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Kimco Realty Corporation
S&P 500
$17.5B
Market Cap
24.7
P/E
0.34
PEG
3.7%
ROCE
5.5%
ROE
0.79
D/E
33.1%
OPM
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Currency-adjusted total returns for KIM including FX impact
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About

Kimco Realty Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT) and leading owner and operator of high-quality, open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use properties in the United States.

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⭐ Superinvestors Holding KIM
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 1.24M $27.8M 0.04% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
Bear / Base / Bull projections · DCF fair value · Reverse-DCF
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🎙 Management Tone Mixed → Stable 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Kimco Q1 2026 FFO $0.46, record SNO $77M, same-site NOI growth 1.7%.
Revenue & Profitability
FFO per diluted share was $0.46, a 4.5% increase year-over-year. Same property NOI grew 1.7% in Q1. Minimum rents increased by $8.3 million in the quarter. The full-year 2026 FFO outlook was tightened to $1.81-$1.84 per diluted share, and same-site NOI growth guidance was raised to 2.8%-3.5%. Credit loss for Q1 was 52 basis points, and the full-year assumption was tightened to 65-90 basis points.
Outlook
Management noted that open-air grocery-anchored retail is one of the most sought-after real estate sectors, supported by strong fundamentals, record occupancy, limited new supply (0.2% under construction), and durable cash flows. While geopolitical uncertainty and fuel prices create near-term volatility, the company's tenant base is resilient. Retailers are committing to long-term store openings and demand for quality space remains robust.
Growth Drivers
Key growth levers include conversion of the $77 million SNO pipeline (over 60% projected to commence in 2026, with commencements accelerating in the second half), mark-to-market opportunities on below-market rents, and redevelopment of 15 grocery-anchor projects. New lease rents averaged a record nearly $29 per sq ft, and small shop occupancy rose 80 bps year-over-year to 92.5%. The RPT portfolio's occupancy gap has been closed and now exceeds legacy assets.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call. The company highlighted capital recycling through dispositions of flat ground leases at mid-5% cap rates and a pipeline of additional dispositions (~$200 million) and reinvestment opportunities. Structured investments net funded $38 million in Q1 with $70 million committed. No specific capex guidance or infrastructure investments were provided.
Margins
Not discussed in detail. Management noted that as economic occupancy improves, CapEx load should taper, and margins (including triple-net benefits) should improve. G&A was elevated in Q1 due to timing of equity awards, but this is a timing issue with no full-year impact. The company aims to drive free cash flow growth through value engineering and lower tenant improvement costs.
Key Risks
Management acknowledged geopolitical uncertainty, rising fuel prices, and potential impact on consumer discretionary spending as near-term risks. Credit loss was better than expected in Q1, but the full-year outlook reflects some uncertainty. There are no major bankruptcies expected beyond the small impact from Painted Tree's filing. The company remains disciplined on capital allocation and is not dependent on external growth.
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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📊 Analysis Methodology

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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
Investing in securities, including US equities and ETFs, involves inherent risks including the potential loss of principal. All investments are subject to market fluctuations, economic conditions, regulatory changes, and other factors that may affect their value. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This analysis is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances.

No Investment Recommendation:
This analysis does not constitute, nor should it be interpreted as, an offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any securities or financial products. Investors are strongly advised to conduct their own independent research and due diligence and to consult with a licensed financial advisor or an SEC-registered investment adviser before making any investment decisions, taking into account their individual financial situation, risk tolerance, and investment objectives.

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Conflict of Interest Disclosure:
The author and/or analyst may currently hold or have previously held positions in the securities discussed. Any such positions are not intended to influence the objectivity or independence of the analysis. This research is produced independently and is not sponsored, endorsed, or commissioned by any company or institution.

Information Sources:
The analysis is based on publicly available information including SEC filings (10-K, 10-Q), annual reports, management commentary, and publicly available financial data. Information is believed to be accurate as of the date of publication but may be subject to change without notice. Readers are encouraged to independently verify all information before acting upon it.

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