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Bullish
NYSE: BLSH Technology IT 🔎 Screen
$3.9B
Market Cap
P/E
0.33
PEG
-0.6%
ROCE
-27.6%
ROE
0.17
D/E
OPM
-56.0%
% from 52W High
13
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for BLSH including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Bullish, a global digital asset platform that provides market infrastructure and information services in United States.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding BLSH
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Cathie Wood ARK Investment Management 6.56M $234.5M 1.82% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 156.8K $5.6M 0.01% Mar 2026
Tiger Global Management Tiger Global Management LLC 100.0K $3.6M 0.02% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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📊 MIXED Bullish acquires Equiniti for $4.2B, Q1 adjusted revenue $92.8M up 49% YoY
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 adjusted revenue was $92.8 million, up 49% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $35.1 million (38% margin), compared to $13.2 million (21% margin) in Q1 2025. Adjusted net income was $20.3 million ($0.13 per diluted share). For the combined company pre-synergy, 2026 outlook: adjusted revenue $1.25B-$1.35B, adjusted EBITDA less CapEx $490M-$530M, adjusted net income $270M-$290M.
Outlook
Management sees tokenization as a 20-year opportunity and the next infrastructure era for capital markets. Demand from issuers and partners has surged since the Equiniti announcement, with dozens of inbound inquiries. Conservative adoption assumptions may prove too slow given the strong market validation. Macro headwinds include digital asset price declines (Bitcoin down 24% QoQ), but revenue still grew.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include: tokenization services (Equiniti's 3,000 issuers), exchange expansion via DCM/DCO licenses in the U.S., liquidity services for tokenized securities, and CoinDesk's growing audience (unique visitors up 60% QoQ). The company expects 6%-8% annual revenue growth over the medium term. New client wins (e.g., Ripple Prime, QCP) and partnerships (e.g., Morgan Stanley for ETP benchmarks) also drive growth.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed as a separate CapEx line. The company is pulling forward investments in the tokenization platform, which is included in the full-year 2026 adjusted operating expense midpoint-to-upper end range. Q1 included ~$2.5 million in incremental expenses from AI tools and tokenization investments. Post-Equiniti, net cost reductions of $25M-$50M are expected.
Margins
Q1 adjusted EBITDA margin was 38%, up from 21% in the prior year. For the medium term, management expects to exit 2029 with approximately 50% EBITDA less CapEx margin. Combined 2026 adjusted EBITDA less CapEx is guided at $490M-$530M, growing roughly $100M per year. Free cash flow over the medium term is expected to be ~$1 billion.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include the possibility that the Equiniti transaction may not close, failure to obtain required regulatory approvals, integration difficulties, and regulatory changes. Macro headwinds such as digital asset price declines (Bitcoin down 24% QoQ) and interest rate drops could affect revenue. Analysts questioned the speed of issuer adoption for tokenization.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (4 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (4)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-14
Announced a $4.2B Equiniti acquisition to lead in tokenization, with Q1 revenue up 49% year-over-year and strong growth in exchange and media segments. Reaffirmed 2026 guidance and highlighted robust issuer and partner interest post-deal.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-05
Q4 2025 saw record revenue and EBITDA, driven by options trading, liquidity services, and institutional growth. 2026 guidance targets 50% SS&O revenue growth, with macro and regulatory factors as key variables. Tokenization and regulatory clarity remain central to long-term strategy.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-19
Record Q3 results with adjusted revenue up 72% year-over-year and strong EBITDA growth. Options and U.S. exchange launches drove rapid client onboarding and market share gains, while liquidity services and CoinDesk businesses expanded. Guidance points to continued growth and high margins.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-09-17
Q2 saw record subscription revenue and rapid growth in liquidity services, despite lower trading volumes due to low BTC volatility. U.S. market entry is imminent after securing the New York BitLicense, with strong guidance for Q3 and continued expansion in indices and options products.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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