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Avis Budget Group, Inc.
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$3.5B
Market Cap
—
P/E
0.43
PEG
3.7%
ROCE
—
ROE
—
D/E
11.9%
OPM
22
α RS
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About

Avis Budget Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides car and truck rentals, car sharing, and ancillary products and services to businesses and consumers in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Asia, and Australasia. The company operates the Avis brand, which offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions to the commercial and leisure segments of the travel industry and the Zipcar brand, a car sharing network that offers vehicle rental and other mobility solutions comprising budget car rental and budget truck. It also operates various other car rental brands, such as Payless, Apex, Maggiore, Morini Rent, FranceCars, AmicoBlu, Turiscar, and ACL Hire and McNicoll vehicle Hire. The company was formerly known as Cendant Corporation and changed its name to Avis Budget Group, Inc. in September 2006. Avis Budget Group, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is based in Parsippany, New Jersey.

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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific ~ Volatile 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Avis delivers first Americas revenue growth in 10 quarters, raises EBITDA guidance to $850M-$1B.
Revenue & Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA exceeded plan by approximately $50 million in Q1, prompting management to raise full-year 2026 guidance to a range of $850 million to $1 billion. Americas revenue grew 2.9% year-over-year, with rental days essentially flat and RPD increasing 2.8%—the first positive pricing quarter since Q4 2022. Monthly depreciation in the Americas averaged around $380 for the quarter, improving from above $500 in January to mid-$300s by March. The net corporate leverage ratio was 7.6x, and management expects to reduce it to below 6x by year-end through earnings growth and debt repayment.
Outlook
Management sees healthy demand building into the summer season, with Americas rental days trending mid-single-digit growth and RPD holding steady. Key tailwinds include strong travel for the World Cup in host cities and America 250 celebrations. Headwinds include geopolitical uncertainty, particularly in the Middle East, which is impacting energy prices and beginning to shift vehicle preferences. The Easter holiday shift will affect Q2 year-over-year comparisons, but underlying demand remains constructive.
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by improved pricing discipline from aligning fleet supply with demand, resulting in the first positive RPD in the Americas since Q4 2022. Ancillary revenue grew 1.9% year-over-year, and leisure share of revenue increased by 1.1 points. The International segment is shifting revenue mix toward higher-return segments, while strong booking trends in World Cup host cities provide a near-term lift. Longer-term, Avis First and Waymo expansions are expected to contribute to revenue and profitability.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call.
Margins
Management expects depreciation to decline meaningfully in Q2 as the fleet is right-sized. International cost inefficiencies related to mix shift are viewed as transitional, while the improved revenue mix is structural. The focus is on increasing EBITDA through revenue growth and operational efficiency, with a stated goal of achieving normalized EBITDA above the current $850 million-$1 billion guidance range.
Key Risks
Key risks include geopolitical uncertainty, particularly the Middle East situation affecting energy prices and consumer behavior, as well as higher fuel costs influencing vehicle preference and demand. Management also flagged short-term impacts from weather disruptions and TSA-related commercial travel slowdowns. Additionally, the recent stock volatility was attributed to the second-largest shareholder Pentwater Capital's disclosure and subsequent sale of shares, which the company intends to pursue aggressively under Section 16 short swing profit rules.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-29
Proactive fleet reduction and record utilization drove margin expansion and adjusted EBITDA growth despite softer demand and revenue declines. The company reiterated full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance, highlighted a $650M settlement, and continued disciplined capital allocation.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
Adjusted EBITDA exceeded plan in Q1 2026, driven by disciplined fleet management and improved pricing, especially in the Americas. Full-year EBITDA guidance was raised, and the company is targeting lower leverage by year-end, while addressing recent insider trading volatility.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-19
Q4 and full year results missed guidance due to abrupt demand declines, higher fleet costs, and a $500M EV write-down, mainly impacting the Americas. Management is prioritizing fleet utilization, cost discipline, and capital allocation for 2026, with modest revenue growth expected.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-28
Revenue grew 1% year-over-year to $3.51 billion, with adjusted EBITDA up 11% despite a 3% RPD decline in the Americas and significant recall costs. International EBITDA surged 40% on mix shift and cost discipline, while ongoing recalls and macro risks weigh on outlook.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-30
Strategic focus shifted to innovation with the launch of Avis First and a Waymo partnership, while guidance remains at $900M–$1B EBITDA for the second half amid headwinds from tariffs and recalls. RPD is improving as supply tightens and demand stays strong.
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This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
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