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Somnigroup International Inc.
$14.9B
Market Cap
48.5
P/E
1.49
PEG
7.6%
ROCE
20.9%
ROE
1.98
D/E
10.1%
OPM
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Currency-adjusted total returns for SGI including FX impact
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Ratio Health
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By Category
Shareholding
About

Somnigroup International Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, distributes, and retails bedding products in the United States and internationally.

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📈 Growth Pattern
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding SGI
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Daniel Loeb Third Point LLC 2.27M $167.9B 8.06% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 2.22M $163.9M 0.21% Mar 2026
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 494.1K $36.5M 0.06% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Somnigroup reports 12% sales growth to $1.8B and 20% EPS growth in Q1 2026
Revenue & Profitability
First quarter 2026 net sales increased 12% to $1.8 billion. Adjusted EBITDA grew 20% to $297 million, and adjusted EPS increased 20% to $0.59 per share. Full-year 2026 guidance includes adjusted EPS of $3.00-$3.40, sales midpoint of approximately $7.8 billion after intercompany eliminations, and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.45 billion at the midpoint.
Outlook
Management expects global bedding demand to be flat to slightly down year-over-year in 2026, with Q1 demand declining mid-single digits due to geopolitical tensions and weather disruptions. Consumer confidence is pressured by geopolitical conflict, but management assumes normalization through the year. If pressures persist, results could track to the low end of guidance.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include the Stearns & Foster launch in the second half of 2026, supported by national advertising and strong Mattress Firm support. International business continues to deliver mid-single-digit constant currency growth. Mattress Firm outperforms the US market, and Tempur-Pedic brand walls are rolling out nationally by year-end. The pricing action for commodity inflation is expected to lift global Tempur Sealy sales by $50 million in the back half, $100 million annualized.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
2026 capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $225 million, including $75 million for Mattress Firm store refreshes and brand wall installations. CapEx is expected to normalize to $200 million in future years. The store refresh program targets completion in 2027 with about $40 million spent to date.
Margins
EBITDA margin expanded over 100 basis points in Q1. Tempur Sealy North America adjusted gross margin improved 1,300 basis points to 58.3% (including 600 bps stub period benefit). Mattress Firm adjusted gross margin declined 360 basis points to 31.5% due to promotional expense, product mix, and fixed cost deleverage. Management expects nearly 100 basis points of net margin expansion from operational efficiencies and synergies, partially offset by pricing actions.
Key Risks
Risks include heightened geopolitical tensions, winter weather disruptions, and consumer confidence pressure. Commodity inflation from oil-derived inputs (chemicals, diesel, purchased foam) created an approximate $10 million headwind to Tempur Sealy profits in Q2, but is expected to be fully offset by pricing actions in the second half. The Leggett & Platt combination is subject to regulatory review and shareholder approval.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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📊 Analysis Methodology

This comprehensive investment analysis was conducted using The Finmagine™ Stock Analysis & Ranking Methodology, a proprietary framework that systematically evaluates stocks across five critical dimensions: Financial Health, Growth Prospects, Competitive Positioning, Management Quality, and Valuation.

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
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Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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