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Etsy, Inc.
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🏹 Trader: 🎯 Near 52W High | BRS 80 Ready View all →
$8.5B
Market Cap
39.9
P/E
1.76
PEG
15.1%
ROCE
-17.6%
ROE
-2.84
D/E
12.8%
OPM
0.0%
% from 52W High
77
α RS
🔍 ETSY is showing a multi-screen setup because it matches 6 of 39 tracked screener presets, RS Rating is 77, an ECS of 58.9 last quarter, and it has maintained a 6-day VCP momentum persistence. The main caution: the Institutional Quality preset's Backtest win rate is only 44.1%. Net: Mixed signal stack, not a recommendation. ? Conviction RS Rating ECS Momentum Streaks Backtest
Sources
Conviction 6/39 · RS Rating 77 · ECS 58.9 · VCP streak: 6d · Backtest win rate 44.1%
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🌏 Global Investor Returns
Currency-adjusted total returns for ETSY including FX impact
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📈 Price History
Ratio Health
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📊 Peer Medians
About

Etsy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates two-sided online marketplaces that connect buyers and sellers in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through Etsy and Depop segments. The company operates Etsy marketplace that connects artisans with various consumers; and Depop, a fashion resale marketplace. It also provides marketplace activities, including transaction offsite advertising, payments processing, and listing fees, as well as from optional seller services, which include on-site advertising and shipping labels. The company was formerly known as Indieco, Inc changed its name to Etsy, Inc. in June 2006. Etsy, Inc. was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Brooklyn, New York.

Key Ratios Snapshot
📈 Growth Pattern
📊 Quick Scorecard
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⭐ Superinvestors Holding ETSY
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Manager Shares Value % of Fund Period
Jim Simons Renaissance Technologies LLC 5.96M $298.0M 0.47% Mar 2026
Steve Cohen Point72 Asset Management 1.27M $63.4M 0.08% Mar 2026

SEC Form 13F data. 45-day lag from quarter end.

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3-Statement Financial Model
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🎙 Management Tone Confident Specific ↑ Improving 4 quarters Full tone analysis in Intelligence →
📊 MIXED Etsy Q1 GMS $2.5B up 5.5%, active buyers grow sequentially, EBITDA margin 29.3%
Revenue & Profitability
Etsy reported Q1 2026 revenue of $631 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $185 million, representing a 29.3% margin. Etsy marketplace GMS grew 5.5% year-over-year. Net cash from continuing operations was $102.5 million, with a free cash flow conversion of 50% of Adjusted EBITDA. The company repurchased $145 million in stock.
Outlook
Management sees a relatively stable consumer environment with resilient U.S. buyers across income cohorts. They note that the U.S. import trade lane returned to positive growth after tariff impacts. However, they remain cautious due to high macro uncertainty and expect moderating tailwinds from foreign exchange and tariff-related price increases as the year progresses.
Growth Drivers
Key growth drivers include the mobile app, which accounted for 47% of GMS and grew 11.2% YoY, and improved personalization in search and home feed. The company saw 4.8% growth in gross buyer additions (new plus reactivated) and the first sequential growth in active buyers in two years. GMS per active buyer grew year-over-year for the first time since 2022.
Balance Sheet & CapEx
Not discussed in this earnings call. The call mentioned investments in AI and product development but did not provide specific CapEx numbers or guidance.
Margins
Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin was 29.3%, with operating leverage achieved in product development, marketing, and G&A. The company expects full year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin of 28% to 30%, with take rate remaining around 25.7% for the first half and roughly flat for the full year.
Key Risks
Management flagged macro uncertainty, including tariffs and foreign exchange volatility, as risks to the outlook. The company noted that improvement in frequency and retention will take time and may not be linear. The impact of AI integrations is still very small (fraction of a percent of traffic).
Generated by AI · Q1 2026 results · Not investment advice
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✓ 📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5 quarters) submit a missing quarter
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📞 Earnings Call Transcripts (5)
Q2 2026 Q2 2026 2026-08-06
Q2 2026 delivered accelerated GMS and revenue growth, improved buyer engagement, and strong profitability. Strategic investments in discovery, personalization, and marketing efficiency are driving momentum, while a major restructuring and expanded share repurchase program position the company for future growth.
Q1 2026 Q1 2026 2026-04-29
Etsy delivered strong Q1 2026 results with 5.5% GMS growth, improved buyer and seller metrics, and robust mobile app performance. Guidance calls for continued, though moderating, growth as FX and tariff benefits wane, while strategic investments in AI and personalization drive engagement.
Q4 2025 Q4 2025 2026-02-19
Q4 saw record revenue and a return to core marketplace growth, driven by strategic focus on personalization, app engagement, and operational restructuring. The sale of Depop to eBay will enable exclusive investment in the core business, with 2026 guidance calling for slight GMS growth and stable margins.
Q3 2025 Q3 2025 2025-10-29
Q3 2025 results exceeded expectations with consolidated GMS and revenue growth, driven by AI-powered personalization, app engagement, and strong Depop performance. Leadership transition to a new CEO and expanded investment in Depop signal a focus on sustainable growth amid macro uncertainty.
Q2 2025 Q2 2025 2025-07-30
Second quarter results showed improved GMS trends, strong Depop growth, and higher app engagement, with revenue up 4% and adjusted EBITDA margin at 25.1%. Q3 guidance anticipates further sequential improvement, supported by ongoing investments in personalization and marketing.
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Financial Model
Projections are built from each company's audited annual financials (Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow) over the last 5 fiscal years. Forward assumptions — revenue growth %, EBITDA margin, D&A (USD millions), interest expense, tax rate, and capex — are AI-generated using historical context and refreshed twice a year: after the December results season and after the September/Q4 results season.

DCF Valuation
Fair Value = Σ(FCFt / (1+WACC)t) + Terminal Value. Terminal Value uses the Gordon Growth Model: FCF5 × (1+g) / (WACC−g). Default WACC: 10% (US risk-free ~4.5%, equity risk premium ~5.5%). Default terminal growth: 3% (long-run US nominal GDP proxy).

CAGR Tracker
Expected 5-year CAGR = (DCF Fair Value / Current Price)1/5 − 1. Assumes fair value is reached in exactly 5 years — a mechanical estimate only.

Data Sources & Limitations
Financial statements sourced from public filings. Prices updated daily. Forward assumptions are AI-generated. All monetary values in USD millions. Non-US ADR companies may have currency conversion inaccuracies. Models are point-in-time and do not update intra-quarter or account for M&A, macro shocks, or extraordinary items.

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Investment Risk:
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Information Sources:
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