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Allegiant Travel Company
$1.5B
Market Cap
13.1
P/E
0.29
PEG
1.3%
ROCE
-4.2%
ROE
1.65
D/E
1.4%
OPM
-30.7%
% from 52W High
67
α RS
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for ALGT including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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About

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding ALGT
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 276.9K $22.4M 0.03% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 91.0K $7.4M 0.01% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific ~ Volatile 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Q1 adjusted operating margin 14.9% on $732M revenue; Sun Country merger closing soon
Revenue & Profitability
First quarter net income was $69.6 million, EPS $3.77, with adjusted operating margin of 14.9% (highest Q1 since pre-COVID). EBITDA was $168 million (22.9% margin). TRASM increased 16.4% year-over-year to $0.1431, while CASM-ex rose 7.1% to $0.0864 due to 5.9% lower capacity. For Q2, the company guides to an operating margin of approximately 1% and a loss per share of about $0.50, assuming fuel at $4.35 per gallon.
Outlook
Management reports that leisure demand remains strong, with cash sales running double-digit growth through April despite capacity reductions. The main headwind is sharp jet fuel cost increases (crack spreads nearly tripled in early April). The company expects the gap between efficient, well-run airlines and weaker operators to widen, and it positions Allegiant and Sun Country on the favorable side of that gap.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include the 737 MAX fleet (20%+ fuel efficiency improvement, 30% better ASMs per gallon, expected to produce over 20% of ASMs in 2026 and 50% by 2028). The co-brand card is growing at over 15% year-over-year in new accounts and spend. Allegiant Extra continues to exceed expectations. The Sun Country acquisition brings fixed-fee and cargo businesses with contractual fuel pass-through, which is especially valuable in a high-fuel environment.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Q1 capital expenditures were $176 million, including $155 million in aircraft-related spend and $21 million in other airline investments. Full-year CapEx guidance is maintained. The company expects to refinance its 2027 senior secured notes in coming months, pending market conditions. Unencumbered fleet assets have a market value of approximately $1.3 billion, providing additional liquidity flexibility.
Margins
Q1 adjusted operating margin of 14.9% was up nearly six points year-over-year and is expected to be industry-leading for the second consecutive quarter. Q2 margin is guided to about 1% due to a $120 million incremental fuel expense. CASM-ex is expected to peak in Q2, but non-fuel costs for full-year 2026 are still expected to be down versus 2024. The company maintains a flexible cost structure that allows it to reduce off-peak capacity when margins are under pressure.
Key Risks
The primary risk highlighted is jet fuel volatility, with crack spreads having nearly tripled to $1.70 per gallon before easing to $1.20. Capacity adjustments may impact unit costs. The company also faces geopolitical uncertainty and potential further fuel price increases. Integration of Sun Country carries execution risk, though management is confident. Analyst questions raised the potential for a competitor (Spirit) to receive federal assistance, but Allegiant stated it would not affect their outlook.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-04
Record Q2 revenue and industry-leading margins were achieved, driven by strong TRASM growth and successful integration of Sun Country. Full-year EPS is expected to exceed $6 despite fuel volatility, with robust liquidity and disciplined capacity management supporting continued margin expansion.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-30
Q1 2026 saw record revenue, a 14.9% adjusted operating margin, and strong leisure demand despite fuel cost pressures. The Sun Country merger is on track for May, expected to enhance flexibility and deliver $140 million in synergies. Guidance anticipates a Q2 loss due to high fuel prices.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-04
Closed 2025 with record revenue, strong operational reliability, and industry-leading cost control. 2026 guidance calls for over $8 EPS, margin expansion, and continued fleet modernization, with Sun Country acquisition expected to accelerate growth.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-04
Q3 2025 saw improved demand, strong operational performance, and cost reductions, though a modest operating loss was reported. The MAX fleet integration and sale of Sunseeker Resort support margin expansion and a robust balance sheet, with 2026 guidance focused on flat capacity and higher peak utilization.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-04
Q2 saw record operational performance, strong cost control, and margin outperformance despite softer leisure demand. The sale of Sunseeker Resort will simplify the business and strengthen the balance sheet. 2025 guidance remains cautious, with higher earnings expected in 2026 as new initiatives and fleet upgrades take effect.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Information Sources:
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