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The Chefs' Warehouse
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$4.3B
Market Cap
37.8
P/E
2.22
PEG
7.3%
ROCE
12.7%
ROE
1.53
D/E
3.5%
OPM
-3.1%
% from 52W High
91
α RS
🔍 CHEF is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 7 of 37 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Consumer Staples in the Leading quadrant with the trail still strengthening, and RS Rating is 91 (top decile vs market). Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 7/37 · Consumer Staples in Leading quadrant · RS Rating 91
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for CHEF including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes specialty food and center-of-the-plate products in the United States, the Middle East, and Canada.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed ↓ Deteriorating 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Chefs' Warehouse Q1 2026 net sales $1.059B, adj. EBITDA $60.1M, up 26.5% YoY
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 net sales increased 11.4% to $1.059B. Gross profit rose 13.9% to $257.4M (margin 24.3%, up 53 bps). Operating income was $33.1M (vs $22.7M). GAAP net income was $17.4M ($0.40 diluted EPS) vs $10.3M ($0.25). Adjusted EBITDA grew to $60.1M from $47.5M. Full-year 2026 guidance: net sales $4.35B–$4.45B, gross profit $1.053B–$1.076B, adjusted EBITDA $276M–$286M.
Outlook
Management is cautiously optimistic about the high-end consumer, noting strong bookings and spending at restaurants and hotels. The World Cup in the U.S. is seen as a potential near-term tailwind. The Middle East conflict creates uncertainty, but the North American business is growing well above expectations. Macroeconomic factors like gas prices have not materially changed dining-out behavior for affluent customers.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include organic market share gains (organic specialty sales up 6.8%), unique customer growth (4.3% ex-Texas attrition), and new market maturation (Florida growing over 20%, Texas becoming a top-three market). The company is accelerating through investments in sales talent, technology, and infrastructure, and expects double-digit top-line growth to start Q2.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Gross profit margin improved 53 bps to 24.3%, driven by specialty (+43 bps) and center-of-plate (+110 bps). Adjusted operating expenses were 18.6% of net sales. Management expects continued operating leverage from prior investments, with potential for more than 20–25 bps of annual EBITDA margin expansion. Full-year adjusted EBITDA margin is not explicitly guided but embedded in $276M–$286M range.
Key Risks
The primary risk flagged is the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which impacted Q1 by ~50 bps and has resulted in operations running at approximately 75% of prior-year levels. Other risks include extreme weather events (two storms in Q1) and potential volatility in customer demand. Management left guidance unchanged due to uncertainty around the conflict's duration and severity.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-29
Second quarter 2026 delivered double-digit revenue and profit growth, with strong execution across regions and product categories. Full-year guidance was raised, and long-term targets extended to 2030, reflecting confidence in continued market share gains, operational leverage, and technology investments.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
Q1 2026 delivered double-digit revenue and profit growth, led by strong North American performance and resilient demand despite Middle East volatility. Guidance for the full year remains unchanged, with robust liquidity and continued margin expansion supported by operational leverage.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-11
Q4 2025 saw double-digit sales and profit growth, with strong organic expansion and margin improvements despite minor headwinds from non-core program exits and weather. 2026 guidance projects continued revenue and EBITDA growth, supported by ongoing investments and a robust balance sheet.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-29
Q3 2025 saw 9.6% sales growth, margin expansion, and strong profit gains, with momentum continuing into Q4. Full-year guidance was raised, reflecting robust demand, market share gains, and successful integration of recent acquisitions.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-30
Q2 2025 delivered 8.4% sales growth, margin expansion, and strong profitability, driven by specialty and operational improvements. Guidance for 2025 was raised, with continued focus on integration, digital growth, and margin initiatives.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
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Information Sources:
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