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BBB Foods Inc.
$4.8B
Market Cap
246.0
P/E
PEG
-4.0%
ROCE
-69.6%
ROE
3.12
D/E
-0.9%
OPM
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for TBBB including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
Excellent
Good
Average
Poor
By Category
Shareholding
About

BBB Foods Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a chain of grocery retail stores in Mexico.

Key Ratios Snapshot
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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding TBBB
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Stan Druckenmiller Duquesne Family Office 3.11M $110.0M 3.26% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 876.2K $31.0M 0.04% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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🎙 Management Tone Mixed → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Tiendas 3B opens 123 net stores, revenue up 33% to MXN 23bn in Q1 2026
Revenue & Profitability
Total revenue in Q1 2026 increased 33% year-over-year to MXN 23 billion. Adjusted EBITDA (excluding non-cash share-based compensation) rose 39% to MXN 1.3 billion. Cash flow from operating activities grew 64% to MXN 2 billion. Net income was not disclosed, but the company noted strong operating cash flow driven by negative working capital of MXN 9.4 billion (11.3% of LTM revenue).
Outlook
Management sees the business as resilient across economic cycles, with enormous market potential and a long runway for store expansion. They noted that the gap in same-store sales versus ANTAD exceeds 14 percentage points, despite low internal inflation. No macro headwinds were explicitly flagged; the outlook is described as 'very promising' for 2026.
Growth Drivers
Growth is driven by rapid store expansion: 123 net new stores in Q1 (580 LTM, 20% YoY). Same-store sales growth of 16% is attributed 2/3 to volume (transactions and SKUs per ticket) and 1/3 to price/mix. Expansion strategy focuses on densifying existing regions and gradually entering new ones. All product categories performed well, with subcategory shifts like sweetened beverages declining due to a new tax.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
CapEx guidance for 2026 is approximately MXN 5.2 billion, covering new stores, additional distribution centers, and equipment (including trucks). This aligns with the store opening plan. Investments in IT talent and a new ERP system are ongoing; the ERP deployment is a three-year project now halfway through, rolled out gradually by region.
Margins
Adjusted EBITDA margin improved 22 basis points year-over-year in Q1 2026. Selling expenses rose 5 bps to 10.3% of revenue, with leverage on most lines except utilities, permitting, and D&A. Labor costs decreased as a percentage of revenue despite minimum wage increases. The company expects SG&A to continue declining gradually over the long term, with G&A stable this year.
Key Risks
Risks mentioned include potential labor cost pressures from a future reduction in the work week in Mexico (next year), though management is confident in offsetting it through store-level efficiencies. Dependence on talent for growth is highlighted, as is the lock-up expiration on August 6, 2026, which an analyst questioned as a possible stock overhang. No other specific risks were flagged.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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