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California Resources Corporation
$4.6B
Market Cap
10.8
P/E
0.48
PEG
9.5%
ROCE
10.1%
ROE
0.35
D/E
16.3%
OPM
-24.6%
% from 52W High
34
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for CRC including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

California Resources Corporation operates as an independent energy and carbon management company in the United States.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding CRC
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 187.2K $13.0M 0.02% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED CRC raises 2026 EBITDAX guidance 40%, targets 1% production growth, launches CCS.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 adjusted EBITDA was $304 million, approximately 17% above the midpoint of guidance. Operating cash flow before working capital was $247 million. Full-year adjusted EBITDAX midpoint is raised to $1.45 billion, assuming $91/bbl Brent. Free cash flow before working capital is expected to exceed $800 million for 2026. Net debt stood at $1.3 billion with net leverage of 1.1x.
Outlook
Management sees a constructive macro backdrop: Middle East volatility, California's reliance on over 60% foreign oil, and state recognition of the need for local production to ensure affordability and reliability. Recent legislative efforts to improve permitting are progressing. The CPUC is considering including natural gas with CCS in the Reliable and Clean Power Procurement Program, which would be a game changer.
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by accelerating drilling cadence to seven rigs (two in California, one in Utah), targeting 1% entry-to-exit gross production growth in 2026 (exit 175,000 BOE/d). The Uinta Basin offers over 200 gross Uteland Butte locations and additional benches under evaluation. Data center and CCS opportunities are gaining momentum, with CCS at Elk Hills expected to start CO2 injection soon.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Full-year 2026 total capital guidance midpoint increased to $540 million. D&C and workover capital is $100 million above prior plan, reflecting a ramp to seven rigs in the second half. Facilities capital was reduced by $10 million due to field-level rationalization. Q2 capital expected at approximately $130 million, reflecting increased drilling activity in June.
Margins
Structural margin expansion is evident: EBITDAX growth of ~42% outpacing Brent's 38% increase, driven by high-return drilling, structural cost discipline, and incremental synergies. Program-level returns: approximately 4.5x MOIC and nearly 70% IRR. Inflation is modest (~$6-8 million impact in 2026) and more than offset by structural improvements. G&A is trending down with Berry synergies.
Key Risks
Management flagged commodity price volatility; hedging settlements on a monthly basis caused a $30-40 million EBITDA timing difference in Q1. Inflation is modest but present, primarily from fuel costs. Net production is affected by PSC mechanics in Long Beach. Regulatory risks remain but permitting is improving. In Q2, a short maintenance window at the Elk Hills power plant is planned.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-10
Strong operational execution and synergy capture drove a solid quarter, with production and cost efficiencies improving long-term outlook. Strategic midstream acquisitions and CCS milestones enhance integration and market access, while capital allocation remains balanced.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-06
Q1 2026 saw strong financial performance, with adjusted EBITDA 17% above guidance and a raised full-year outlook. Accelerated drilling, improved capital efficiency, and CCS milestones position the business for growth, while merger synergies and disciplined capital allocation enhance returns.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-02
Record 2025 results featured 25% production growth, $1.25B adjusted EBITDAX, and 94% of free cash flow returned to shareholders. 2026 guidance projects 12% production growth, $1B adjusted EBITDA, and continued capital discipline, with CCS and power platforms advancing.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-04
Q3 2025 saw strong operational and financial results, with stable production, robust cash flow, and a strengthened balance sheet. Regulatory improvements and strategic initiatives, including the Berry merger and CCS projects, position the company for continued growth and value creation.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-05
Record shareholder returns, strong operational execution, and early realization of merger synergies drove improved guidance and robust liquidity. Progress on CCS and power projects, plus regulatory momentum, position the company for growth and resilience.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

⚠️ Important Disclaimers — Please read without fail.

Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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