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Ambiq Micro
$472M
Market Cap
P/E
PEG
-162.9%
ROCE
-29.4%
ROE
0.00
D/E
-54.5%
OPM
-34.8%
% from 52W High
88
α RS
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About

Ambiq Micro, Inc. provides ultra-low-power semiconductor solutions in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally.

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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 42.6K $1.1M 0.00% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED Ambiq Q1 2026 net sales $25.1M (+59% YoY); Edge AI demand drives 75% Q2 growth outlook.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 net sales: $25.1M (+59.3% YoY). Non-GAAP gross profit: $11.6M (+56.2% YoY). Non-GAAP net loss: $5M ($0.25 loss per share). Cash and equivalents: $204.5M, no debt. Q2 2026 guidance: net sales $31M-$32M, non-GAAP gross margin 45%-46%, non-GAAP operating expense $21M-$22M (including $1.7M IP purchases), non-GAAP loss per share $0.29-$0.23.
Outlook
Management views the Edge AI market as growing rapidly, outpacing earlier expectations. Demand is driven by wearables evolving into health/wellness platforms and expansion into new form factors (bands, rings, eyewear). Non-wearable segments (medical, industrial, smart home) are gaining traction as customers deploy AI directly on devices. The company expects year-over-year second half net sales growth similar to the first half, though with Q4 seasonality.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers: (1) strong End-user demand for Edge AI in wearables and new form factors; (2) Apollo5 upgrade cycle enabling next-gen Edge AI capabilities; (3) broader deployment across customer portfolios with upcoming product launches; (4) a new scaled global customer entering mass production in 2026. Non-wearable revenue is expected to more than double in 2026, led by medical (ECG, glucose monitoring), industrial (bike computing, battery monitors), and smart home applications.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not explicitly discussed as capital expenditure. However, operating expense includes IP purchases: $1.7M in Q2 and $7M-$10M for full year 2026, necessary for product development. The company is investing in engineering headcount and utilizing contract engineering for flexibility.
Margins
Q1 2026 non-GAAP gross margin was 46.2%, down 90 bps YoY primarily due to a Q1 2025 non-recurring credit; excluding that, gross margin improved 210 bps YoY. For 2026, gross margins are expected to be roughly flat YoY as yield improvements (especially on Apollo5) are offset by industry-wide cost dynamics (substrate and piece part costs). Q2 2026 non-GAAP gross margin guided at 45%-46%. Full-year operating expense is expected to be approximately $85M.
Key Risks
Risks discussed: (1) seasonality in Q4 could impact second half revenue shape; (2) expedited customer requests sometimes cannot be met due to short lead times; (3) industry-wide input cost increases (substrate, piece parts) pressuring margins; (4) customer concentration – top three customers accounted for 71% of Q1 2026 sales; (5) increasing exposure to China (13.7% of sales, up from 6.2% a year ago).
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-11
Edge AI demand drove 90% year-over-year net sales growth and five straight quarters of sequential gains. Despite industry-wide supply constraints, guidance was raised to $135 million in full-year sales, with new products and markets fueling diversification. Gross margin improved to 47.2%.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-12
Q1 2026 saw 59% year-over-year sales growth, driven by strong Edge AI demand and diversification beyond wearables. Guidance calls for continued high growth, with profitability targeted as revenue scales and investments in new products and markets accelerate.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-05
Record Q4 and full-year results driven by Edge AI adoption, with strong growth expected in 2026 across wearables and expanding non-wearable markets. Gross margin reached 45.5% in Q4, and guidance points to over $100 million in 2026 revenue.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-06
Q3 2025 saw strong gross margin and improved net loss, driven by a strategic pivot to high-value edge AI markets and robust Apollo 5 adoption. Q4 guidance exceeds consensus, with continued revenue growth and margin expansion expected into 2026 and beyond.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-09-04
Q2 2025 saw sequential revenue and gross profit growth, driven by a strategic shift away from China and strong adoption in wearables and non-wearables. The company completed its IPO, raising $97.2M to fund expansion, R&D, and IP licensing, with a positive outlook for the second half of 2025.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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