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COPT Defense Properties
🏹 Trader: 🚀 Stage 2 + Near High 📈 Stage 2 🎯 Near 52W High 💎 VCP Breakout | BRS 80 Ready View all →
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$4.2B
Market Cap
20.7
P/E
2.30
PEG
5.6%
ROCE
9.9%
ROE
1.72
D/E
30.2%
OPM
-2.7%
% from 52W High
75
α RS
🔍 CDP is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 4 of 37 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Real Estate in the Improving quadrant with the trail still strengthening, and RS Rating is 75. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG RS Rating
Sources
Conviction 4/37 · Real Estate in Improving quadrant · RS Rating 75
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for CDP including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

COPT Defense Properties, an S&P MidCap 400 Company, is a self-managed REIT focused on owning, operating and developing properties in locations proximate to, or sometimes containing, key U.S. Government defense installations and missions (referred to as its Defense/IT Portfolio).

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding CDP
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 253.9K $7.8M 0.01% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 35.8K $1.1M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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📊 MIXED COPT Defense Q1 FFO rises 6.2% to $0.69; dividend up 4.9%, portfolio occupancy 94.4%.
Revenue & Profitability
First-quarter FFO per share was $0.69, up 6.2% year-over-year and $0.01 above the midpoint of guidance. The company increased its annual dividend by $0.06 per share (4.9%), marking its fourth consecutive year of increases. 2026 FFO per share guidance midpoint was raised to $2.76. Same-Property Cash NOI growth guidance midpoint was increased to 3% from 2.5%, reflecting stronger renewal leasing and tax refunds.
Outlook
Management highlighted the FY2027 defense budget request of $1.5 trillion (a ~45% year-over-year increase), with a base budget of $1.1 trillion up ~30%. This continues a 12-year trend of bipartisan support for defense spending. The budget includes significant increases for intelligence (+14%), DoD cyber (+25%), and Golden Dome missile defense. Management expects a 12–18 month lag between appropriations and lease activity, providing a favorable demand backdrop.
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by the defense spending tailwind, development pipeline of over 1 million sq ft (73% pre-leased, $500+ million capital committed), and vacancy leasing targeting 400,000 sq ft for the year. Key growth markets include Huntsville (Redstone Gateway) for Golden Dome and missile defense, and the Northern Virginia/BW Corridor for cyber and intelligence tenants. The company also pursues strategic acquisitions, such as the Mission Ridge land parcel near the Westfield submarket.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Year to date, COPT Defense committed nearly $250 million to three new investments: a $55 million development at Redstone Gateway (inside the fence, ATFP inventory), a ~$43 million land and ground lease acquisition (Mission Ridge in Chantilly, VA), and 620 Guardian Way (a fully leased build-to-suit). The 2026 guidance for capital committed to new investments was raised to $290 million. The company maintains a conservative AFFO payout ratio below 65% and self-funds equity for external investments.
Margins
Margin trajectory is supported by high occupancy and strong renewal rent spreads (cash +3.8%, GAAP +12%). The company is focused on reducing concessions, particularly free rent, and has seen mid-single-digit net effective rent growth. Same-Property Cash NOI growth of 5.4% reflects operating leverage. The AFFO payout ratio remains conservative at below 65%. No explicit margin percentages were provided.
Key Risks
Management flagged that the defense budget increase is aspirational and not yet passed or appropriated, creating uncertainty in timing. Power constraints in Des Moines have stalled the data center project. The small regional office portfolio faces heavier lease expirations in coming years, which could create headwinds. The company’s growth is also sensitive to interest rates, as evidenced by higher financing costs from refinancing a $400 million bond (now at 4.5% vs. 2.25%).
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-28
FFO per share grew 4.4% year-over-year to $0.71, exceeding guidance, with strong leasing and tenant retention driving raised annual guidance for FFO, NOI, and capital commitments. Defense sector demand and bipartisan budget support underpin robust growth and development activity.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-28
FFO per share grew 6.2% year-over-year, with strong leasing, high occupancy, and a 4.9% dividend increase. Moody’s upgraded the credit rating to Baa2, and guidance was raised for FFO, NOI, retention, and investment. Defense budget growth supports a positive outlook.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-06
FFO per share grew 5.8% in 2025, exceeding guidance, with strong leasing and occupancy gains. 2026 guidance projects continued growth despite higher financing costs, supported by robust development and a record U.S. defense budget.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-31
FFO per share grew 6.2% year-over-year, with record leasing and tenant retention rates. Guidance for 2025 was raised across six key metrics, and $400 million in new financing was secured to support growth and pre-fund debt maturities.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-29
Q2 saw robust leasing, record-high occupancy, and 6.3% FFO per share growth year over year. Guidance for FFO, NOI, and leasing targets was raised, supported by strong defense spending and a healthy development pipeline. Portfolio remains 95.6% leased, with high tenant retention.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
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Information Sources:
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