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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated
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$5.3B
Market Cap
16.3
P/E
1.36
PEG
7.4%
ROCE
33.7%
ROE
4.34
D/E
5.0%
OPM
-3.2%
% from 52W High
95
α RS
🔍 CAKE is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 6 of 37 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 95 (top decile vs market), and it's within 3.2% of its 52-week high. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating 52W High
Sources
Conviction 6/37 · RS Rating 95 · 3.2% from 52W high
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Currency-adjusted total returns for CAKE including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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By Category
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About

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada.

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Good quarter Investor Presentation One-Pager? Q1 2026
Revenue
$978.8M
+5.6% YoY
Net Income
$49.5M
+2.1% YoY
Adjusted Diluted EPS
$1.05
+5.0% YoY
What Went Right
  • Cheesecake Factory comps up 1.6% vs industry, AUV hit $12.8M (new record).
  • Flower Child comps soared 10% with two-year stack of 15%.
  • Adjusted net income margin expanded to 5.2%, beating guidance.
What to Watch
  • North Italia comps fell 2% and margins dropped to 14.8% (vs 16.6% prior year).
  • Weather impact net ~75 bps of sales in Q1.
  • Higher beef, seafood costs partially offset favorable dairy.
Management Guidance
  • Q2 FY2026 revenue expected $990M–$1B.
  • Q2 adjusted net income margin ~5.5% at midpoint.
  • FY2026 revenue ~$3.91B with ~5% net income margin; CapEx ~$210M for up to 26 new units.
Investor Lens
The thesis is stronger after Q1: core Cheesecake Factory delivered record AUVs and improving traffic, while Flower Child continues to take share. The mobile app launch and rewards program offer incremental growth levers. However, North Italia’s sales weakness and margin compression need to be monitored; management expects margin recovery through positive comps. Overall, disciplined execution and a strong balance sheet support the long-term growth story.
From investor presentation · AI-generated analysis · Not investment advice
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📈 STRONG Strong Q1 beat with 1.6% Cheesecake comp and record $12.8M AUV.
Revenue
Total revenues were $978.8M, up 5.6% YoY, exceeding guidance. Cheesecake Factory contributed $690.5M (+3%), North Italia $89.5M (+7%), Flower Child $52.6M (+21%), and Other FRC $104.5M (+20%).
Profitability
GAAP net income was $49.5M ($1.02 EPS) and adjusted net income was $51.1M ($1.05 EPS), a 5% increase YoY. Adjusted net income margin was 5.2%.
Margins
Restaurant-level profit margin at Cheesecake Factory improved 10 bps to 17.5%. Flower Child margin rose 100 bps to 19.6%. North Italia margin fell to 14.8% from 16.6% due to sales deleverage and higher building costs. Company-level cost of sales decreased 10 bps; labor declined 20 bps.
Balance Sheet
Cash $235.1M, total liquidity $601.6M, debt $644M (convertible notes). CapEx $43M in Q1. Repurchased $18.4M shares, paid $14.2M dividends.
Key Risks
Management flagged weather impact (~75 bps net) and commodity inflation (low-to-mid single digits). North Italia traffic fell 6%, requiring menu and marketing fixes. Higher group medical costs pressured labor.
Outlook
Q2 revenue guided to $990M-$1B with ~5.5% adjusted net income margin. FY2026 revenue ~$3.91B and net income margin ~5%, with up to 26 new restaurants, majority in H2.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-28
Record Q2 results with revenue over $1 billion, 24% EPS growth, and strong margins driven by menu innovation, digital engagement, and operational excellence. Expansion continues with 26 new restaurants planned for 2026 and robust liquidity supports growth and shareholder returns.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
Q1 results surpassed expectations with strong revenue, margin, and EPS growth, led by robust performance at The Cheesecake Factory and Flower Child. Guidance for 2026 anticipates continued growth, margin expansion, and up to 26 new restaurant openings, supported by menu innovation and digital engagement.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-18
Q4 and FY2025 saw record revenue and adjusted EPS, driven by strong new unit growth and operational execution. Margin expansion was achieved across all core brands, with robust liquidity and increased shareholder returns. FY2026 guidance anticipates continued growth and margin stability.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-28
Third quarter revenue reached $907M with profitability above expectations, driven by menu innovation and operational efficiency. Despite a softer consumer environment and increased competition, margins improved across key brands, and 2025–2026 growth plans remain on track with robust new unit development.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-29
Q2 2025 delivered record revenues and adjusted EPS, driven by strong sales, margin expansion, and operational excellence across all brands. New menu innovations and targeted rewards boosted engagement, while robust unit growth and steady industry conditions support a positive outlook.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Information Sources:
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