? Q1 2027

Revenue

$5.0B

+7.2% YoY

Operating Income

$473M

+23.2% YoY

Operating Margin

9.5%

+1.1pp YoY

Adjusted Net Income

$343M

+38% YoY

What Went Right

Shrink improved year-over-year, contributing to gross margin expansion
Comparable sales grew 3.5% despite Easter calendar headwind and tough compare
Adjusted EPS of $1.74 exceeded the high end of the outlook range

What to Watch

Traffic declined 1% in the quarter, though improved sequentially
Higher fuel costs and tariff uncertainty create macro headwinds
SG&A deleveraged 10 bps due to marketing and general liability investments

Management Guidance

Q2 FY2026: net sales $4.8B–$4.9B, comp +2.5%–3.5%, adjusted EPS $1.00–$1.15
Full-year FY2026: net sales $20.5B–$20.7B, comp +3%–4%, adjusted EPS $6.70–$7.10
Assumes current tariff rates through July then revert to pre-Feb. 20 levels; no tariff refunds included

Investor Lens

The Q1 results reinforce the investment thesis: Dollar Tree is executing on its strategic initiatives—multi-price expansion, shrink reduction, and marketing—driving margin expansion and earnings growth. The 38% EPS beat and raised full-year guidance signal strong operational momentum, even as traffic remains soft and macro risks loom. The company’s value positioning should benefit from trade-in behavior amid consumer pressure, making the case for sustained outperformance.

From investor presentation · AI-generated analysis · Not investment advice

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📈 STRONG Strong beat with 38% EPS growth, raised guidance

Revenue

Revenue grew 7.2% to $5.0B, driven by a 3.5% comparable sales increase (ticket +4.5%, traffic -1%). Discretionary posted a 3.9% comp (toys, personal care) and consumables +3.2%.

Profitability

Adjusted net income rose 38% to $343M, or $1.74 per diluted share, exceeding the outlook range. GAAP net income was $347M ($1.76).

Margins

Gross margin expanded 120 bps YoY from higher merchandise margin, freight favorability, and lower shrink, partially offset by tariffs and markdowns. Adjusted operating margin improved 110 bps to 9.5%.

Balance Sheet

Ended with $1B cash, no commercial paper outstanding. Inventory declined 9% YoY while sales grew 7.2%, improving working capital. Generated $392M free cash flow in Q1.

Key Risks

Management flagged higher fuel costs persisting longer than expected, tariff uncertainty (no refunds in guidance), and continued consumer pressure, especially on lower-income households. Traffic (-1%) remains a watch item.

Outlook

Q2 FY2026 guided: net sales $4.8B–$4.9B, comp +2.5%–3.5%, adjusted EPS $1.00–$1.15. Full-year FY2026: net sales $20.5B–$20.7B, comp +3%–4%, adjusted EPS $6.70–$7.10.

Generated by AI · Q1 2027 results · Not investment advice

✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter

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🔎 See cross-company document search → ?

📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)

Q1 2027 Q1 2027 2026-05-28

Q1 saw 7.2% sales growth and 38% adjusted EPS increase, driven by higher ticket, margin expansion, and operational improvements. Guidance for FY26 was raised, reflecting strong Q1, ongoing cost discipline, and prudent assumptions on fuel and tariffs.

Q4 2026 Q4 2026 2026-03-16

Q4 2025 saw 9% revenue growth and 5% comps, with strong discretionary sales and margin expansion. Multi-price strategy drove higher productivity and household growth, while operational improvements and capital returns strengthened fundamentals. Guidance for 2026 anticipates continued growth and stable margins.

Q3 2026 Q3 2026 2025-12-03

Q3 delivered strong comps, margin expansion, and above-outlook EPS, driven by multi-price strategy, new customer growth, and operational improvements. Full-year guidance was raised, with continued focus on value, productivity, and capital returns.

Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2025-09-03

Q2 saw 12.3% sales growth and 6.5% comp gains, with strong performance across all income cohorts and categories. Adjusted EPS and gross margin exceeded expectations, driven by expanded assortment and effective cost mitigation. Guidance was raised, but management remains cautious due to tariff and consumer volatility.

Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2025-06-04

Q1 results exceeded expectations with strong comp sales, margin improvement, and customer growth, especially among higher-income households. Despite near-term tariff and cost headwinds impacting Q2, full-year guidance for sales and EPS is reiterated, with recovery expected in H2.

📊 Analysis Methodology

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