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Afya Limited
🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High | BRS 65 Forming View all →
$1.3B
Market Cap
10.3
P/E
0.49
PEG
16.1%
ROCE
16.7%
ROE
0.61
D/E
32.8%
OPM
-10.3%
% from 52W High
34
α RS
🔍 AFYA is showing a high-conviction setup because it matches 8 of 37 tracked screener presets, Sector RRG has Consumer Staples in the Leading quadrant with the trail still strengthening, and an ECS of 55.1 last quarter. Net: Broad signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RRG ECS
Sources
Conviction 8/37 · Consumer Staples in Leading quadrant · ECS 55.1
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for AFYA including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
📊 Sector Averages
About

Afya Limited operates as a medical education group in Brazil.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
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📊 MIXED Afya Q1 2026: Revenue BRL 1.013B, Adj. EBITDA BRL 511M, 3,768 med seats
Revenue & Profitability
Revenue increased 8% year-over-year to BRL 1.013 billion. Adjusted EBITDA grew 4% to BRL 511 million (margin 50.5%). Net income reached BRL 262 million (+2%), with EPS of BRL 2.88 (+3%). Free cash flow was BRL 376 million (+3%), and cash from operations was BRL 473 million. Net debt stood at BRL 1.151 billion (0.7x leverage).
Outlook
Management sees stable demand for medical education, with a healthy intake cycle for first-half 2026 and better lead generation for second-half intake compared to last year. The non-medical health undergrad segment grew 20% organically. They expect better Enamed exam results in September 2026, and the M&A pipeline remains active but with disciplined return targets.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include: medical school ticket increases of ~5% YoY above inflation; 20% organic growth in non-medical health undergraduate students; record Continuing Education B2B revenue (BRL 74 million) with a 57,000 student base; and Medical Practice Solutions B2B revenue growth of 17% driven by iClinic and increasing prescriptions (2 million/month). Expansion of the health undergraduate portfolio and integration of solutions into the Afya One platform are additional drivers.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
CapEx in Q1 2026 was concentrated on intangible assets (software, AI features) rather than property and equipment, reflecting investment in product integration and platform development for Medical Practice Solutions. Sales and marketing expenses increased for Undergrad (centralized intake) and MPS (sales team expansion). Investments in Whitebook are focused on audience growth, with revenue impact expected from 2027 onward. No specific CapEx guidance was provided.
Margins
Adjusted EBITDA margin declined 200 basis points year-over-year to 50.5%, driven by higher costs in Continuing Education and Medical Practice Solutions (lower gross margin, higher payroll and sales/marketing expenses). Undergraduate gross margin remained stable at 69%. Management indicated these investments are embedded in full-year guidance and are expected to support future margin recovery.
Key Risks
Risks flagged include: potential impact from the Enamed exam recalibration on medical student performance and occupancy (though minimal in 2026 guidance); provision for OECD Pillar Two global minimum tax (partially offset net income); higher expenses in CE and MPS segments pressuring margins; competition from free AI tools in Whitebook; and M&A constraints from valuation asymmetry and difficulty finding targets meeting return thresholds.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-05-07
Revenue rose 8% year-over-year to BRL 1.013 billion, with net income up 2% and strong cash flow. Growth was driven by higher medical course tickets, expanding health programs, and investments in digital solutions, despite margin pressure from increased costs.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-03-12
Delivered strong 2025 results with 12% revenue and 18% net income growth, robust cash flow, and a 19% EPS increase. 2026 guidance anticipates continued growth, with investments in technology and integration expected to impact margins.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-11-12
Strong revenue and profit growth continued, with margin expansion and robust cash generation. Capital allocation remains flexible, balancing M&A, buybacks, and dividends, while tax rates are expected to rise due to new regulations.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-08-13
Q2 and H1 2025 saw double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth, margin expansion, and strong cash flow, driven by robust performance across all segments and disciplined capital allocation. Guidance for 2025 is reaffirmed, with tax and competitive pressures being actively managed.
Q1 2025 Q1 2025 2025-05-08
Revenue grew 16% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA up 24% and net income up 23%. Strong operational performance drove margin expansion, robust cash flow, and reduced net debt. Guidance remains unchanged, with continued growth expected across all segments.
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
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Information Sources:
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