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Birkenstock Holding plc
$6.7B
Market Cap
20.6
P/E
0.75
PEG
11.0%
ROCE
13.0%
ROE
0.47
D/E
26.2%
OPM
-32.9%
% from 52W High
16
α RS
🔍 BIRK is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 9 of 37 tracked screener presets and an ECS of 59.6 last quarter. Net: Partial signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction ECS
Sources
Conviction 9/37 · ECS 59.6
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for BIRK including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
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About

Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding BIRK
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 1.90M $68.2M 0.09% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Birkenstock Q2 2026: Revenue EUR 680M, 14% constant currency growth, reaffirms 13-15% FY guidance.
Revenue & Profitability
Q2 2026 revenue was EUR 680 million, up 8% reported and 14% in constant currency. Adjusted EBITDA was EUR 198 million (32.1% margin), down 1% year-over-year. Adjusted net profit was EUR 93 million (EUR 0.50 per share), down 10% year-over-year. Full-year FY 2026 guidance: constant currency revenue growth 13-15%, reported revenue EUR 2.3-2.35 billion, and adjusted EBITDA at least EUR 700 million.
Outlook
Management remains confident in strong demand despite multiple headwinds: Middle East conflicts disrupting supply chains, higher energy costs driving inflation (US 3.3%, Eurozone 3% in March/April 2026), and increased U.S. tariffs (now ~20% after Supreme Court ruling). Consumer sentiment in Europe is muted due to double-digit energy cost increases, while APAC demand remains very strong.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include APAC expanding at over 2x the pace of other regions (30% CC), closed-toe penetration up 300 basis points (led by clogs), own retail fleet expansion (111 doors, targeting 140 by year-end, same-store sales up double digits), and strong B2B sell-through (up over 30% at key partners in the Americas). Digital investments are focused on mid/upper funnel and personalization.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
CapEx for Q2 was EUR 21 million, and full-year FY 2026 guidance is EUR 110-130 million. Investments are directed at production capacity expansion in Arouca, Görlitz, Ströth, Pasewalk, and the build-out of Wittichenau, as well as retail store openings and IT infrastructure.
Margins
Q2 adjusted gross margin was 54.6%, down 310 bps year-over-year (230 bps from FX, 90 bps from tariffs). Excluding FX and tariffs, gross margin expanded 10 bps. Full-year FY 2026 adjusted gross margin guidance is 57-57.5%, and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance is 30-30.5%, both inclusive of ~200 bps combined pressure from FX and tariffs. Tariffs are expected to impact Q3 by ~100 bps and Q4 by ~50 bps.
Key Risks
Risks include ongoing Middle East conflicts (direct and indirect EUR 10-12 million revenue risk in EMEA, mitigated by steering to other regions), elevated inflation and energy costs pressuring consumer wallets, U.S. tariff uncertainty (current rate ~20%, IEEPA refunds of ~EUR 30 million uncertain in timing), and persistent FX headwinds (640 bps drag on Q2 revenue growth, expected to ease in H2).
Generated by AI · Q2 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-05-13
Revenue grew 14% in constant currency in Q2 2026, with strong demand across all regions and robust D2C growth. Despite FX, tariff, and geopolitical headwinds, guidance for 13%-15% constant currency revenue growth and at least EUR 700 million adjusted EBITDA is reiterated.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-02-12
Q1 revenue grew 18% in constant currency, with strong B2B and APAC performance. Despite FX and tariff headwinds, guidance for FY26 remains at 13%-15% constant currency growth, with robust margins and continued investment in retail and capacity.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2025-12-18
Record fiscal 2025 results with 18% revenue growth and strong double-digit gains across all segments. 2026 guidance reflects capacity constraints and FX/tariff headwinds, but demand remains robust, especially in APAC and among younger consumers.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-08-14
Q3 saw 16% constant currency revenue growth, record margins, and strong demand across all regions and channels. B2B outpaced D2C, with robust sell-through and inventory turns, while FX and tariffs were managed through pricing and operational levers.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-05-15
Q2 revenue grew 19% year-over-year to EUR 574 million, with strong double-digit growth across all regions and channels. Gross margin and adjusted EBITDA improved, and guidance was raised for both revenue and margin despite tariff and FX headwinds. Premiumization and retail expansion continue to drive performance.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Information Sources:
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