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Alignment Healthcare, Inc.
$2.6B
Market Cap
P/E
PEG
3.0%
ROCE
-0.7%
ROE
1.84
D/E
0.4%
OPM
-43.4%
% from 52W High
24
α RS
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Currency-adjusted total returns for ALHC including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Alignment Healthcare, Inc. operates a consumer-centric healthcare platform for seniors in the United States.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding ALHC
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 2.90M $51.2M 0.08% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 2.44M $43.0M 0.06% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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📊 MIXED Alignment Healthcare Q1 2026: Revenue $1.2B, membership up 31%, adjusted EBITDA $38M.
Revenue & Profitability
Q1 2026 revenue was $1.2 billion, up 33% year-over-year. Adjusted gross profit was $146 million, yielding an adjusted medical benefit ratio (MBR) of 88.2% (improved 20 bps YoY). Adjusted SG&A was $108 million, or 8.7% of revenue (improved 60 bps YoY). Adjusted EBITDA was $38 million, up 88% year-over-year, representing a 3.1% margin. The company did not report GAAP net income or operating income on this call.
Outlook
Management is encouraged by the 2027 final rate notice, viewing CMS actions to address overutilization in fee-for-service and sustain the MA program positively. CEO John Kao believes MA is a durable program that rewards plans delivering measurable value. General industry trend is significantly above the 2.48% net rate, but Alignment is well-positioned due to its low-cost clinical model and geographic variations (e.g., LA County rate increases near 6%).
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by strong sales and member retention, with a focus on high-acuity populations such as dual-eligible and C-SNP members (about 50% of AEP growth). The company is expanding into new large markets in 2027, though specific states were not disclosed. It also sees upside from new member cohort maturation as members move from year one to year two, improving margins.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Capital expenditures are primarily software development, with 2026 planned CAPEX around $40 million. The company is investing in AI-enabled workflows for clinical operations, provider data management, contract management, and claim automation. CFO Jim Head noted that CAPEX may tick up slightly but will decline as a percentage of revenue over time.
Margins
Adjusted MBR improved 20 bps YoY to 88.2% in Q1 2026. Adjusted SG&A as a percentage of revenue declined 60 bps to 8.7%. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 90 bps to 3.1%. For the first half of 2026, management expects MBR improvement of 40 bps and SG&A improvement of 40 bps versus the prior year. Approximately 60% of full-year EBITDA is expected in the first half, up from 55% in 2025.
Key Risks
Management flagged a temporary inpatient admissions issue due to a CMS rule change affecting observation determinations, which was resolved by end of February but raised Q1 admits to high 150s per thousand (normally mid 150s). Analysts asked about RADV audit methodology changes (extrapolation removed from 2020 audits) and potential impact of future risk model changes. Management also noted the risk of hospital billing practices and affordability challenges in MA.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-07-30
Q2 2026 saw 31% membership and 32% revenue growth, with Adjusted EBITDA up 48% year-over-year. Guidance for 2026 was raised, reflecting strong first-half results and continued investments in AI, clinical operations, and new market expansion.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-30
Membership and revenue grew over 30% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA up 88% and margin expansion driven by operational improvements and automation. Guidance for 2026 was raised, and the company is investing in AI and considering in-house supplemental benefits to further enhance profitability.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-26
Membership and revenue grew over 25% and 44% year-over-year in Q4 2025, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $110 million for the year. 2026 guidance projects continued strong growth, with investments in technology and expansion outside California supporting future scalability.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-30
Q3 2025 results exceeded guidance with 26% membership and 44% revenue growth, driving improved profitability and strong STARS ratings across markets. Full-year guidance was raised for all key metrics, and at least 20% membership growth is expected in 2026, supported by operational investments and disciplined benefit design.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-30
Q2 2025 saw 28% membership and 49% revenue growth, with Adjusted EBITDA and margins exceeding guidance. Full-year outlook was raised across all key metrics, and the company expects to be free cash flow positive in 2025, supported by strong execution and high star ratings.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
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