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Toast, Inc.
NYSE: TOST Technology IT 🔎 Screen
$14.4B
Market Cap
63.4
P/E
PEG
55.7%
ROCE
18.6%
ROE
0.01
D/E
4.8%
OPM
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for TOST including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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By Category
Shareholding
About

Toast, Inc. operates a cloud-based digital technology platform for the restaurant industry in the United States, Ireland, India, and internationally.

Key Ratios Snapshot
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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding TOST
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jeff Ubben ValueAct Holdings 12.90M $341.9M 5.98% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 4.32M $114.6M 0.18% Mar 2026
Cathie Wood ARK Investment Management 1.81M $48.0M 0.37% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 172.9K $4.6M 0.01% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Toast Q1 2026: 27% recurring gross profit growth, 21% GAAP operating margin, 7,000 net locations added.
Revenue & Profitability
ARR grew 26% year-over-year. Recurring gross profit streams increased 27%. GAAP operating income was $110 million, with GAAP EPS of $0.20. Adjusted EBITDA reached $179 million, representing a 34% margin. GPV was $51 billion, up 22%, while SaaS gross margin expanded to 81%. Free cash flow was $115 million. Total monetization take rate (recurring gross profit as a percentage of GPV) crossed 1% for the first time to 103 basis points.
Outlook
Management described consumer trends as stable, with Q1 GPV per location down 1% year-over-year but within a reasonable zone. Customers remain resilient across macro cycles. Positive tailwinds include the opportunity to expand from software to an agentic platform with AI, serving new TAMs (enterprise, international, retail), and driving productivity through AI. No specific macroeconomic headwinds were highlighted; management expressed confidence in sustained high growth over the next 5–10 years.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include: (1) evolving from a software platform to an agentic platform (e.g., Toast IQ Grow marketing agent showing 8% average sales lift), (2) expanding into enterprise with Drive-Thru and hotels, (3) international growth in tier 1 cities (Canada, UK, Ireland, Australia), and (4) retail, especially grocery (over 100 locations with >$5M sales). The Toast Local app more than doubled weekly downloads quarter-over-quarter. Net locations added 7,000 in Q1 2026.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed explicitly as capital expenditure guidance but management noted strategic purchasing of memory chips and plans to hold more inventory in the near term, with the majority of cash impact expected in Q2. Free cash flow conversion for full year 2026 is expected to be slightly lower than 2025 due to this inventory build. Investments in AI tooling (R&D up 20% year-over-year) and go-to-market (sales & marketing up 20%) are ongoing.
Margins
GAAP operating income margin reached 21% for the first time. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 34%. SaaS gross margin expanded 300 basis points to 81%. Subscription gross profit growth outpaced top line at 32%. Total monetization take rate increased 5 basis points year-over-year to 103 basis points. Management reiterated a long-term target of 40%+ EBITDA margins. AI efficiencies (e.g., 40% of support interactions resolved by AI) are freeing capital to reinvest.
Key Risks
Management flagged tariff impacts on hardware costs, absorbing higher costs while maintaining healthy payback periods. The impact on margins is expected to be larger in 2027 than 2026, but management does not anticipate structural long-term effects. GPV per location declined 1% in Q1, but consumer trends are stable. No other notable risks were raised by management or analysts.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
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