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Ducommun Incorporated
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$2.9B
Market Cap
44.2
P/E
0.44
PEG
-3.0%
ROCE
-5.6%
ROE
0.50
D/E
-4.3%
OPM
-10.4%
% from 52W High
89
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for DCO including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Ducommun Incorporated provides engineering and manufacturing services for products and applications used in the aerospace and defense, industrial, medical, and other industries in the United States.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding DCO
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 47.2K $5.8M 0.01% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED Ducommun Q1 2026 revenue $209M, up 9% YoY; adj. EBITDA margin 16.9%, on track for Vision 2027 goals.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 revenue was $209 million, up 8.6% year-over-year. GAAP net income was $9.9 million ($0.64 per diluted share) versus $1.4 million ($0.09) a year ago. Adjusted net income reached $11.7 million ($0.75 per share). Operating income was $15.7 million GAAP and $18.0 million adjusted.
Outlook
Management is optimistic about both defense and commercial aerospace. Defense spending is increasing, with long-term framework agreements for missile programs expected to drive growth from 2027. Commercial aerospace is recovering, with Boeing raising 737 MAX rates and Airbus steady. Destocking headwinds are expected to diminish by end of 2026. Full-year 2026 revenue growth is guided at mid to high single digits.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include: missile programs (22% YoY growth in Q1, expected to accelerate via DoD framework agreements), commercial aerospace (18% growth driven by A220, A320, 737 MAX, and Bell helicopters), and radar/electronic warfare franchises. The company also highlights $150,000 shipset content on the 787, benefiting from rate increases.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Gross margin improved to 26.9% in Q1 2026 (from 26.2% a year ago). Adjusted EBITDA margin was 16.9%, up from prior periods, and on track to reach the 18% Vision 2027 goal. Adjusted operating margin was 8.6% (versus 4.0% in Q1 2025), driven by volume, mix, and cost savings. Management expects margins to strengthen through the year.
Key Risks
Risks include cyclicality of end markets, U.S. defense spending changes, customer production rate changes, order cancellations, supply chain issues, tariffs, elevated interest rates, and potential cybersecurity attacks. Also, destocking headwinds in commercial aerospace (especially on 737 MAX via Spirit/Wichita) could impact near-term revenues. The Guaymas fire may lead to subrogation claims.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Record Q2 revenue and margins were driven by strong growth in both commercial aerospace and defense, especially missiles, with continued margin expansion and robust cash flow. Backlog and book-to-bill ratios reached new highs, supporting a positive outlook for the remainder of 2026 and beyond.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-12
Record Q1 revenue and margin expansion driven by strong commercial aerospace and defense growth, with missile programs set to accelerate in late 2026 and 2027. Guidance for mid to high single-digit revenue growth is reiterated, and margins are expected to strengthen further.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-26
Record Q4 revenue and margins driven by strong military and space growth, with commercial aerospace returning to growth. Facility consolidation and restructuring completed, supporting margin expansion and positioning for continued growth in 2026 and beyond.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-06
Record Q3 revenue and margins driven by strong defense growth offset commercial aerospace weakness. Litigation settlement led to a GAAP loss, but adjusted earnings and cash flow remained robust. Outlook remains positive with continued defense strength and facility consolidation savings.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-07
Record Q2 revenue and margins were driven by strong defense growth, especially in missiles and radar, offsetting commercial aerospace weakness. Engineered products reached 23% of revenue, and restructuring plus facility consolidation are expected to yield further savings and margin gains.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

Not SEC-Registered:
Finmagine is not registered as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or any state securities authority. Nothing on this platform constitutes investment advice as defined under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940.

Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

Forward-Looking Statements:
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