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Autoliv, Inc.
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High | BRS 61 Forming View all →
$9.7B
Market Cap
12.4
P/E
0.83
PEG
19.5%
ROCE
30.2%
ROE
0.88
D/E
10.1%
OPM
-6.2%
% from 52W High
34
α RS
🔍 ALV is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 7 of 37 tracked screener presets, it's within 6.2% of its 52-week high, and it's hugging the 21 EMA. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction 52W High Technicals
Sources
Conviction 7/37 · 6.2% from 52W high · hugging 21 EMA
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for ALV including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
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About

Autoliv, Inc., through its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and supplies passive safety systems to the automotive industry in the Americas, Europe, China, and Asia.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding ALV
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 211.8K $22.3M 0.03% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Autoliv Q1 sales $2.8B, adj. operating margin 8.9%, reiterates FY26 margin guidance 10.5%-11%.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 net sales were nearly $2.8 billion, up 7% year-over-year. Adjusted operating income was $245 million, down 4% from $255 million in Q1 2025. Adjusted earnings per share diluted decreased by $0.10. Gross profit increased $48 million and gross margin improved nearly 60 basis points. Operating cash flow was -$76 million, down $153 million, primarily due to temporary working capital effects. Full-year operating cash flow is expected to be around $1.2 billion.
Outlook
Management expects global light vehicle production to decline by about 1% in 2026, with full-year organic sales flat. The guidance for adjusted operating margin is 10.5%-11%, unchanged from prior guidance. Key assumptions: no material changes to tariffs as of April 10, 2026, and no significant supply chain disruptions. Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly around the Persian Gulf, add risk to energy markets and consumer confidence.
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by safety content increases in India (sales +38% organically in Q1) and strong outperformance in China (15 percentage points above LVP, with Chinese OEMs outperforming by 40+ percentage points). New product launches, including the Nissan Versa and the Yamaha Tricity 300 scooter with Autoliv's first motorcycle airbag, support expansion. The Mobility Safety Solutions (MSS) segment is expected to contribute 1-2% growth toward the long-term 4-6% CAGR target.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Capital expenditures net in Q1 2026 were $? (not directly stated, but net CapEx decreased by $9 million year-over-year). CapEx as a percentage of sales was 3%, versus 3.6% a year earlier. For the full year 2026, CapEx is expected to be below 5% of sales. The lower level is due to less footprint optimization, capacity expansion, and timing effects.
Margins
Adjusted operating margin in Q1 2026 was 8.9%, down 1.0 percentage point from 9.9% in Q1 2025. Full-year 2026 guidance is 10.5%-11%. Margin improvement drivers include operational productivity, structural cost savings, and customer price compensation for raw materials. Headwinds include a $90 million gross raw material cost increase and temporary lower RD&E reimbursements. Unrecovered tariffs and the dilutive effect of recovered tariffs negatively impacted Q1 margin by about 40 basis points.
Key Risks
Management highlighted heightened geopolitical uncertainty from hostilities in the Persian Gulf, which could affect supply chains, raw material prices, and vehicle demand. Other risks include tariff and trade policy changes (though current USMCA structure expected to remain), raw material cost inflation (oil price-driven impacts on textiles, plastics, nylon), and potential supply chain disruption. The temporary negative working capital impact from strong late-quarter sales was noted but expected to reverse.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-17
Record Q2 sales and adjusted operating income were driven by strong growth in Asia and effective cost management, despite global light vehicle production declines and inflationary pressures. Strategic partnerships and restructuring initiatives support long-term competitiveness.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-17
Q1 2026 saw strong sales growth and operational improvements, especially in Asia, with record net sales and gross profit, though adjusted operating income declined slightly. Full-year guidance was reiterated despite higher raw material costs and geopolitical risks, with robust shareholder returns and continued margin expansion efforts.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-01-30
Record sales, cash flow, and EPS were achieved in 2025, with strong growth in China and India and robust shareholder returns. 2026 guidance anticipates flat organic sales, margin expansion, and continued high cash flow, despite headwinds from raw materials and market volatility.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-17
Record Q3 sales and earnings driven by strong growth in China, North America, and India, with robust margin and cash flow improvements. Strategic investments and partnerships in China, plus disciplined capital allocation, support continued outperformance despite ongoing tariff and market headwinds.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-18
Record Q2 sales and earnings driven by strong performance in China, Europe, and India, with improved margins and robust cash flow. 2025 guidance maintained, expecting 3% organic sales growth and 10–10.5% adjusted operating margin, despite tariff and market uncertainties.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
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Information Sources:
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